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What the markets expect
63,500 or above 98.5%
Next is 64,500 or above at 98%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 8 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
63,500 or above98.5%98.5%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 8 h agoNo ask63,500 or above98.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 8 h ago
63,500 or above
98.5%
98.5%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 8 h ago
No ask
63,500 or above
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 8 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 63,500 or above
- Last price
- 98.5%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
64,500 or above98%98%96¢ bid, — askpolled, 8 h agoNo ask64,500 or above98%Kalshi 98%polled, 8 h ago
64,500 or above
98%
98%
96¢ bid, — ask
polled, 8 h ago
No ask
64,500 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 8 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 64,500 or above
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
66,000 or above97.5%97.5%96¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 8 h ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)66,000 or above97.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
66,000 or above
97.5%
97.5%
96¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
66,000 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 66,000 or above
- Last price
- 97.5%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
66,500 or above97%97%96¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 8 h ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)66,500 or above97%Kalshi 97%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
66,500 or above
97%
97%
96¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
66,500 or above
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 66,500 or above
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $100
67,000 or above97%97%96¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 8 h ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)67,000 or above97%Kalshi 97%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
67,000 or above
97%
97%
96¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
67,000 or above
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 67,000 or above
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $10
67,500 or above96.5%96.5%96¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 8 h ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)67,500 or above96.5%Kalshi 96.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
67,500 or above
96.5%
96.5%
96¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
67,500 or above
96.5%
Kalshi 96.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 67,500 or above
- Last price
- 96.5%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
68,000 or above96.5%96.5%96¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 8 h ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)68,000 or above96.5%Kalshi 96.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
68,000 or above
96.5%
96.5%
96¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
68,000 or above
96.5%
Kalshi 96.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 68,000 or above
- Last price
- 96.5%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
64,000 or above96%96%96¢ bid, — askpolled, 8 h agoNo ask64,000 or above96%Kalshi 96%polled, 8 h ago
64,000 or above
96%
96%
96¢ bid, — ask
polled, 8 h ago
No ask
64,000 or above
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 8 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 64,000 or above
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- Volume
- $192
65,000 or above96%96%96¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 8 h ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)65,000 or above96%Kalshi 96%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
65,000 or above
96%
96%
96¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
65,000 or above
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 65,000 or above
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $116
65,500 or above96%96%96¢ bid, — askpolled, 8 h agoNo ask65,500 or above96%Kalshi 96%polled, 8 h ago
65,500 or above
96%
96%
96¢ bid, — ask
polled, 8 h ago
No ask
65,500 or above
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 8 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 65,500 or above
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- Volume
- $192
Show 40 more outcomesHide 40 outcomes
68,500 or above96%96%96¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 8 h ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)68,500 or above96%Kalshi 96%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
68,500 or above
96%
96%
96¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
68,500 or above
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 68,500 or above
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $1K
69,000 or above95%95%95¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 8 h ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)69,000 or above95%Kalshi 95%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
69,000 or above
95%
95%
95¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
69,000 or above
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 69,000 or above
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $38
69,500 or above94%94%94¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 8 h ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)69,500 or above94%Kalshi 94%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
69,500 or above
94%
94%
94¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
69,500 or above
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 69,500 or above
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $200
70,000 or above93%93%92¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 8 h ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)70,000 or above93%Kalshi 93%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
70,000 or above
93%
93%
92¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
70,000 or above
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 70,000 or above
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $43K
70,500 or above92%92%92¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 8 h ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)70,500 or above92%Kalshi 92%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
70,500 or above
92%
92%
92¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
70,500 or above
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 70,500 or above
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $3K
71,000 or above90%90%90¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 8 h ago91¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $110 (1.10x)71,000 or above90%Kalshi 90%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
71,000 or above
90%
90%
90¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
91¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
71,000 or above
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 71,000 or above
- Last price
- 90%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
- Volume
- $422
71,500 or above89%89%88¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 8 h ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)71,500 or above89%Kalshi 89%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
71,500 or above
89%
89%
88¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
71,500 or above
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 71,500 or above
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
- Volume
- $451
72,000 or above86%86%86¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 8 h ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)72,000 or above86%Kalshi 86%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
72,000 or above
86%
86%
86¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
72,000 or above
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 72,000 or above
- Last price
- 86%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
- Volume
- $1K
72,500 or above83%83%83¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 8 h ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)72,500 or above83%Kalshi 83%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
72,500 or above
83%
83%
83¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
72,500 or above
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 72,500 or above
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
- Volume
- $13K
73,000 or above79%79%79¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 8 h ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)73,000 or above79%Kalshi 79%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
73,000 or above
79%
79%
79¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
73,000 or above
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 73,000 or above
- Last price
- 79%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $1K
73,500 or above76%76%76¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 8 h ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)73,500 or above76%Kalshi 76%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
73,500 or above
76%
76%
76¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
73,500 or above
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 73,500 or above
- Last price
- 76%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
- Volume
- $10
74,000 or above71%71%71¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, 8 h ago72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)74,000 or above71%Kalshi 71%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
74,000 or above
71%
71%
71¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
74,000 or above
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 74,000 or above
- Last price
- 71%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
- Volume
- $279
74,500 or above67%67%67¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 8 h ago68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)74,500 or above67%Kalshi 67%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
74,500 or above
67%
67%
67¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
74,500 or above
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 74,500 or above
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 67¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $733
75,000 or above63%63%62¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 8 h ago63¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $159 (1.59x)75,000 or above63%Kalshi 63%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
75,000 or above
63%
63%
62¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
63¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
75,000 or above
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 75,000 or above
- Last price
- 63%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
- Volume
- $6K
75,500 or above58%58%57¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 8 h ago58¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $172 (1.72x)75,500 or above58%Kalshi 58%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
75,500 or above
58%
58%
57¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
58¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
75,500 or above
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 75,500 or above
- Last price
- 58%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
- Volume
- $5K
76,000 or above52%52%51¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 8 h ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)76,000 or above52%Kalshi 52%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
76,000 or above
52%
52%
51¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
76,000 or above
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 76,000 or above
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $19K
76,500 or above46%46%46¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 8 h ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)76,500 or above46%Kalshi 46%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
76,500 or above
46%
46%
46¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
76,500 or above
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 76,500 or above
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $1K
77,000 or above40%40%40¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 8 h ago41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)77,000 or above40%Kalshi 40%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
77,000 or above
40%
40%
40¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
77,000 or above
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 77,000 or above
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $540
77,500 or above35%35%34¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 8 h ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)77,500 or above35%Kalshi 35%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
77,500 or above
35%
35%
34¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
77,500 or above
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 77,500 or above
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $261
78,000 or above30%30%30¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 8 h ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)78,000 or above30%Kalshi 30%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
78,000 or above
30%
30%
30¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
78,000 or above
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 78,000 or above
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $585
78,500 or above25%25%25¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 8 h ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)78,500 or above25%Kalshi 25%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
78,500 or above
25%
25%
25¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
78,500 or above
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 78,500 or above
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $133
79,000 or above21%21%20¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 8 h ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)79,000 or above21%Kalshi 21%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
79,000 or above
21%
21%
20¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
79,000 or above
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 79,000 or above
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $6K
79,500 or above16%16%16¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 8 h ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)79,500 or above16%Kalshi 16%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
79,500 or above
16%
16%
16¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
79,500 or above
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 79,500 or above
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $538
80,000 or above14%14%13¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 8 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)80,000 or above14%Kalshi 14%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
80,000 or above
14%
14%
13¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
80,000 or above
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 80,000 or above
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $7K
80,500 or above12%12%11¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 8 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)80,500 or above12%Kalshi 12%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
80,500 or above
12%
12%
11¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
80,500 or above
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 80,500 or above
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $481
81,000 or above10%10%9¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 8 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)81,000 or above10%Kalshi 10%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
81,000 or above
10%
10%
9¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
81,000 or above
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 81,000 or above
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
81,500 or above7%7%7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 8 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)81,500 or above7%Kalshi 7%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
81,500 or above
7%
7%
7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
81,500 or above
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 81,500 or above
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $2K
82,000 or above6%6%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 8 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)82,000 or above6%Kalshi 6%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
82,000 or above
6%
6%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
82,000 or above
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 82,000 or above
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
82,500 or above5%5%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 8 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)82,500 or above5%Kalshi 5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
82,500 or above
5%
5%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
82,500 or above
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 82,500 or above
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
83,000 or above5%5%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 8 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)83,000 or above5%Kalshi 5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
83,000 or above
5%
5%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
83,000 or above
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 83,000 or above
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $13K
83,500 or above4%4%2¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 8 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)83,500 or above4%Kalshi 4%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
83,500 or above
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
83,500 or above
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 83,500 or above
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $569
86,000 or above4%4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 8 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)86,000 or above4%Kalshi 4%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
86,000 or above
4%
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
86,000 or above
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 86,000 or above
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $43
86,500 or above4%4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 8 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)86,500 or above4%Kalshi 4%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
86,500 or above
4%
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
86,500 or above
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 86,500 or above
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $2
85,000 or above3%3%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 8 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)85,000 or above3%Kalshi 3%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
85,000 or above
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
85,000 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 85,000 or above
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $6K
84,500 or above2%2%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 8 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)84,500 or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
84,500 or above
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
84,500 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 84,500 or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
85,500 or above2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 8 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)85,500 or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
85,500 or above
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
85,500 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 85,500 or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
87,000 or above2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 8 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)87,000 or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
87,000 or above
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
87,000 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 87,000 or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $111
87,500 or above2%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 8 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)87,500 or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
87,500 or above
2%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
87,500 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 87,500 or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $30K
84,000 or above1%1%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 8 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)84,000 or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
84,000 or above
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
84,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 84,000 or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
88,000 or above1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 8 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)88,000 or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
88,000 or above
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
88,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 88,000 or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 63,500 or above
- 64,500 or above
- 66,000 or above
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "BTC price on Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST?". 63,500 or above leads at 98.5%. Next is 64,500 or above at 98%. $169K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 13, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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