The Prediction Markets

Bitcoin price range on May 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Closed
May 22, 2026
Traded
$15K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on May 22, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
78,000 to 78,499.99
6.8%
Kalshi 8%(6.8% fair)polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
78,000 to 78,499.99
Last price
8%
Fair, margin removed
6.8%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
79,000 to 79,499.99
6.8%
Kalshi 8%(6.8% fair)polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
79,000 to 79,499.99
Last price
8%
Fair, margin removed
6.8%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
79,500 to 79,999.99
6.8%
Kalshi 8%(6.8% fair)polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
79,500 to 79,999.99
Last price
8%
Fair, margin removed
6.8%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
76,500 to 76,999.99
5.1%
Kalshi 6%(5.1% fair)polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
76,500 to 76,999.99
Last price
6%
Fair, margin removed
5.1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$141
Trade this on Kalshi
77,500 to 77,999.99
5.1%
Kalshi 6%(5.1% fair)polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
77,500 to 77,999.99
Last price
6%
Fair, margin removed
5.1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
77,000 to 77,499.99
4.2%
Kalshi 5%(4.2% fair)polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
77,000 to 77,499.99
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
4.2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$594
Trade this on Kalshi
78,500 to 78,999.99
4.2%
Kalshi 5%(4.2% fair)polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
78,500 to 78,999.99
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
4.2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$591
Trade this on Kalshi
74,000 to 74,499.99
3.4%
Kalshi 4%(3.4% fair)polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
74,000 to 74,499.99
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3.4%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
80,000 to 80,499.99
3.4%
Kalshi 4%(3.4% fair)polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
80,000 to 80,499.99
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3.4%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$458
Trade this on Kalshi
80,500 to 80,999.99
3.4%
Kalshi 4%(3.4% fair)polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
80,500 to 80,999.99
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3.4%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$545
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 40 more outcomes
85,500 to 85,999.99
3.4%
Kalshi 4%(3.4% fair)polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
85,500 to 85,999.99
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3.4%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
87,000 to 87,499.99
3.4%
Kalshi 4%(3.4% fair)polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
87,000 to 87,499.99
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3.4%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$75
Trade this on Kalshi
71,000 to 71,499.99
2.6%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
71,000 to 71,499.99
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$75
Trade this on Kalshi
75,500 to 75,999.99
2.6%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
75,500 to 75,999.99
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
76,000 to 76,499.99
2.6%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
76,000 to 76,499.99
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
81,000 to 81,499.99
2.5%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
81,000 to 81,499.99
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$612
Trade this on Kalshi
84,000 to 84,499.99
2.5%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
84,000 to 84,499.99
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
86,000 to 86,499.99
2.5%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
86,000 to 86,499.99
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
86,500 to 86,999.99
2.5%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
86,500 to 86,999.99
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
75,000 to 75,499.99
2.1%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
75,000 to 75,499.99
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
68,500 to 68,999.99
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
68,500 to 68,999.99
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Kalshi
69,500 to 69,999.99
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
69,500 to 69,999.99
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
72,000 to 72,499.99
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
72,000 to 72,499.99
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
73,500 to 73,999.99
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
73,500 to 73,999.99
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$58
Trade this on Kalshi
74,500 to 74,999.99
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
74,500 to 74,999.99
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$39
Trade this on Kalshi
81,500 to 81,999.99
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
81,500 to 81,999.99
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
82,000 to 82,499.99
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
82,000 to 82,499.99
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$173
Trade this on Kalshi
68,499.99 or below
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
68,499.99 or below
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Kalshi
73,000 to 73,499.99
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
73,000 to 73,499.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$58
Trade this on Kalshi
82,500 to 82,999.99
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
82,500 to 82,999.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Kalshi
83,000 to 83,499.99
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
83,000 to 83,499.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$58
Trade this on Kalshi
89,500 to 89,999.99
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
89,500 to 89,999.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
92,000 to 92,499.99
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
92,000 to 92,499.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
69,000 to 69,499.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
69,000 to 69,499.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
70,000 to 70,499.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
70,000 to 70,499.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
70,500 to 70,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
70,500 to 70,999.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
71,500 to 71,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
71,500 to 71,999.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
72,500 to 72,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
72,500 to 72,999.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
83,500 to 83,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
83,500 to 83,999.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
84,500 to 84,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
84,500 to 84,999.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
85,000 to 85,499.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
85,000 to 85,499.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
87,500 to 87,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
87,500 to 87,999.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
88,000 to 88,499.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
88,000 to 88,499.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
88,500 to 88,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
88,500 to 88,999.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
89,000 to 89,499.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
89,000 to 89,499.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
90,000 to 90,499.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
90,000 to 90,499.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
90,500 to 90,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
90,500 to 90,999.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
91,000 to 91,499.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
91,000 to 91,499.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
91,500 to 91,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
91,500 to 91,999.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
92,500 or above
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3833 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
92,500 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange)

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 78,000 to 78,499.99
  • 79,000 to 79,499.99
  • 79,500 to 79,999.99

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Bitcoin price range on May 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?". 78,000 to 78,499.99 last traded at 6.8%. Next is 79,000 to 79,499.99 at 6.8%. $15K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on May 22, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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