The Prediction Markets

ATP Stockholm Winner

Closes
Dec 19, 2026, in 39 days
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
4 min ago
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What the markets expect

Taylor Fritz 33%

Next is Casper Ruud at 23%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Taylor Fritz
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Taylor Fritz
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$756
Trade this on Kalshi
Casper Ruud
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Casper Ruud
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$335
Trade this on Kalshi
Lorenzo Musetti
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lorenzo Musetti
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$88
Trade this on Kalshi
Jaume Munar
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jaume Munar
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Quentin Halys
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Quentin Halys
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Adrian Mannarino
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Adrian Mannarino
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Alejandro Tabilo
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alejandro Tabilo
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Alexander Shevchenko
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alexander Shevchenko
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Arthur Rinderknech
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arthur Rinderknech
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 19 more outcomes
Borna Gojo
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Borna Gojo
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cameron Norrie
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cameron Norrie
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
James Duckworth
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
James Duckworth
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Lorenzo Sonego
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lorenzo Sonego
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miomir Kecmanovic
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miomir Kecmanovic
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Thiago Agustin Tirante
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Toby Samuel
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Toby Samuel
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ugo Humbert
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ugo Humbert
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Yannick Hanfmann
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yannick Hanfmann
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Zizou Bergs
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zizou Bergs
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tomas Machac
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tomas Machac
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Alex Michelsen
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alex Michelsen
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Elias Ymer
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Elias Ymer
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Holger Rune
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Holger Rune
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Leo Borg
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Leo Borg
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Luca Van Assche
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Luca Van Assche
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Max Dahlin
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Max Dahlin
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, ATP

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Taylor Fritz
  • Casper Ruud
  • Lorenzo Musetti

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "ATP Stockholm Winner". Taylor Fritz leads at 33%. Next is Casper Ruud at 23%. $1K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 19, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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