The Prediction Markets

Big Ten Regular Season: Top 4 Finishers

Closes
Mar 21, 2027, in 5 months
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
5 h ago
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What the markets expect

Illinois 76.5%

Next is Michigan St. at 62%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Illinois
76.5%
Kalshi 76.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Illinois
Last price
76.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michigan St.
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michigan St.
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$326
Trade this on Kalshi
UCLA
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
UCLA
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$143
Trade this on Kalshi
Michigan
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michigan
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$76
Trade this on Kalshi
Nebraska
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nebraska
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$37
Trade this on Kalshi
Indiana
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indiana
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$43
Trade this on Kalshi
USC
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
USC
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Kalshi
Wisconsin
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wisconsin
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Maryland
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Maryland
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$69
Trade this on Kalshi
Ohio St.
25.5%
Kalshi 25.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ohio St.
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 8 more outcomes
Purdue
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Purdue
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$289
Trade this on Kalshi
Iowa
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iowa
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Oregon
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oregon
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Northwestern
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northwestern
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Rutgers
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rutgers
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Washington
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Washington
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Penn St.
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Penn St.
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Illinois
  • Michigan St.
  • UCLA

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Big Ten Regular Season: Top 4 Finishers". Illinois leads at 76.5%. Next is Michigan St. at 62%. $1K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 21, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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