The Prediction Markets

Bitcoin price on April 13?

Closed
Apr 13, 2026
Traded
$26K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 13, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
72,000-74,000
36.9%
Polymarket 38%(36.9% fair)polled, 4705 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
72,000-74,000
Last price
38%
Fair, margin removed
36.9%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$519
Trade this on Polymarket
74,000-76,000
24.2%
Polymarket 24.9%(24.1% fair)polled, 4705 h agoBest Yes 28.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $353 (3.53x)
Polymarket
Contract
74,000-76,000
Last price
24.9%
Fair, margin removed
24.1%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
28.3¢
Sell Yes
21.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$353 (3.53x)
Volume
$588
Trade this on Polymarket
70,000-72,000
21.9%
Polymarket 22.5%(21.9% fair)polled, 4705 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
70,000-72,000
Last price
22.5%
Fair, margin removed
21.9%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$807
Trade this on Polymarket
76,000-78,000
7.3%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 4705 h agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
76,000-78,000
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
8.8¢
Sell Yes
6.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,136 (11.4x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
68,000-70,000
4.9%
Polymarket 5%polled, 4705 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
68,000-70,000
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
78,000
1.7%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 4705 h agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
78,000
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
66,000-68,000
1.4%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 4705 h agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
66,000-68,000
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
60,000-62,000
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4705 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
60,000-62,000
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
62,000-64,000
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 4705 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
62,000-64,000
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
64,000-66,000
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 4705 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
64,000-66,000
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
60,000
0.3%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 4705 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
60,000
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 72,000-74,000
  • 74,000-76,000
  • 70,000-72,000

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Bitcoin price on April 13?". 72,000-74,000 last traded at 36.9%. Next is 74,000-76,000 at 24.2%. $26K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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