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What the markets expect
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys 50.5%
Next is BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys at 49%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin HalysPolymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Set 2 Winner”50.5%50.5%4¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 58s ago97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
Polymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Set 2 Winner”
50.5%
50.5%
4¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Set 2 Winner
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin HalysPolymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 21.5”49%49%1¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 58s ago97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys49%Polymarket 49%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
Polymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 21.5”
49%
49%
1¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 21.5
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin HalysPolymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 22.5”49%49%1¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 58s ago97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys49%Polymarket 49%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
Polymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 22.5”
49%
49%
1¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 22.5
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin HalysPolymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 23.5”49%49%3¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 58s ago95¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $105 (1.05x)BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys49%Polymarket 49%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
Polymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 23.5”
49%
49%
3¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
95¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 23.5
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin HalysPolymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Game Spread +/-1.5”48%48%46¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 58s ago50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys48%Polymarket 48%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
Polymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Game Spread +/-1.5”
48%
48%
46¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Game Spread +/-1.5
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin HalysPolymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Set 1 Winner”47.5%47.5%46¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 58s ago49¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $204 (2.04x)BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys47.5%Polymarket 47.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
Polymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Set 1 Winner”
47.5%
47.5%
46¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
49¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Set 1 Winner
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys45.5%45.5%45¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 58s ago46¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $217 (2.17x)BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys45.5%Polymarket 45.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
45.5%
45.5%
45¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
46¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
- Last price
- 45.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $4K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin HalysPolymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Total Sets: O/U 2.5”43.5%43.5%42¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 58s ago45¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $222 (2.22x)BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys43.5%Polymarket 43.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
Polymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Total Sets: O/U 2.5”
43.5%
43.5%
42¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
45¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Total Sets: O/U 2.5
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin HalysPolymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Set Handicap +/-1.5”32.5%32.5%31¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 58s ago34¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $294 (2.94x)BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys32.5%Polymarket 32.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
Polymarket: “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Set Handicap +/-1.5”
32.5%
32.5%
31¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
34¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Last price
- 32.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys". BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys leads at 50.5%. Next is BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys at 49%. $4K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 17, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Quentin Halys in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Quentin Halys. This market will resolve to 'Quentin Halys' if Quentin Halys advances against Lorenzo Sonego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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