The Prediction Markets

Bitcoin price on May 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Closed
May 17, 2026
Traded
$836K
Venues
Kalshi
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on May 17, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
68,000 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
68,000 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
68,250 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
68,250 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
68,500 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
68,500 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
68,750 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
68,750 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
69,000 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
69,000 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
69,250 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
69,250 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
69,500 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
69,500 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
69,750 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
69,750 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
70,000 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
70,000 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
70,250 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
70,250 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 70 more outcomes
70,500 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
70,500 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
70,750 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
70,750 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
71,000 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
71,000 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
71,250 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
71,250 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
71,500 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
71,500 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
71,750 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
71,750 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
72,000 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
72,000 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
72,250 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
72,250 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
72,750 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
72,750 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
73,000 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
73,000 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
73,250 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
73,250 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
73,500 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
73,500 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
73,750 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
73,750 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
74,000 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
74,000 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
74,250 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
74,250 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
74,750 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
74,750 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
72,500 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
72,500 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$784
Trade this on Kalshi
75,000 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
75,000 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
76,000 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
76,000 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Kalshi
76,250 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
76,250 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Kalshi
75,250 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
75,250 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
75,500 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
75,500 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
75,750 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
75,750 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
76,500 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
76,500 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Kalshi
76,750 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
76,750 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Kalshi
77,000 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
77,000 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$43K
Trade this on Kalshi
74,500 or above
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 3833 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
74,500 or above
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
77,250 or above
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
77,250 or above
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$30K
Trade this on Kalshi
77,500 or above
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
77,500 or above
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$69K
Trade this on Kalshi
77,750 or above
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
77,750 or above
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$55K
Trade this on Kalshi
78,000 or above
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
78,000 or above
Last price
68%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$151K
Trade this on Kalshi
78,250 or above
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
78,250 or above
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$96K
Trade this on Kalshi
78,500 or above
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
78,500 or above
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$82K
Trade this on Kalshi
78,750 or above
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
78,750 or above
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$50K
Trade this on Kalshi
79,000 or above
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
79,000 or above
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$70K
Trade this on Kalshi
79,250 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
79,250 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Kalshi
79,500 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
79,500 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Kalshi
80,250 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
80,250 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
80,500 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
80,500 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
79,750 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
79,750 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
80,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
80,000 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$30K
Trade this on Kalshi
80,750 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
80,750 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$156
Trade this on Kalshi
81,250 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
81,250 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$24
Trade this on Kalshi
86,250 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
86,250 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$333
Trade this on Kalshi
81,000 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
81,000 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
81,500 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
81,500 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
81,750 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
81,750 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
82,000 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
82,000 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
82,250 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
82,250 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
82,500 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
82,500 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
82,750 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
82,750 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
83,000 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
83,000 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
83,250 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
83,250 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
83,500 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
83,500 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
83,750 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
83,750 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
84,000 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
84,000 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
84,250 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
84,250 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
84,500 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
84,500 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
84,750 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
84,750 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
85,000 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
85,000 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
85,250 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
85,250 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
85,500 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
85,500 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
85,750 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
85,750 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
86,000 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
86,000 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
86,500 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
86,500 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
86,750 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
86,750 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
87,000 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
87,000 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
87,250 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
87,250 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
87,500 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
87,500 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
87,750 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
87,750 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange)

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 68,000 or above
  • 68,250 or above
  • 68,500 or above

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Bitcoin price on May 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?". 68,000 or above last traded at 99.5%. Next is 68,250 or above at 99.5%. $836K has traded across 80 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on May 17, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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