The Prediction Markets

Big Game: Gatorade Shower Color

Closes
Feb 15, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
5 min ago
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What the markets expect

Green/Yellow 27.1%

Next is Orange at 19.8%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Green/Yellow 27.1%Orange 19.8%Blue 17.2%Clear/Water 16.4%Purple 8.8%2 others 10.7%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Green/Yellow
27.1%
Polymarket 35.5%(27.1% fair)polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Green/Yellow
Last price
35.5%
Fair, margin removed
27.1%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$121
Trade this on Polymarket
Orange
19.8%
Polymarket 26%(19.8% fair)polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orange
Last price
26%
Fair, margin removed
19.8%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$199
Trade this on Polymarket
Blue
17.2%
Polymarket 22.5%(17.2% fair)polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Blue
Last price
22.5%
Fair, margin removed
17.2%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$282
Trade this on Polymarket
Clear/Water
16.4%
Polymarket 21.5%(16.4% fair)polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Clear/Water
Last price
21.5%
Fair, margin removed
16.4%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Purple
8.8%
Polymarket 11.5%(8.8% fair)polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Purple
Last price
11.5%
Fair, margin removed
8.8%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$227
Trade this on Polymarket
Red/Pink
5.7%
Polymarket 7.5%(5.7% fair)polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Red/Pink
Last price
7.5%
Fair, margin removed
5.7%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$74
Trade this on Polymarket
No Gatorade Shower
5%
Polymarket 6.5%(5% fair)polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
No Gatorade Shower
Last price
6.5%
Fair, margin removed
5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$136
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Green/Yellow
  • Orange
  • Blue

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Big Game: Gatorade Shower Color". Green/Yellow leads at 27.1%. Next is Orange at 19.8%. $1K has traded across 7 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 15, 2027.

The Gatorade shower is a celebratory tradition in which the winning head coach of the Super Bowl is doused with Gatorade or a similar liquid. This market will resolve according to the color of the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LXI. The Gatorade does not need to visibly land on the head coach, so long as it is clearly poured in celebration directed at them. For the purposes of this market, the liquid does not need to be branded Gatorade. If no Gatorade shower occurs during the game or the post-game celebration, this market will resolve to “No Gatorade Shower”. If the color of the Gatorade shower does not clearly match one of the listed options or cannot be definitively determined, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option that most closely matches the observed color. If Super Bowl LXI is cancelled or postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Gatorade Shower". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of Super Bowl LXI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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