The Prediction Markets

BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert

Starts in 16 hKickoff
Traded
$3K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
3 min ago
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What the markets expect

Completed Match 55%

Next is BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert at 54%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Completed Match
55%
Polymarket 55%polled, 3 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
10¢
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
54%
Polymarket 54%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert Match O/U 21.5
Last price
54%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert Game Spread +/-3.5
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert Set Handicap +/-1.5
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert Match O/U 22.5
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$212
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert Match O/U 23.5
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert Set 2 Winner
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert Set 1 Winner
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Completed Match
  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert". Completed Match leads at 55%. Next is BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert at 54%. $3K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Ugo Humbert in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Ugo Humbert. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if Ugo Humbert advances against Adolfo Vallejo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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