The Prediction Markets

Big West Men's Conference Tournament Champion

Closes
Mar 28, 2027, in 5 months
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
5 min ago
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What the markets expect

UC Irvine 22.5%

Next is UC Santa Barbara at 20.8%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

UC Irvine 22.5%UC Santa Barbara 20.8%UC San Diego 15.8%Utah Valley 10%Cal Poly 6.7%7 others 24.2%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
UC Irvine
22.5%
Kalshi 27%(22.5% fair)polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
UC Irvine
Last price
27%
Fair, margin removed
22.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$447
Trade this on Kalshi
UC Santa Barbara
20.8%
Kalshi 25%(20.8% fair)polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
UC Santa Barbara
Last price
25%
Fair, margin removed
20.8%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$123
Trade this on Kalshi
UC San Diego
15.8%
Kalshi 19%(15.8% fair)polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
UC San Diego
Last price
19%
Fair, margin removed
15.8%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$306
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah Valley
10%
Kalshi 12%(10% fair)polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah Valley
Last price
12%
Fair, margin removed
10%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cal Poly
6.7%
Kalshi 8%(6.7% fair)polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cal Poly
Last price
8%
Fair, margin removed
6.7%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$81
Trade this on Kalshi
California Baptist
6.7%
Kalshi 8%(6.7% fair)polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
California Baptist
Last price
8%
Fair, margin removed
6.7%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Kalshi
Cal State Northridge
5%
Kalshi 6%(5% fair)polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cal State Northridge
Last price
6%
Fair, margin removed
5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Kalshi
Sacramento St.
4.6%
Kalshi 5.5%(4.6% fair)polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sacramento St.
Last price
5.5%
Fair, margin removed
4.6%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cal State Fullerton
3.3%
Kalshi 4%(3.3% fair)polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cal State Fullerton
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3.3%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Long Beach St.
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Long Beach St.
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UC Riverside
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
UC Riverside
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cal State Bakersfield
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cal State Bakersfield
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • UC Irvine
  • UC Santa Barbara
  • UC San Diego

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Big West Men's Conference Tournament Champion". UC Irvine leads at 22.5%. Next is UC Santa Barbara at 20.8%. $1K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 28, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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