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What the markets expect
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz 81.5%
Next is Taylor Fritz -1.5 games at 74%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor FritzPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5”81.5%81.5%80¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, 5 h agoNot listed83¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $120 (1.20x)Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz81.5%Polymarket 81.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5”
81.5%
81.5%
80¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
Not listed
83¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
81.5%
Polymarket 81.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5
- Last price
- 81.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
Taylor Fritz -1.5 games74%Not listed74%72¢ bid, 76¢ askpolled, 5 h ago76¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Taylor Fritz -1.5 games74%Kalshi 74%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Taylor Fritz -1.5 games
74%
Not listed
74%
72¢ bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
76¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Taylor Fritz -1.5 games
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Taylor Fritz -1.5 games
- Last price
- 74%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
- Volume
- $13
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor FritzPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 Winner”61.5%61.5%23¢ bid, — askpolled, 5 h agoNot listedNo askRolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz61.5%Polymarket 61.5%polled, 5 h ago
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 Winner”
61.5%
61.5%
23¢ bid, — ask
polled, 5 h ago
Not listed
No ask
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
61.5%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 5 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 Winner
- Last price
- 61.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor FritzPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 21.5”58%58%57¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 5 h agoNot listed59¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz58%Polymarket 58%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 21.5”
58%
58%
57¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
Not listed
59¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
58%
Polymarket 58%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 21.5
- Last price
- 58%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor FritzPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set Handicap +/-1.5”55%55%54¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 5 h agoNot listed56¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz55%Polymarket 55%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set Handicap +/-1.5”
55%
55%
54¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
Not listed
56¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
55%
Polymarket 55%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $26
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor FritzPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 10.5”50%50%No order bookpolled, 5 h agoNot listedNo askRolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz50%Polymarket 50%polled, 5 h ago
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 10.5”
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 5 h ago
Not listed
No ask
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 5 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 10.5
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor FritzPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 9.5”50%50%No order bookpolled, 5 h agoNot listedNo askRolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz50%Polymarket 50%polled, 5 h ago
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 9.5”
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 5 h ago
Not listed
No ask
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 5 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 9.5
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor FritzPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 9.5”50%50%50¢ bid, — askpolled, 5 h agoNot listedNo askRolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz50%Polymarket 50%polled, 5 h ago
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 9.5”
50%
50%
50¢ bid, — ask
polled, 5 h ago
Not listed
No ask
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 5 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 9.5
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor FritzPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 8.5”50%50%No order bookpolled, 5 h agoNot listedNo askRolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz50%Polymarket 50%polled, 5 h ago
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 8.5”
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 5 h ago
Not listed
No ask
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 5 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 8.5
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Completed Match49%49%1¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 5 h agoNot listed98¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Completed Match49%Polymarket 49%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Completed Match
49%
49%
1¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
Not listed
98¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Completed Match
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Completed Match
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Show 9 more outcomesHide 9 outcomes
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor FritzPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 22.5”49%49%48¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 5 h agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz49%Polymarket 49%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 22.5”
49%
49%
48¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 22.5
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $4
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor FritzPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Game Spread +/-4.5”42.5%42.5%42¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 5 h agoNot listed43¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz42.5%Polymarket 42.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Game Spread +/-4.5”
42.5%
42.5%
42¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
Not listed
43¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Game Spread +/-4.5
- Last price
- 42.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $80
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor FritzPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 23.5”41%41%40¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 5 h agoNot listed42¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz41%Polymarket 41%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 23.5”
41%
41%
40¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
Not listed
42¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
41%
Polymarket 41%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 23.5
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
Taylor Fritz -4.5 games40%Not listed40%39¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 5 h ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Taylor Fritz -4.5 games40%Kalshi 40%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Taylor Fritz -4.5 games
40%
Not listed
40%
39¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Taylor Fritz -4.5 games
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Taylor Fritz -4.5 games
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $988
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor FritzPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 10.5”34.5%34.5%33¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 5 h agoNot listed36¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz34.5%Polymarket 34.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 10.5”
34.5%
34.5%
33¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
Not listed
36¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 10.5
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor FritzPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Total Sets: O/U 2.5”34.5%34.5%33¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 5 h agoNot listed36¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz34.5%Polymarket 34.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Total Sets: O/U 2.5”
34.5%
34.5%
33¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
Not listed
36¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Total Sets: O/U 2.5
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor FritzPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 Winner”29%29%28¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 5 h agoNot listed30¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz29%Polymarket 29%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 Winner”
29%
29%
28¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
Not listed
30¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 Winner
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz21.5%21.5%21¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 5 h agoNot listed22¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz21.5%Polymarket 21.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
21.5%
21.5%
21¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
Not listed
22¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $98K
Taylor Fritz -7.5 games13%Not listed13%— bid, 13¢ askpolled, 5 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Taylor Fritz -7.5 games13%Kalshi 13%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Taylor Fritz -7.5 games
13%
Not listed
13%
— bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Taylor Fritz -7.5 games
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Taylor Fritz -7.5 games
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, ATP
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
- Taylor Fritz -1.5 games
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz: Game Spread". Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz leads at 81.5%. Next is Taylor Fritz -1.5 games at 74%. $100K has traded across 19 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 18, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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