The Prediction Markets

ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar

Starts in 7 hKickoff
Traded
$16K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Zverev 69.8%

Next is ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 63%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Zverev
69.8%
Polymarket 69.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 70%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar
Last price
69.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Alexander Zverev
Last price
70%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 69¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 70¢.

ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar
63%
Polymarket 63%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 Winner
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$45
Trade this on Polymarket
ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar
60.5%
Polymarket 60.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 21.5
Last price
60.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar
55%
Polymarket 55%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 22.5
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Trade this on Polymarket
ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-2.5
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Trade this on Polymarket
ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 23.5
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$210
Trade this on Polymarket
ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set Handicap +/-1.5
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Polymarket
ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Rafael Jodar
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rafael Jodar
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP
Show full rule comparison
  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • Trading closes Nov 22, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 29, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Zverev
  • ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar
  • ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar

Live prices for Zverev

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

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Polymarket

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Kalshi

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar". Zverev leads at 69.8%. Next is ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 63%. $16K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Rafael Jodar in the ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group, originally scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Rafael Jodar. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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