The Prediction Markets

BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Starts in 1 h 6 minKickoff
Traded
$23K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo 57%

Next is Completed Match at 54.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
57%
Polymarket 57%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.5
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
54.5%
Polymarket 54.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
54.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$36
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Game Spread +/-3.5
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 22.5
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 23.5
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
39%
Polymarket 39%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 Winner
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$39
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 Winner
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
  • Completed Match
  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo". BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads at 57%. Next is Completed Match at 54.5%. $23K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 15, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Elias Ymer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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