The Prediction Markets

Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

Starts in 1 h 1 minKickoff
Traded
$35K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
18 h ago
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What the markets expect

Andrea Kimi Antonelli 38%

Next is Kimi Antonelli at 35.5%. The venues differ most on Max Verstappen (Polymarket 30.5%, Kalshi 33%), a 2.5-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 19 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kimi Antonelli
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 19 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kimi Antonelli
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$331
Trade this on Polymarket
Max Verstappen
32.4%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 33%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Max Verstappen
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$325
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Max Verstappen
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 19 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Lando Norris
18.5%
Polymarket 17%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 19%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lando Norris
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$57
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lando Norris
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 19 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Esteban Ocon
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 19 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Esteban Ocon
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Yuki Tsunoda
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 19 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yuki Tsunoda
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lewis Hamilton
7.9%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 8%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lewis Hamilton
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$69
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lewis Hamilton
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 19 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Charles Leclerc
6.6%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 7%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charles Leclerc
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Charles Leclerc
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 19 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

George Russell
5.5%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 6%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
George Russell
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$362
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
George Russell
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 19 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Oscar Piastri
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oscar Piastri
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Oscar Piastri
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$395
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 19 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Show 15 more outcomes
Isack Hadjar
1.9%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Isack Hadjar
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Isack Hadjar
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$271
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 19 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Pierre Gasly
1.7%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pierre Gasly
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Pierre Gasly
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 19 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Arvid Lindblad
1.3%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arvid Lindblad
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Arvid Lindblad
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Gabriel Bortoleto
1.3%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gabriel Bortoleto
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Gabriel Bortoleto
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Alexander Albon
1%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alexander Albon
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Alexander Albon
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Carlos Sainz Jr.
1%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carlos Sainz Jr.
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Carlos Sainz Jr.
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Fernando Alonso
1%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fernando Alonso
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Alonso
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Franco Colapinto
1%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Franco Colapinto
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Franco Colapinto
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Lance Stroll
1%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lance Stroll
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lance Stroll
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Liam Lawson
1%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liam Lawson
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Liam Lawson
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nico Hulkenberg
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nico Hulkenberg
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Oliver Bearman
1%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oliver Bearman
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Oliver Bearman
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Sergio Perez
1%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sergio Perez
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sergio Perez
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Valtteri Bottas
1%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Valtteri Bottas
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 19 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Valtteri Bottas
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Ryo Hirakawa
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 18 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ryo Hirakawa
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 18 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Venue prices are 19 h old, so we are not showing a cross-venue spread. Check each venue for current prices. Find markets with fresh spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Nov 14, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: formula1.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIA
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Nov 14, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli
  • Kimi Antonelli
  • Max Verstappen

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Andrea Kimi Antonelli for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position". Andrea Kimi Antonelli leads at 38%. Next is Kimi Antonelli at 35.5%. $35K has traded across 25 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 14, 2026.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 7, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 14, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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