The Prediction Markets

Brazil Série B: 3rd Place Finish 2026

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 57 days
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
5 h ago
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What the markets expect

Novorizontino 46.5%

Next is Vila Nova at 46.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Novorizontino
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Novorizontino
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Vila Nova
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vila Nova
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Criciúma
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Criciúma
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Juventude
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Juventude
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Fortaleza
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fortaleza
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Novorizontino
  • Vila Nova
  • Criciúma

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Brazil Série B: 3rd Place Finish 2026". Novorizontino leads at 46.5%. Next is Vila Nova at 46.5%. $1K has traded across 5 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 3rd in the final standings of the 2026 Brazil Série B season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by Brazil Série B as finishing in third place. If multiple teams are officially awarded third place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 3rd in the 2026 Brazil Série B season, the market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Brazil Série B season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 3rd place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Brazil Série B. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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