The Prediction Markets

Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech: Game Spread

Starts in 7 hKickoff
Traded
$5K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 92.5%

Next is Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 at 74.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5
92.5%
Polymarket 92.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 8.5
Last price
92.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5
74.5%
Polymarket 74.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 9.5
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5
73%
Polymarket 73%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$340
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5
70.5%
Polymarket 70.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 21.5
Last price
70.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5
69%
Polymarket 69%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 Winner
Last price
69%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5
68%
Polymarket 68%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 Winner
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5
61.5%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5
Last price
61.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 23.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Ben Shelton (-1.5) vs Arthur Rinderknech (+1.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 10 more outcomes
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 10.5
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 8.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 9.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 10.5
Last price
44%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Game Spread +/-3.5
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Ben Shelton -3.5 games
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ben Shelton -3.5 games
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Arthur Rinderknech -1.5 games
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arthur Rinderknech -1.5 games
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ben Shelton -6.5 games
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ben Shelton -6.5 games
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Arthur Rinderknech (-1.5) vs Ben Shelton (+1.5)
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, ATP

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5
  • Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5
  • Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech: Game Spread". Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 leads at 92.5%. Next is Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 at 74.5%. $5K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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