The Prediction Markets

Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship: Top 5 Finishers

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$16K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Angel Ayora Fanegas 41.5%

Next is Dan Bradbury at 41.5%. The venues differ most on Francesco Laporta (Polymarket 19.1%, Kalshi 61%), a 42-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Angel Ayora Fanegas
41.5%
Kalshi 41.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Angel Ayora Fanegas
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Dan Bradbury
41.5%
Kalshi 41.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dan Bradbury
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Joe Dean
41.5%
Kalshi 41.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Dean
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
JC Ritchie
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
JC Ritchie
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nacho Elvira
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nacho Elvira
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Niklas Norgaard
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Niklas Norgaard
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Francesco LaportaArb
40%
Polymarket 19.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 61%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 22.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $444 (4.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Francesco Laporta
Last price
19.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22.5¢
Sell Yes
15.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$444 (4.44x)
Volume
$553
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Francesco Laporta
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 22.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 59¢ nets 3650 bps before fees.

Yanhan Zhou
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yanhan Zhou
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Joel Girrbach
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joel Girrbach
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Marco Penge
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marco Penge
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 84 more outcomes
Maximilian Steinlechner
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Maximilian Steinlechner
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Brandon Stone
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brandon Stone
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Todd Clements
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Todd Clements
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kazuma Kobori
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kazuma Kobori
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Marcus Kinhult
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marcus Kinhult
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Matteo Manassero
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matteo Manassero
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Romain Langasque
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Romain Langasque
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
David Ravetto
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Ravetto
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Sean Crocker
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sean Crocker
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Tom McKibbin
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tom McKibbin
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Trade this on Polymarket
David Law
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Law
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rafael Cabrera
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rafael Cabrera
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Thomas Detry
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
Thomas Detry
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Johannes Veerman
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
Johannes Veerman
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jon RahmArb
23.4%
Polymarket 15.3%polled, 40s agoKalshi 48%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 17.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $578 (5.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jon Rahm
Last price
15.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17.3¢
Sell Yes
13.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$578 (5.78x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jon Rahm
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 17.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 46¢ nets 2870 bps before fees.

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
23.3%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
4.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.

Adam Scott
22.3%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adam Scott
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$753
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Adam Scott
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6.1¢.

Ewen Ferguson
22.1%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ewen Ferguson
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ewen Ferguson
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5.4¢.

Scott Jamieson
21.9%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Scott Jamieson
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Scott Jamieson
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4.5¢.

Victor Perez
21.9%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Victor Perez
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Victor Perez
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4.5¢.

Jayden Schaper
21.8%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayden Schaper
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Schaper
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4.1¢.

Jordan Gumberg
21.7%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Gumberg
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Gumberg
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

David Puig
21.6%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 40s agoKalshi 42%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Puig
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
David Puig
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.5¢.

Joost Luiten
21.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joost Luiten
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joost Luiten
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3.2¢.

Julien Guerrier
21.6%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Julien Guerrier
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Julien Guerrier
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kota Kaneko
21.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kota Kaneko
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kota Kaneko
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3.2¢.

Adrian Otaegui
21.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adrian Otaegui
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Adrian Otaegui
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Daniel Rodrigues
21.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Rodrigues
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Rodrigues
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Davis Bryant
21.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Davis Bryant
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Davis Bryant
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Filippo Celli
21.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Filippo Celli
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Filippo Celli
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Grant Forrest
21.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Grant Forrest
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Grant Forrest
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Guido Migliozzi
21.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guido Migliozzi
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Guido Migliozzi
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Hennie Du Plessis
21.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hennie Du Plessis
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Hennie Du Plessis
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Joakim Lagergren
21.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joakim Lagergren
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joakim Lagergren
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Jorge Campillo
21.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jorge Campillo
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jorge Campillo
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Ugo Coussaud
21.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ugo Coussaud
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ugo Coussaud
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Yurav Premlall
21.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yurav Premlall
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Yurav Premlall
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Daniel Hillier
21.5%
Polymarket 2%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Hillier
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$130
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Hillier
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Frederic Lacroix
21.4%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Frederic Lacroix
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Frederic Lacroix
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.4¢.

Casey Jarvis
21.3%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Casey Jarvis
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Casey Jarvis
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Thriston Lawrence
21.3%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Thriston Lawrence
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Thriston Lawrence
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Calum Hill
21.3%
Polymarket 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Calum Hill
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Calum Hill
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Jacob Skov Olesen
21.3%
Polymarket 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacob Skov Olesen
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Skov Olesen
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Michael Hollick
21.2%
Polymarket 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Hollick
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Hollick
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.9¢.

Andy Sullivan
21.2%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andy Sullivan
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Andy Sullivan
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Freddy Schott
21.2%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Freddy Schott
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Freddy Schott
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.8¢.

Patrick Reed
21.2%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patrick Reed
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Reed
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 82¢.

Stefano Mazzoli
21.2%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stefano Mazzoli
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Stefano Mazzoli
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.8¢.

Manuel Elvira
21.2%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manuel Elvira
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Manuel Elvira
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.7¢.

Alejandro Del Rey
21.2%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alejandro Del Rey
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Alejandro Del Rey
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.6¢.

Francesco Molinari
21.2%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Francesco Molinari
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Francesco Molinari
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Oliver Lindell
21.1%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oliver Lindell
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Oliver Lindell
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Martin Couvra
21.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Martin Couvra
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Martin Couvra
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Gregorio De Leo
21%
Polymarket 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gregorio De Leo
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Gregorio De Leo
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Jeff Winther
21%
Polymarket 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jeff Winther
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jeff Winther
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Tom Vaillant
21%
Polymarket 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tom Vaillant
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tom Vaillant
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Marcus Armitage
21%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marcus Armitage
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Marcus Armitage
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Richard Sterne
21%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Richard Sterne
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Richard Sterne
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Mikael Lindberg
20.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mikael Lindberg
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mikael Lindberg
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Nathan Kimsey
20.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 40s agoKalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nathan Kimsey
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nathan Kimsey
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Angel Hidalgo
20.8%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 40.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Angel Hidalgo
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Angel Hidalgo
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Bernd WiesbergerArb
19%
Polymarket 6.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 32%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bernd Wiesberger
Last price
6.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bernd Wiesberger
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 10¢ and selling on Kalshi at 31¢ nets 2100 bps before fees.

Kristoffer ReitanArb
17.6%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 40s agoKalshi 22%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kristoffer Reitan
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$219
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kristoffer Reitan
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 22¢ nets 1550 bps before fees.

Tommy Fleetwood
17%
Polymarket 8.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 26%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tommy Fleetwood
Last price
8.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
5.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tommy Fleetwood
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 11¢.

Sam BairstowArb
16.2%
Polymarket 4%polled, 40s agoKalshi 28.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Bairstow
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Bairstow
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 26¢ nets 1990 bps before fees.

Matthew JordanArb
14.8%
Polymarket 4%polled, 40s agoKalshi 25.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matthew Jordan
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Jordan
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 23¢ nets 1690 bps before fees.

Rory McIlroyArb
13.6%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 40s agoKalshi 40%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rory McIlroy
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
3.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Rory McIlroy
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$467
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 26¢ nets 2110 bps before fees.

Matt Wallace
12.6%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 21%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matt Wallace
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.3¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,370 (13.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Matt Wallace
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$23
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7.3¢.

Adrian MeronkArb
12.5%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 40s agoKalshi 21%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adrian Meronk
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Adrian Meronk
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$871
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 21¢ nets 1450 bps before fees.

Tyrrell HattonArb
11.3%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 18.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyrrell Hatton
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$70
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tyrrell Hatton
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 16¢ nets 970 bps before fees.

Aaron RaiArb
10.1%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 40s agoKalshi 27%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,220 (12.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aaron Rai
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.2¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,220 (12.2x)
Volume
$910
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rai
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 8.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 27¢ nets 1880 bps before fees.

Antoine RoznerArb
7.9%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 40s agoKalshi 14%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Antoine Rozner
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Antoine Rozner
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 11¢ nets 750 bps before fees.

Yuto KatsuragawaArb
7.4%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 40s agoKalshi 13%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yuto Katsuragawa
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Yuto Katsuragawa
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 10¢ nets 640 bps before fees.

Shaun Norris
5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 40s agoKalshi 7.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shaun Norris
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Shaun Norris
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Wenyi DingArb
5%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 40s agoKalshi 7.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wenyi Ding
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Wenyi Ding
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 5¢ nets 20 bps before fees.

Darius van Driel
3.9%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 40s agoKalshi 5.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Darius van Driel
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Darius Van Driel
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4.5¢.

Angel Ayora
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Angel Ayora
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ricardo Gouveia
1.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 40s agoKalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ricardo Gouveia
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ricardo Gouveia
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Joe Dean
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joseph Dean
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Dan Bradbury
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Bradbury
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Ignacio Elvira
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ignacio Elvira
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Niklas Noergaard
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Niklas Noergaard
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
JC Ritchie
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
J. C. Ritchie
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Francesco Laporta on Polymarket at 22.5¢, sell on Kalshi at 59¢ (3650 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Nov 9, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: europeantour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: DP World Tour
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Nov 9, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Angel Ayora Fanegas
  • Dan Bradbury
  • Joe Dean

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Angel Ayora Fanegas for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship: Top 5 Finishers". Angel Ayora Fanegas leads at 41.5%. Next is Dan Bradbury at 41.5%. $16K has traded across 94 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 6, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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