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What the markets expect
80,000-82,000 44.5%
Next is 82,000-84,000 at 28.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
80,000-82,00044.5%44.5%42¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed47¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $213 (2.13x)80,000-82,00044.5%Polymarket 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
80,000-82,000
44.5%
44.5%
42¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
47¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
80,000-82,000
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 80,000-82,000
- Last price
- 44.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $700
82,000-84,00028.5%28.5%25¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed32¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $313 (3.13x)82,000-84,00028.5%Polymarket 28.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
82,000-84,000
28.5%
28.5%
25¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
32¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
82,000-84,000
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 82,000-84,000
- Last price
- 28.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $425
78,000-80,00016.5%16.5%14.8¢ bid, 18.1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed18.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $552 (5.52x)78,000-80,00016.5%Polymarket 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $552 (5.52x)
78,000-80,000
16.5%
16.5%
14.8¢ bid, 18.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
18.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $552 (5.52x)
78,000-80,000
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $552 (5.52x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 78,000-80,000
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 14.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $552 (5.52x)
- Volume
- $2K
75,000 to 79,999.9914.3%Not listed14.3%13.9¢ bid, 14.3¢ askpolled, 31s ago14.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $699 (6.99x)75,000 to 79,999.9914.3%Kalshi 14.3%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 14.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $699 (6.99x)
75,000 to 79,999.99
14.3%
Not listed
14.3%
13.9¢ bid, 14.3¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
14.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $699 (6.99x)
75,000 to 79,999.99
14.3%
Kalshi 14.3%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 14.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $699 (6.99x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 75,000 to 79,999.99
- Last price
- 14.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 13.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $699 (6.99x)
- Volume
- $3.2M
80,000 to 84,999.9914.2%Not listed14.2%14¢ bid, 14.2¢ askpolled, 31s ago14.2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $704 (7.04x)80,000 to 84,999.9914.2%Kalshi 14.2%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 14.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $704 (7.04x)
80,000 to 84,999.99
14.2%
Not listed
14.2%
14¢ bid, 14.2¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
14.2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $704 (7.04x)
80,000 to 84,999.99
14.2%
Kalshi 14.2%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 14.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $704 (7.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 80,000 to 84,999.99
- Last price
- 14.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $704 (7.04x)
- Volume
- $3.1M
85,000 to 89,999.9912.2%Not listed12.2%12.2¢ bid, 12.5¢ askpolled, 31s ago12.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $800 (8.00x)85,000 to 89,999.9912.2%Kalshi 12.2%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 12.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $800 (8.00x)
85,000 to 89,999.99
12.2%
Not listed
12.2%
12.2¢ bid, 12.5¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
12.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $800 (8.00x)
85,000 to 89,999.99
12.2%
Kalshi 12.2%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 12.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $800 (8.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 85,000 to 89,999.99
- Last price
- 12.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 12.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $800 (8.00x)
- Volume
- $2.3M
90,000 to 94,999.9910.3%Not listed10.3%10.2¢ bid, 10.3¢ askpolled, 31s ago10.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $971 (9.71x)90,000 to 94,999.9910.3%Kalshi 10.3%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 10.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $971 (9.71x)
90,000 to 94,999.99
10.3%
Not listed
10.3%
10.2¢ bid, 10.3¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
10.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $971 (9.71x)
90,000 to 94,999.99
10.3%
Kalshi 10.3%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 10.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $971 (9.71x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 90,000 to 94,999.99
- Last price
- 10.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 10.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $971 (9.71x)
- Volume
- $1.4M
70,000 to 74,999.9910.1%Not listed10.1%10.1¢ bid, 10.6¢ askpolled, 31s ago10.6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $943 (9.43x)70,000 to 74,999.9910.1%Kalshi 10.1%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 10.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $943 (9.43x)
70,000 to 74,999.99
10.1%
Not listed
10.1%
10.1¢ bid, 10.6¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
10.6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $943 (9.43x)
70,000 to 74,999.99
10.1%
Kalshi 10.1%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 10.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $943 (9.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 70,000 to 74,999.99
- Last price
- 10.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 10.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $943 (9.43x)
- Volume
- $2.5M
95,000 to 99,999.997.3%Not listed7.3%7.2¢ bid, 7.3¢ askpolled, 31s ago7.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)95,000 to 99,999.997.3%Kalshi 7.3%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
95,000 to 99,999.99
7.3%
Not listed
7.3%
7.2¢ bid, 7.3¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
7.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
95,000 to 99,999.99
7.3%
Kalshi 7.3%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 95,000 to 99,999.99
- Last price
- 7.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 7.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,370 (13.7x)
- Volume
- $896K
65,000 to 69,999.995.7%Not listed5.7%5.5¢ bid, 5.7¢ askpolled, 31s ago5.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)65,000 to 69,999.995.7%Kalshi 5.7%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
65,000 to 69,999.99
5.7%
Not listed
5.7%
5.5¢ bid, 5.7¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
5.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
65,000 to 69,999.99
5.7%
Kalshi 5.7%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 65,000 to 69,999.99
- Last price
- 5.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,754 (17.5x)
- Volume
- $2.5M
Show 29 more outcomesHide 29 outcomes
100,000 to 104,999.994.7%Not listed4.7%4.6¢ bid, 4.7¢ askpolled, 31s ago4.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)100,000 to 104,999.994.7%Kalshi 4.7%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
100,000 to 104,999.99
4.7%
Not listed
4.7%
4.6¢ bid, 4.7¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
4.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
100,000 to 104,999.99
4.7%
Kalshi 4.7%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 100,000 to 104,999.99
- Last price
- 4.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,128 (21.3x)
- Volume
- $1.0M
84,000-86,0004.5%4.5%3.2¢ bid, 5.7¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed5.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)84,000-86,0004.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
84,000-86,000
4.5%
4.5%
3.2¢ bid, 5.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
5.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
84,000-86,000
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 84,000-86,000
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,754 (17.5x)
- Volume
- $142
60,000 to 64,999.994%Not listed4%3.9¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 31s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)60,000 to 64,999.994%Kalshi 4%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
60,000 to 64,999.99
4%
Not listed
4%
3.9¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
60,000 to 64,999.99
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 60,000 to 64,999.99
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $2.5M
105,000 to 109,999.993.3%Not listed3.3%3.3¢ bid, 3.4¢ askpolled, 31s ago3.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)105,000 to 109,999.993.3%Kalshi 3.3%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
105,000 to 109,999.99
3.3%
Not listed
3.3%
3.3¢ bid, 3.4¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
3.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
105,000 to 109,999.99
3.3%
Kalshi 3.3%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 105,000 to 109,999.99
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,941 (29.4x)
- Volume
- $706K
76,000-78,0002.9%2.9%1.6¢ bid, 4.1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed4.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)76,000-78,0002.9%Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
76,000-78,000
2.9%
2.9%
1.6¢ bid, 4.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
4.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
76,000-78,000
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 76,000-78,000
- Last price
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,439 (24.4x)
- Volume
- $974
110,000 to 114,999.992.1%Not listed2.1%2¢ bid, 2.1¢ askpolled, 31s ago2.1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)110,000 to 114,999.992.1%Kalshi 2.1%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
110,000 to 114,999.99
2.1%
Not listed
2.1%
2¢ bid, 2.1¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
2.1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
110,000 to 114,999.99
2.1%
Kalshi 2.1%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 110,000 to 114,999.99
- Last price
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,762 (47.6x)
- Volume
- $673K
55,000 to 59,999.992%Not listed2%1.8¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 31s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)55,000 to 59,999.992%Kalshi 2%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
55,000 to 59,999.99
2%
Not listed
2%
1.8¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
55,000 to 59,999.99
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 55,000 to 59,999.99
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2.4M
50,000 to 54,999.991.2%Not listed1.2%1.1¢ bid, 1.2¢ askpolled, 31s ago1.2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)50,000 to 54,999.991.2%Kalshi 1.2%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
50,000 to 54,999.99
1.2%
Not listed
1.2%
1.1¢ bid, 1.2¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
1.2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
50,000 to 54,999.99
1.2%
Kalshi 1.2%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 50,000 to 54,999.99
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $2.6M
115,000 to 119,999.991.2%Not listed1.2%1.2¢ bid, 1.3¢ askpolled, 31s ago1.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)115,000 to 119,999.991.2%Kalshi 1.2%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
115,000 to 119,999.99
1.2%
Not listed
1.2%
1.2¢ bid, 1.3¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
1.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
115,000 to 119,999.99
1.2%
Kalshi 1.2%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 115,000 to 119,999.99
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,692 (76.9x)
- Volume
- $586K
74,000-76,0001.1%1.1%0.2¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)74,000-76,0001.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
74,000-76,000
1.1%
1.1%
0.2¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
74,000-76,000
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 74,000-76,000
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $10
120,000 to 124,999.991.1%Not listed1.1%1¢ bid, 1.1¢ askpolled, 31s ago1.1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)120,000 to 124,999.991.1%Kalshi 1.1%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
120,000 to 124,999.99
1.1%
Not listed
1.1%
1¢ bid, 1.1¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
1.1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
120,000 to 124,999.99
1.1%
Kalshi 1.1%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 120,000 to 124,999.99
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $703K
86,000-88,0001%1%0.1¢ bid, 1.8¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)86,000-88,0001%Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
86,000-88,000
1%
1%
0.1¢ bid, 1.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
86,000-88,000
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 86,000-88,000
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,556 (55.6x)
- Volume
- $260
45,000 to 49,999.990.9%Not listed0.9%0.8¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 31s ago0.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $11,111 (111x)45,000 to 49,999.990.9%Kalshi 0.9%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
45,000 to 49,999.99
0.9%
Not listed
0.9%
0.8¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
0.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
45,000 to 49,999.99
0.9%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 45,000 to 49,999.99
- Last price
- 0.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $2.7M
125,000 to 129,999.990.9%Not listed0.9%0.8¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 31s ago0.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $11,111 (111x)125,000 to 129,999.990.9%Kalshi 0.9%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
125,000 to 129,999.99
0.9%
Not listed
0.9%
0.8¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
0.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
125,000 to 129,999.99
0.9%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 125,000 to 129,999.99
- Last price
- 0.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $625K
150,000 or above0.9%Not listed0.9%0.8¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 31s ago0.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $11,111 (111x)150,000 or above0.9%Kalshi 0.9%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
150,000 or above
0.9%
Not listed
0.9%
0.8¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
0.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
150,000 or above
0.9%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 150,000 or above
- Last price
- 0.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $2.2M
35,000 to 39,999.990.7%Not listed0.7%0.6¢ bid, 0.7¢ askpolled, 31s ago0.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $14,286 (143x)35,000 to 39,999.990.7%Kalshi 0.7%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
35,000 to 39,999.99
0.7%
Not listed
0.7%
0.6¢ bid, 0.7¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
0.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
35,000 to 39,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 35,000 to 39,999.99
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
- Volume
- $1.8M
88,000-90,0000.7%0.7%0.1¢ bid, 1.2¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)88,000-90,0000.7%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
88,000-90,000
0.7%
0.7%
0.1¢ bid, 1.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
88,000-90,000
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 88,000-90,000
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $270
30,000 to 34,999.990.6%Not listed0.6%0.4¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 31s ago0.6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $16,667 (167x)30,000 to 34,999.990.6%Kalshi 0.6%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
30,000 to 34,999.99
0.6%
Not listed
0.6%
0.4¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
0.6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
30,000 to 34,999.99
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 30,000 to 34,999.99
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $1.1M
40,000 to 44,999.990.6%Not listed0.6%0.5¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 31s ago0.6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $16,667 (167x)40,000 to 44,999.990.6%Kalshi 0.6%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
40,000 to 44,999.99
0.6%
Not listed
0.6%
0.5¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
0.6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
40,000 to 44,999.99
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 40,000 to 44,999.99
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $1.9M
130,000 to 134,999.990.6%Not listed0.6%0.5¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 31s ago0.6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $16,667 (167x)130,000 to 134,999.990.6%Kalshi 0.6%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
130,000 to 134,999.99
0.6%
Not listed
0.6%
0.5¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
0.6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
130,000 to 134,999.99
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 130,000 to 134,999.99
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $587K
25,000 to 29,999.990.5%Not listed0.5%0.4¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 31s ago0.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $20,000 (200x)25,000 to 29,999.990.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
25,000 to 29,999.99
0.5%
Not listed
0.5%
0.4¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
0.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
25,000 to 29,999.99
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 25,000 to 29,999.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $840K
72,0000.5%0.5%0.2¢ bid, 0.8¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $12,500 (125x)72,0000.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
72,000
0.5%
0.5%
0.2¢ bid, 0.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $12,500 (125x)
72,000
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 72,000
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $12,500 (125x)
- Volume
- $623
135,000 to 139,999.990.5%Not listed0.5%0.4¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 31s ago0.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $20,000 (200x)135,000 to 139,999.990.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
135,000 to 139,999.99
0.5%
Not listed
0.5%
0.4¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
0.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
135,000 to 139,999.99
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 135,000 to 139,999.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $590K
90,0000.5%0.5%— bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)90,0000.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
90,000
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
90,000
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 90,000
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $1K
19,999.99 or below0.4%Not listed0.4%0.4¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 31s ago0.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $20,000 (200x)19,999.99 or below0.4%Kalshi 0.4%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
19,999.99 or below
0.4%
Not listed
0.4%
0.4¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
0.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
19,999.99 or below
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 19,999.99 or below
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $859K
20,000 to 24,999.990.4%Not listed0.4%0.3¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 31s ago0.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $25,000 (250x)20,000 to 24,999.990.4%Kalshi 0.4%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
20,000 to 24,999.99
0.4%
Not listed
0.4%
0.3¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
0.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
20,000 to 24,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 20,000 to 24,999.99
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $1.0M
72,000-74,0000.4%0.4%0.1¢ bid, 0.7¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $14,286 (143x)72,000-74,0000.4%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
72,000-74,000
0.4%
0.4%
0.1¢ bid, 0.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
72,000-74,000
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 72,000-74,000
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
- Volume
- $10
140,000 to 144,999.990.4%Not listed0.4%0.3¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 31s ago0.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $25,000 (250x)140,000 to 144,999.990.4%Kalshi 0.4%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
140,000 to 144,999.99
0.4%
Not listed
0.4%
0.3¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
0.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
140,000 to 144,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 140,000 to 144,999.99
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $627K
145,000 to 149,999.990.4%Not listed0.4%0.3¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 31s ago0.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $25,000 (250x)145,000 to 149,999.990.4%Kalshi 0.4%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
145,000 to 149,999.99
0.4%
Not listed
0.4%
0.3¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 31s ago
0.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
145,000 to 149,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 145,000 to 149,999.99
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $719K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 80,000-82,000
- 82,000-84,000
- 78,000-80,000
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list 80,000-82,000 for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Bitcoin price on October 24?". 80,000-82,000 leads at 44.5%. Next is 82,000-84,000 at 28.5%. $42.7M has traded across 39 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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