The Prediction Markets

ATP Top 5 Ranked Men's Singles Players on Dec 31, 2026?

Closes
Dec 31, 2026, in 56 days
Traded
$17K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
5 h ago
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What the markets expect

Alex de Minaur 99%

Next is Alexander Zverev at 98%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Alex de Minaur
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alex de Minaur
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Alexander Zverev
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alexander Zverev
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Jannik Sinner
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jannik Sinner
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ben Shelton
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ben Shelton
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Arthur Fils
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arthur Fils
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$290
Trade this on Kalshi
Casper Ruud
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Casper Ruud
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Felix Auger-Aliassime
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Flavio Cobolli
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Flavio Cobolli
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jakub Mensik
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jakub Mensik
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Carlos Alcaraz
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Carlos Alcaraz
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 6 more outcomes
Daniil Medvedev
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniil Medvedev
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Taylor Fritz
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Taylor Fritz
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$132
Trade this on Kalshi
Novak Djokovic
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Novak Djokovic
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$77
Trade this on Kalshi
Rafael Jodar
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rafael Jodar
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Kalshi
Lorenzo Musetti
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lorenzo Musetti
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$358
Trade this on Kalshi
Alexander Bublik
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alexander Bublik
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Alex de Minaur
  • Alexander Zverev
  • Jannik Sinner

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
—
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "ATP Top 5 Ranked Men's Singles Players on Dec 31, 2026?". Alex de Minaur leads at 99%. Next is Alexander Zverev at 98%. $17K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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