The Prediction Markets

Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship Winner

Closes
Nov 22, 2026, in 17 days
Traded
$1.4M
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

Rory McIlroy 12.2%

Next is Tommy Fleetwood at 8.1%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Rory McIlroy 12.2%Tommy Fleetwood 8.1%Adam Scott 5%Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 4.5%Daniel Hillier 3.8%65 others 66.4%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Rory McIlroy
12.2%
Kalshi 13%(12.2% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rory McIlroy
Last price
13%
Fair, margin removed
12.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$51K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tommy Fleetwood
8.1%
Kalshi 8.6%(8.1% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tommy Fleetwood
Last price
8.6%
Fair, margin removed
8.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
8.6¢
Sell Yes
8.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,163 (11.6x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Kalshi
Adam Scott
5%
Kalshi 5.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Adam Scott
Last price
5.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
5.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$37K
Trade this on Kalshi
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
4.5%
Kalshi 4.8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Kalshi
Contract
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
4.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$60K
Trade this on Kalshi
Daniel Hillier
3.8%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Hillier
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$45K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jon Rahm
3.6%
Kalshi 3.8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jon Rahm
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
3.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$117K
Trade this on Kalshi
Aaron Rai
3.4%
Kalshi 3.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rai
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
3.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Kalshi
Matt Wallace
3.4%
Kalshi 3.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matt Wallace
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
3.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kristoffer Reitan
2.7%
Kalshi 2.9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kristoffer Reitan
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
2.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$30K
Trade this on Kalshi
Patrick Reed
2.6%
Kalshi 2.8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Reed
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
2.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$33K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 60 more outcomes
Jacob Skov Olesen
2.3%
Kalshi 2.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Skov Olesen
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Victor Perez
2.3%
Kalshi 2.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Victor Perez
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$40K
Trade this on Kalshi
Casey Jarvis
2.2%
Kalshi 2.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Casey Jarvis
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Volume
$30K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyrrell Hatton
2.2%
Kalshi 2.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyrrell Hatton
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ewen Ferguson
1.8%
Kalshi 1.9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ewen Ferguson
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Martin Couvra
1.6%
Kalshi 1.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Kalshi
Contract
Martin Couvra
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Adrian Meronk
1.5%
Kalshi 1.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Kalshi
Contract
Adrian Meronk
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$71K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jayden Schaper
1.5%
Kalshi 1.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Schaper
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
Francesco Laporta
1.4%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Francesco Laporta
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
David Puig
1.3%
Kalshi 1.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Kalshi
Contract
David Puig
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Niklas Norgaard
1.3%
Kalshi 1.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Kalshi
Contract
Niklas Norgaard
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$29K
Trade this on Kalshi
Angel Ayora
1.2%
Kalshi 1.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Angel Ayora
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Antoine Rozner
1.2%
Kalshi 1.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Kalshi
Contract
Antoine Rozner
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bernd Wiesberger
1.2%
Kalshi 1.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bernd Wiesberger
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Matthew Jordan
1.2%
Kalshi 1.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Jordan
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Oliver Lindell
1.2%
Kalshi 1.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oliver Lindell
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Joe Dean
1.1%
Kalshi 1.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Dean
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Alejandro Del Rey
1%
Kalshi 1.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alejandro Del Rey
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Angel Hidalgo
1%
Kalshi 1.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Angel Hidalgo
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Kalshi
Joost Luiten
1%
Kalshi 1.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joost Luiten
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nacho Elvira
1%
Kalshi 1.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nacho Elvira
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$59K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sam Bairstow
1%
Kalshi 1.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Bairstow
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Frederic LaCroix
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Frederic LaCroix
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Thriston Lawrence
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Thriston Lawrence
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tom Vaillant
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tom Vaillant
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Kalshi
Gregorio De Leo
0.8%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gregorio De Leo
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jeff Winther
0.8%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jeff Winther
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
Andy Sullivan
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Andy Sullivan
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nathan Kimsey
0.7%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nathan Kimsey
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Yuto Katsuragawa
0.7%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yuto Katsuragawa
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Adrian Otaegui
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Adrian Otaegui
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Calum Hill
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
Calum Hill
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dan Bradbury
0.6%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dan Bradbury
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Davis Bryant
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
Davis Bryant
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Filippo Celli
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Filippo Celli
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Guido Migliozzi
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
Guido Migliozzi
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
JC Ritchie
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
JC Ritchie
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Joakim Lagergren
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joakim Lagergren
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Marcus Armitage
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marcus Armitage
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ugo Coussaud
0.6%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ugo Coussaud
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Francesco Molinari
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
Contract
Francesco Molinari
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$66K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hennie Du Plessis
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hennie Du Plessis
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kota Kaneko
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kota Kaneko
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$83K
Trade this on Kalshi
Mikael Lindberg
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mikael Lindberg
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Darius Van Driel
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Darius Van Driel
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Freddy Schott
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Freddy Schott
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Grant Forrest
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Grant Forrest
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jorge Campillo
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jorge Campillo
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Julien Guerrier
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Julien Guerrier
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Manuel Elvira
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Manuel Elvira
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Scott Jamieson
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
Contract
Scott Jamieson
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Wenyi Ding
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wenyi Ding
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Daniel Rodrigues
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Rodrigues
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jordan Gumberg
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Gumberg
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Hollick
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Hollick
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ricardo Gouveia
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ricardo Gouveia
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Richard Sterne
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Richard Sterne
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Shaun Norris
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shaun Norris
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Stefano Mazzoli
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stefano Mazzoli
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Yurav Premlall
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yurav Premlall
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: DP World Tour

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Rory McIlroy
  • Tommy Fleetwood
  • Adam Scott

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship Winner". Rory McIlroy leads at 12.2%. Next is Tommy Fleetwood at 8.1%. $1.4M has traded across 70 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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