The Prediction Markets

Bitcoin above ___ on April 14?

Closed
Apr 14, 2026
Traded
$91K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 14, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
58,000
99.9%
Polymarket 99.9%polled, 4721 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
58,000
Last price
99.9%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
99.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
60,000
99.3%
Polymarket 99.3%polled, 4721 h agoBest Yes 99.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
60,000
Last price
99.3%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
99.7¢
Sell Yes
98.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
64,000
99.3%
Polymarket 99.3%polled, 4721 h agoBest Yes 99.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
64,000
Last price
99.3%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
99.5¢
Sell Yes
99.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Polymarket
62,000
99.3%
Polymarket 99.3%polled, 4721 h agoBest Yes 99.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
62,000
Last price
99.3%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
99.5¢
Sell Yes
99¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Polymarket
66,000
98.7%
Polymarket 98.7%polled, 4721 h agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
66,000
Last price
98.7%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
98.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Polymarket
68,000
96.8%
Polymarket 96.8%polled, 4721 h agoBest Yes 97.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
68,000
Last price
96.8%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
97.2¢
Sell Yes
96.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
70,000
88%
Polymarket 88%polled, 4721 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
70,000
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
72,000
67.5%
Polymarket 67.5%polled, 4721 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
72,000
Last price
67.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
74,000
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 4721 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
74,000
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
76,000
13.6%
Polymarket 13.6%polled, 4721 h agoBest Yes 14.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $690 (6.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
76,000
Last price
13.6%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
14.5¢
Sell Yes
12.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$690 (6.90x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
78,000
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 4721 h agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
78,000
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
4.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 58,000
  • 60,000
  • 64,000

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Bitcoin above ___ on April 14?". 58,000 last traded at 99.9%. Next is 60,000 at 99.3%. $91K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 14, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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