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What the markets expect
Oscar Piastri 93%
Next is Andrea Kimi Antonelli at 92%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Oscar Piastri93%93%20¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 2 h ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Oscar Piastri93%Kalshi 93%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Oscar Piastri
93%
93%
20¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Oscar Piastri
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $10
Andrea Kimi Antonelli92%92%70¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 2 h ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Andrea Kimi Antonelli92%Kalshi 92%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
92%
92%
70¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $31
George Russell92%92%9¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 2 h ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)George Russell92%Kalshi 92%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
George Russell
92%
92%
9¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
George Russell
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $3
Lewis Hamilton84%84%69¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 2 h ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Lewis Hamilton84%Kalshi 84%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Lewis Hamilton
84%
84%
69¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Lewis Hamilton
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $1
Max Verstappen84%84%84¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 2 h ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Max Verstappen84%Kalshi 84%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Max Verstappen
84%
84%
84¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Max Verstappen
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 84¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $12
Lando Norris81%81%70¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 2 h ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Lando Norris81%Kalshi 81%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Lando Norris
81%
81%
70¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Lando Norris
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 81%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
- Volume
- $11
Isack Hadjar80%80%15¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 2 h ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Isack Hadjar80%Kalshi 80%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Isack Hadjar
80%
80%
15¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Isack Hadjar
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $1
Charles Leclerc64.5%64.5%35¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 2 h ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Charles Leclerc64.5%Kalshi 64.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Charles Leclerc
64.5%
64.5%
35¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Charles Leclerc
64.5%
Kalshi 64.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 64.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Liam Lawson60%60%56¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 2 h ago60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Liam Lawson60%Kalshi 60%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Liam Lawson
60%
60%
56¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Liam Lawson
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $26
Arvid Lindblad50%50%5¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 2 h ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Arvid Lindblad50%Kalshi 50%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Arvid Lindblad
50%
50%
5¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Arvid Lindblad
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
- Volume
- $100
Show 12 more outcomesHide 12 outcomes
Pierre Gasly50%50%13¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 2 h ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Pierre Gasly50%Kalshi 50%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Pierre Gasly
50%
50%
13¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Pierre Gasly
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $105
Carlos Sainz Jr.45%45%— bid, 90¢ askpolled, 2 h ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Carlos Sainz Jr.45%Kalshi 45%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Carlos Sainz Jr.
45%
45%
— bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Carlos Sainz Jr.
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Alexander Albon42.5%42.5%— bid, 85¢ askpolled, 2 h ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Alexander Albon42.5%Kalshi 42.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Alexander Albon
42.5%
42.5%
— bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Alexander Albon
42.5%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 42.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
Franco Colapinto39%39%34¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 2 h ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Franco Colapinto39%Kalshi 39%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Franco Colapinto
39%
39%
34¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Franco Colapinto
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $41
Gabriel Bortoleto33%33%13¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 2 h ago73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Gabriel Bortoleto33%Kalshi 33%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Gabriel Bortoleto
33%
33%
13¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Gabriel Bortoleto
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $44
Nico Hulkenberg33%33%3¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 2 h ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Nico Hulkenberg33%Kalshi 33%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Nico Hulkenberg
33%
33%
3¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Nico Hulkenberg
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $7
Fernando Alonso20%20%20¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 2 h ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Fernando Alonso20%Kalshi 20%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Fernando Alonso
20%
20%
20¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Fernando Alonso
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $208
Oliver Bearman19%19%12¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 2 h ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Oliver Bearman19%Kalshi 19%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Oliver Bearman
19%
19%
12¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Oliver Bearman
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $167
Sergio Perez12.5%12.5%— bid, 25¢ askpolled, 2 h ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Sergio Perez12.5%Kalshi 12.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Sergio Perez
12.5%
12.5%
— bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Sergio Perez
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Lance Stroll8%8%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 2 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Lance Stroll8%Kalshi 8%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Lance Stroll
8%
8%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Lance Stroll
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lance Stroll
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $2
Ryo Hirakawa2%2%— bid, 74¢ askpolled, 2 h ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Ryo Hirakawa2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Ryo Hirakawa
2%
2%
— bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Ryo Hirakawa
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryo Hirakawa
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $398
Valtteri Bottas2%2%— bid, 25¢ askpolled, 2 h ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Valtteri Bottas2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Valtteri Bottas
2%
2%
— bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Valtteri Bottas
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $14
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Oscar Piastri
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
- George Russell
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Brazil Grand Prix Main Race: Top 10 Finishers". Oscar Piastri leads at 93%. Next is Andrea Kimi Antonelli at 92%. $1K has traded across 22 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 15, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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