The Prediction Markets

Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish

Starts in 47 hKickoff
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

Max Verstappen 72%

Next is Kimi Antonelli at 67%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Max Verstappen
72%
Polymarket 72%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Max Verstappen
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Polymarket
Kimi Antonelli
67%
Polymarket 67%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kimi Antonelli
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Polymarket
Lando Norris
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lando Norris
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$571
Trade this on Polymarket
Lewis Hamilton
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lewis Hamilton
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$124
Trade this on Polymarket
Charles Leclerc
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charles Leclerc
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$24
Trade this on Polymarket
George Russell
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
George Russell
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$184
Trade this on Polymarket
Isack Hadjar
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Isack Hadjar
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Oscar Piastri
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oscar Piastri
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Polymarket
Esteban Ocon
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Esteban Ocon
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Yuki Tsunoda
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yuki Tsunoda
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 13 more outcomes
Arvid Lindblad
4.8%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 9.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,042 (10.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arvid Lindblad
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
9.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,042 (10.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Liam Lawson
4.2%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liam Lawson
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
8.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,190 (11.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Pierre Gasly
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pierre Gasly
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Nico Hulkenberg
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nico Hulkenberg
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Fernando Alonso
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fernando Alonso
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Oliver Bearman
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oliver Bearman
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Franco Colapinto
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Franco Colapinto
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Carlos Sainz Jr.
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carlos Sainz Jr.
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lance Stroll
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lance Stroll
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Sergio Perez
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sergio Perez
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Valtteri Bottas
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Valtteri Bottas
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gabriel Bortoleto
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gabriel Bortoleto
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Alexander Albon
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alexander Albon
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,326 (23.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: formula1.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Max Verstappen
  • Kimi Antonelli
  • Lando Norris

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish". Max Verstappen leads at 72%. Next is Kimi Antonelli at 67%. $1K has traded across 23 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Brazilian Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Brazilian Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Brazilian Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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