The Prediction Markets

Arizona vs Seattle: Spread

Closes
Nov 10, 2026, in 6 days
Traded
$83K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
5 h ago
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What the markets expect

Seattle wins by over 1.5 points 84%

Next is Seattle wins by over 2.5 points at 81%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 1.5 points
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 2.5 points
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$238
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 3.5 points
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 4.5 points
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
74%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 5.5 points
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 6.5 points
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
68%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$677
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 7.5 points
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 9.5 points
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$527
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 10.5 points
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 11.5 points
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle wins by over 11.5 points
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 17 more outcomes
Seattle wins by over 13.5 points
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 14.5 points
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$299
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 16.5 points
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle wins by over 16.5 points
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$28
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 17.5 points
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle wins by over 17.5 points
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 20.5 points
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle wins by over 20.5 points
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 23.5 points
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle wins by over 23.5 points
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$204
Trade this on Kalshi
Arizona wins by over 1.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arizona wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Arizona wins by over 2.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arizona wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Arizona wins by over 3.5 points
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arizona wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$77
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 27.5 points
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle wins by over 27.5 points
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Arizona wins by over 4.5 points
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arizona wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Arizona wins by over 5.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arizona wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$60K
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 30.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle wins by over 30.5 points
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Arizona wins by over 6.5 points
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arizona wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Arizona wins by over 7.5 points
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arizona wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$416
Trade this on Kalshi
Arizona wins by over 9.5 points
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arizona wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$168
Trade this on Kalshi
Arizona wins by over 10.5 points
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arizona wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Seattle wins by over 1.5 points
  • Seattle wins by over 2.5 points
  • Seattle wins by over 3.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Arizona vs Seattle: Spread". Seattle wins by over 1.5 points leads at 84%. Next is Seattle wins by over 2.5 points at 81%. $83K has traded across 27 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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