The Prediction Markets

Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner

Starts in 4 daysKickoff
Traded
$30K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
5 h ago
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What the markets expect

Max Verstappen 36%

Next is Kimi Antonelli at 22.8%. The venues differ most on Lando Norris (Polymarket 7%, Kalshi 5%), a 2.0-point gap.

Max Verstappen 36%Kimi Antonelli 22.8%Lewis Hamilton 10.4%Charles Leclerc 8.9%George Russell 6.2%19 others 15.7%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Max Verstappen
36%
Polymarket 41.5%(35.6% fair)polled, 5 h agoKalshi 41%(36.3% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Max Verstappen
Last price
41.5%
Fair, margin removed
35.6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Max Verstappen
Last price
41%
Fair, margin removed
36.3%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 5 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Kimi Antonelli
22.8%
Polymarket 26.5%(22.7% fair)polled, 5 h agoKalshi 26%(23% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kimi Antonelli
Last price
26.5%
Fair, margin removed
22.7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Last price
26%
Fair, margin removed
23%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 5 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Lewis Hamilton
10.4%
Polymarket 11.5%(9.9% fair)polled, 5 h agoKalshi 12%(10.6% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lewis Hamilton
Last price
11.5%
Fair, margin removed
9.9%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lewis Hamilton
Last price
12%
Fair, margin removed
10.6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 5 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Charles Leclerc
8.9%
Polymarket 10.5%(9% fair)polled, 5 h agoKalshi 10%(8.9% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charles Leclerc
Last price
10.5%
Fair, margin removed
9%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$155
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Charles Leclerc
Last price
10%
Fair, margin removed
8.9%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 5 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

George Russell
6.2%
Polymarket 7.5%(6.4% fair)polled, 5 h agoKalshi 7%(6.2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
George Russell
Last price
7.5%
Fair, margin removed
6.4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
George Russell
Last price
7%
Fair, margin removed
6.2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 5 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Lando Norris
5.3%
Polymarket 7%(6% fair)polled, 5 h agoKalshi 5%(4.4% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lando Norris
Last price
7%
Fair, margin removed
6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lando Norris
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
4.4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 5 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Isack Hadjar
1.9%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Isack Hadjar
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Isack Hadjar
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$469
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 5 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Oscar Piastri
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oscar Piastri
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Oscar Piastri
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$158
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 5 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Alexander Albon
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alexander Albon
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Alexander Albon
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Arvid Lindblad
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arvid Lindblad
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Arvid Lindblad
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Show 14 more outcomes
Carlos Sainz Jr.
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carlos Sainz Jr.
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Carlos Sainz Jr.
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Ryo Hirakawa
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ryo Hirakawa
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Fernando Alonso
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fernando Alonso
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Alonso
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Franco Colapinto
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Franco Colapinto
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Franco Colapinto
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Gabriel Bortoleto
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gabriel Bortoleto
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Gabriel Bortoleto
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Lance Stroll
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lance Stroll
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lance Stroll
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Liam Lawson
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liam Lawson
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Liam Lawson
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Nico Hulkenberg
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nico Hulkenberg
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nico Hulkenberg
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Oliver Bearman
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oliver Bearman
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Oliver Bearman
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Pierre Gasly
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pierre Gasly
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Pierre Gasly
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Sergio Perez
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sergio Perez
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sergio Perez
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Valtteri Bottas
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Valtteri Bottas
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Valtteri Bottas
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Esteban Ocon
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Esteban Ocon
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Yuki Tsunoda
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yuki Tsunoda
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Venue prices are 5 h old, so we are not showing a cross-venue spread. Check each venue for current prices. Find markets with fresh spreads

Mostly the same bet: 6 differences

Where they differ

  • Kalshi: if race is cancelled, moved to a different circuit, or not started within 48 hours of scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price. Polymarket: cancelled or rescheduled after Nov 15, 2026 resolves to 'Other'; a delay of up to 7 days still counts. Postponement of 2-7 days is handled differently.
  • Polymarket lists Esteban Ocon and Yuki Tsunoda, which Kalshi does not list; Kalshi lists Ryo Hirakawa, which Polymarket does not list. Unpaired outcomes are not linked.
  • Polymarket says disqualifications or changes after publication of the Final Classification do not affect resolution; Kalshi pays after the Final Classification is posted but does not say how later changes are handled.
  • Polymarket also names the official F1 website and credible reporting as resolution sources, while Kalshi names only the FIA Final Classification; both rely on the FIA classification in practice.
  • Polymarket rules say 'Kimi Antonelli' while Kalshi uses 'Andrea Kimi Antonelli'; same driver.
  • Trading closes at different times: Nov 15, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 15, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: formula1.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIA
Show full rule comparison
  • Kalshi: if race is cancelled, moved to a different circuit, or not started within 48 hours of scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price. Polymarket: cancelled or rescheduled after Nov 15, 2026 resolves to 'Other'; a delay of up to 7 days still counts. Postponement of 2-7 days is handled differently.
  • Polymarket lists Esteban Ocon and Yuki Tsunoda, which Kalshi does not list; Kalshi lists Ryo Hirakawa, which Polymarket does not list. Unpaired outcomes are not linked.
  • Polymarket says disqualifications or changes after publication of the Final Classification do not affect resolution; Kalshi pays after the Final Classification is posted but does not say how later changes are handled.
  • Polymarket also names the official F1 website and credible reporting as resolution sources, while Kalshi names only the FIA Final Classification; both rely on the FIA classification in practice.
  • Polymarket rules say 'Kimi Antonelli' while Kalshi uses 'Andrea Kimi Antonelli'; same driver.
  • Trading closes Nov 15, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 15, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Max Verstappen
  • Kimi Antonelli
  • Lewis Hamilton

Live prices for Max Verstappen

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner". Max Verstappen leads at 36%. Next is Kimi Antonelli at 22.8%. $30K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 15, 2026.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 8, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 15, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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