The Prediction Markets

Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship: Top 20 Finishers

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$16K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Francesco Laporta 54.4%

Next is Dan Bradbury at 49.5%. The venues differ most on Francesco Laporta (Polymarket 16.9%, Kalshi 92%), a 75-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Francesco LaportaArb
54.4%
Polymarket 16.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 92%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 18.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $549 (5.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
Francesco Laporta
Last price
16.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18.2¢
Sell Yes
15.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$549 (5.49x)
Volume
$553
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Francesco Laporta
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 18.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 90¢ nets 7180 bps before fees.

Dan Bradbury
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dan Bradbury
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Niklas Norgaard
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Niklas Norgaard
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Joe Dean
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Dean
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$146
Trade this on Kalshi
Bernd WiesbergerArb
41.2%
Polymarket 6%polled, 39s agoKalshi 76.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bernd Wiesberger
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bernd Wiesberger
Last price
76.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 9.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 75¢ nets 6510 bps before fees.

Aaron RaiArb
39.5%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 39s agoKalshi 74.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aaron Rai
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$910
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rai
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 72¢ nets 6510 bps before fees.

Sam BairstowArb
38.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 39s agoKalshi 72.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Bairstow
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.6¢
Sell Yes
2.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,515 (15.2x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Bairstow
Last price
72.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 70¢ nets 6340 bps before fees.

Matthew JordanArb
38.1%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 39s agoKalshi 72%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matthew Jordan
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Jordan
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$48
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 67¢ nets 6070 bps before fees.

Adam ScottArb
37.3%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 39s agoKalshi 71%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adam Scott
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$753
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Adam Scott
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 70¢ nets 6400 bps before fees.

David Ravetto
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Ravetto
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 84 more outcomes
Marco Penge
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marco Penge
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Maximilian Steinlechner
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Maximilian Steinlechner
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Nacho Elvira
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nacho Elvira
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Kalshi
Sean Crocker
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sean Crocker
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Joel Girrbach
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joel Girrbach
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Romain Langasque
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
Romain Langasque
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Todd Clements
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
Todd Clements
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Trade this on Polymarket
David Law
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Law
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Angel Ayora Fanegas
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Angel Ayora Fanegas
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Marcus Kinhult
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marcus Kinhult
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Yanhan Zhou
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yanhan Zhou
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Adrian MeronkArb
35.2%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 39s agoKalshi 66%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adrian Meronk
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Adrian Meronk
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$530
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 63¢ nets 5630 bps before fees.

Kazuma Kobori
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kazuma Kobori
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Matteo Manassero
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matteo Manassero
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rafael Cabrera
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rafael Cabrera
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Thomas Detry
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Thomas Detry
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Brandon Stone
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brandon Stone
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Tom McKibbin
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tom McKibbin
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Tommy FleetwoodArb
34.3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 39s agoKalshi 65.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tommy Fleetwood
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tommy Fleetwood
Last price
65.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 63¢ nets 5800 bps before fees.

Matt WallaceArb
33.2%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 63.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matt Wallace
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Matt Wallace
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 61¢ nets 5600 bps before fees.

Jon RahmArb
33.2%
Polymarket 15.2%polled, 39s agoKalshi 87%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 17.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $581 (5.81x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jon Rahm
Last price
15.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17.2¢
Sell Yes
13.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$581 (5.81x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jon Rahm
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 17.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 83¢ nets 6580 bps before fees.

Tyrrell HattonArb
31.8%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 63%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyrrell Hatton
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$70
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tyrrell Hatton
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$62
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 58¢ nets 5170 bps before fees.

JC Ritchie
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
JC Ritchie
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Johannes Veerman
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
Johannes Veerman
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jayden SchaperArb
27.7%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 39s agoKalshi 53.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayden Schaper
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Schaper
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 51¢ nets 4740 bps before fees.

Antoine RoznerArb
27.1%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 39s agoKalshi 52.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Antoine Rozner
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Antoine Rozner
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 50¢ nets 4650 bps before fees.

Adrian Otaegui
26%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 50%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adrian Otaegui
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Adrian Otaegui
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4.1¢.

Daniel Rodrigues
25.8%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Rodrigues
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Rodrigues
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4.1¢.

Davis Bryant
25.8%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Davis Bryant
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Davis Bryant
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4.1¢.

Filippo Celli
25.8%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Filippo Celli
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Filippo Celli
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4.1¢.

Ugo Coussaud
25.8%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ugo Coussaud
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ugo Coussaud
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4.1¢.

Jordan Gumberg
25.7%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Gumberg
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Gumberg
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
25.6%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3.1¢.

Oliver Lindell
25.6%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 50%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oliver Lindell
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Oliver Lindell
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.2¢.

Angel Hidalgo
25.5%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 50%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Angel Hidalgo
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Angel Hidalgo
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.1¢.

Grant Forrest
25.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Grant Forrest
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Grant Forrest
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Guido Migliozzi
25.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guido Migliozzi
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Guido Migliozzi
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Hennie Du Plessis
25.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hennie Du Plessis
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Hennie Du Plessis
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Joakim Lagergren
25.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joakim Lagergren
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joakim Lagergren
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Jorge Campillo
25.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jorge Campillo
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jorge Campillo
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Yurav Premlall
25.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yurav Premlall
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Yurav Premlall
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Yuto KatsuragawaArb
25.4%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yuto Katsuragawa
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Yuto Katsuragawa
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 49¢ nets 4540 bps before fees.

Gregorio De Leo
25.3%
Polymarket 1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gregorio De Leo
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Gregorio De Leo
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Tom Vaillant
25.3%
Polymarket 1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tom Vaillant
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tom Vaillant
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Marcus Armitage
25.2%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marcus Armitage
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Marcus Armitage
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.8¢.

Nathan Kimsey
25.2%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nathan Kimsey
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nathan Kimsey
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.7¢.

Calum Hill
25%
Polymarket 1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Calum Hill
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Calum Hill
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Jeff Winther
25%
Polymarket 1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jeff Winther
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jeff Winther
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Victor PerezArb
24.6%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 39s agoKalshi 48%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Victor Perez
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Victor Perez
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$305
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 70 bps before fees.

Ewen FergusonArb
24.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 39s agoKalshi 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ewen Ferguson
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ewen Ferguson
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 45¢ nets 4180 bps before fees.

Joost LuitenArb
24.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 39s agoKalshi 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joost Luiten
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joost Luiten
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 45¢ nets 4200 bps before fees.

Martin CouvraArb
22.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 39s agoKalshi 43.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Martin Couvra
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Martin Couvra
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 41¢ nets 3800 bps before fees.

Casey JarvisArb
22.2%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 39s agoKalshi 43%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Casey Jarvis
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Casey Jarvis
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$45
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 38¢ nets 3510 bps before fees.

Rory McIlroyArb
21%
Polymarket 5%polled, 39s agoKalshi 69%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rory McIlroy
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$964
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Rory McIlroy
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$91
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 62¢ nets 5500 bps before fees.

Wenyi DingArb
20.7%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 39s agoKalshi 39%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wenyi Ding
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Wenyi Ding
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 34¢ nets 2920 bps before fees.

Kristoffer ReitanArb
20.5%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 39s agoKalshi 69%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kristoffer Reitan
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$219
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kristoffer Reitan
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$29
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 63¢ nets 5650 bps before fees.

Shaun NorrisArb
20.3%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 39s agoKalshi 38%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shaun Norris
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Shaun Norris
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$23
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 33¢ nets 2800 bps before fees.

Scott JamiesonArb
20.1%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 39s agoKalshi 38%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Scott Jamieson
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Scott Jamieson
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$51
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 32¢ nets 2750 bps before fees.

Kota KanekoArb
18.5%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 39s agoKalshi 35.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kota Kaneko
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kota Kaneko
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 33¢ nets 3020 bps before fees.

Frederic LacroixArb
18.4%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 39s agoKalshi 35.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Frederic Lacroix
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Frederic Lacroix
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 33¢ nets 3050 bps before fees.

Darius van DrielArb
17.6%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 39s agoKalshi 33%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Darius van Driel
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Darius Van Driel
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 30¢ nets 2550 bps before fees.

Alejandro Del ReyArb
16.7%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 39s agoKalshi 32%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alejandro Del Rey
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Alejandro Del Rey
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 32¢ nets 2930 bps before fees.

Daniel HillierArb
16.5%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 39s agoKalshi 59%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Hillier
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$130
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Hillier
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$37
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 55¢ nets 5060 bps before fees.

David PuigArb
14.9%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 39s agoKalshi 28.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Puig
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
David Puig
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 26¢ nets 2360 bps before fees.

Andy SullivanArb
13.7%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 26.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andy Sullivan
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Andy Sullivan
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 24¢ nets 2220 bps before fees.

Freddy SchottArb
13.2%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 25.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Freddy Schott
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Freddy Schott
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 22¢ nets 2020 bps before fees.

Michael HollickArb
12.2%
Polymarket 1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 23.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Hollick
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Hollick
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 21¢ nets 1910 bps before fees.

Manuel ElviraArb
11.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 23%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manuel Elvira
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Manuel Elvira
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 20¢ nets 1830 bps before fees.

Mikael LindbergArb
11.7%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 22.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mikael Lindberg
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mikael Lindberg
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 20¢ nets 1830 bps before fees.

Francesco MolinariArb
11.4%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 39s agoKalshi 21.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Francesco Molinari
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Francesco Molinari
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 19¢ nets 1640 bps before fees.

Ricardo GouveiaArb
10.7%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 20.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ricardo Gouveia
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ricardo Gouveia
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 18¢ nets 1630 bps before fees.

Julien GuerrierArb
9.8%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 17.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Julien Guerrier
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Julien Guerrier
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 15¢ nets 1080 bps before fees.

Richard SterneArb
9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 17%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Richard Sterne
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Richard Sterne
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$278
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 12¢ nets 1020 bps before fees.

Stefano MazzoliArb
9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 17%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stefano Mazzoli
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Stefano Mazzoli
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 14¢ nets 1220 bps before fees.

Thriston Lawrence
8.8%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 39s agoKalshi 16%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Thriston Lawrence
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Thriston Lawrence
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$124
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3.3¢.

Patrick ReedArb
6.9%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 39s agoKalshi 17%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patrick Reed
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Reed
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$927
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 110 bps before fees.

Jacob Skov Olesen
1.5%
Polymarket 1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacob Skov Olesen
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Skov Olesen
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Angel Ayora
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Angel Ayora
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Joe Dean
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joseph Dean
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Ignacio Elvira
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ignacio Elvira
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Dan Bradbury
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Bradbury
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Niklas Noergaard
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Niklas Noergaard
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
JC Ritchie
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
J. C. Ritchie
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Francesco Laporta on Polymarket at 18.2¢, sell on Kalshi at 90¢ (7180 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Nov 9, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: europeantour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: DP World Tour
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Nov 9, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Francesco Laporta
  • Dan Bradbury
  • Niklas Norgaard

Live prices for Francesco Laporta

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship: Top 20 Finishers". Francesco Laporta leads at 54.4%. Next is Dan Bradbury at 49.5%. $16K has traded across 94 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 6, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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