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What the markets expect
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann 73.5%
Next is BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann at 67.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 24 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann73.5%73.5%73¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 24 h ago74¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $135 (1.35x)BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann73.5%Polymarket 73.5%polled, 24 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
73.5%
73.5%
73¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 24 h ago
74¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
73.5%
Polymarket 73.5%polled, 24 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
- Last price
- 73.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $3K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick HanfmannPolymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Set 1 Winner”67.5%67.5%66¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 24 h ago69¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $145 (1.45x)BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann67.5%Polymarket 67.5%polled, 24 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
Polymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Set 1 Winner”
67.5%
67.5%
66¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 24 h ago
69¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
67.5%
Polymarket 67.5%polled, 24 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Set 1 Winner
- Last price
- 67.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick HanfmannPolymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Set 2 Winner”63.5%63.5%53¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 24 h ago74¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $135 (1.35x)BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann63.5%Polymarket 63.5%polled, 24 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
Polymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Set 2 Winner”
63.5%
63.5%
53¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 24 h ago
74¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
63.5%
Polymarket 63.5%polled, 24 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Set 2 Winner
- Last price
- 63.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick HanfmannPolymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Match O/U 21.5”57%57%56¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 24 h ago58¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $172 (1.72x)BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann57%Polymarket 57%polled, 24 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
Polymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Match O/U 21.5”
57%
57%
56¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 24 h ago
58¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
57%
Polymarket 57%polled, 24 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Match O/U 21.5
- Last price
- 57%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
Completed Match55%55%10¢ bid, — askpolled, 24 h agoNo askCompleted Match55%Polymarket 55%polled, 24 h ago
Completed Match
55%
55%
10¢ bid, — ask
polled, 24 h ago
No ask
Completed Match
55%
Polymarket 55%polled, 24 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Completed Match
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick HanfmannPolymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Game Spread +/-3.5”52%52%51¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 24 h ago53¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $189 (1.89x)BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann52%Polymarket 52%polled, 24 h agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
Polymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Game Spread +/-3.5”
52%
52%
51¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 24 h ago
53¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 24 h agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Game Spread +/-3.5
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick HanfmannPolymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Set Handicap +/-1.5”50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 24 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann50%Polymarket 50%polled, 24 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
Polymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Set Handicap +/-1.5”
50%
50%
49¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 24 h ago
51¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 24 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick HanfmannPolymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Match O/U 22.5”48%48%47¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 24 h ago49¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $204 (2.04x)BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann48%Polymarket 48%polled, 24 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
Polymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Match O/U 22.5”
48%
48%
47¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 24 h ago
49¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 24 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Match O/U 22.5
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $4
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick HanfmannPolymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Match O/U 23.5”40.5%40.5%40¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 24 h ago41¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $244 (2.44x)BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann40.5%Polymarket 40.5%polled, 24 h agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
Polymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Match O/U 23.5”
40.5%
40.5%
40¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 24 h ago
41¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 24 h agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Match O/U 23.5
- Last price
- 40.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick HanfmannPolymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Total Sets: O/U 2.5”36%36%35¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 24 h ago37¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $270 (2.70x)BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann36%Polymarket 36%polled, 24 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
Polymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Total Sets: O/U 2.5”
36%
36%
35¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 24 h ago
37¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 24 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Total Sets: O/U 2.5
- Last price
- 36%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann". BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann leads at 73.5%. Next is BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann at 67.5%. $3K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Yannick Hanfmann in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Yannick Hanfmann. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Hanfmann' if Yannick Hanfmann advances against Alex Michelsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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