The Prediction Markets

BTC price on Nov 20, 2026 at 5pm EST?

Closes
Nov 20, 2026, in 7 days
Traded
$4K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

56,500 or above 99%

Next is 59,000 or above at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
56,500 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 32s ago
Kalshi
Contract
56,500 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Trade this on Kalshi
59,000 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 32s ago
Kalshi
Contract
59,000 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Trade this on Kalshi
57,000 or above
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 32s ago
Kalshi
Contract
57,000 or above
Last price
98.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Trade this on Kalshi
57,500 or above
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 32s ago
Kalshi
Contract
57,500 or above
Last price
98.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Trade this on Kalshi
58,000 or above
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 32s ago
Kalshi
Contract
58,000 or above
Last price
98.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Trade this on Kalshi
58,500 or above
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 32s ago
Kalshi
Contract
58,500 or above
Last price
98.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Trade this on Kalshi
59,500 or above
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 32s ago
Kalshi
Contract
59,500 or above
Last price
98.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Trade this on Kalshi
60,000 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
60,000 or above
Last price
97.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
60,500 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
60,500 or above
Last price
97.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
61,000 or above
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
61,000 or above
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 40 more outcomes
61,500 or above
96.5%
Kalshi 96.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
61,500 or above
Last price
96.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
62,000 or above
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
62,000 or above
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
62,500 or above
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
62,500 or above
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
63,000 or above
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
63,000 or above
Last price
94%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
63,500 or above
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
63,500 or above
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
64,000 or above
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
64,000 or above
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
64,500 or above
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
64,500 or above
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Trade this on Kalshi
65,000 or above
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
65,000 or above
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
65,500 or above
76.5%
Kalshi 76.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
65,500 or above
Last price
76.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Trade this on Kalshi
66,000 or above
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
66,000 or above
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
66,500 or above
67.5%
Kalshi 67.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
66,500 or above
Last price
67.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Kalshi
67,000 or above
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
67,000 or above
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
67,500 or above
59.5%
Kalshi 59.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
67,500 or above
Last price
59.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
68,000 or above
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
68,000 or above
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Kalshi
68,500 or above
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
68,500 or above
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
69,000 or above
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
69,000 or above
Last price
44%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
69,500 or above
37.5%
Kalshi 37.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
69,500 or above
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Kalshi
70,000 or above
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
70,000 or above
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$658
Trade this on Kalshi
70,500 or above
28.5%
Kalshi 28.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
70,500 or above
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
71,000 or above
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
71,000 or above
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
71,500 or above
20.5%
Kalshi 20.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
71,500 or above
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
72,000 or above
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
72,000 or above
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
72,500 or above
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
72,500 or above
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
73,000 or above
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
73,000 or above
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
73,500 or above
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
73,500 or above
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
74,000 or above
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
74,000 or above
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
74,500 or above
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
74,500 or above
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
75,000 or above
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
75,000 or above
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
75,500 or above
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
75,500 or above
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
76,000 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
76,000 or above
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
76,500 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
76,500 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
77,000 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
77,000 or above
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
77,500 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
77,500 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
78,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
78,000 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
78,500 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
78,500 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
79,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
79,000 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
79,500 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
79,500 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
80,000 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
80,000 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
80,500 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
80,500 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
81,000 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
81,000 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 56,500 or above
  • 59,000 or above
  • 57,000 or above

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "BTC price on Nov 20, 2026 at 5pm EST?". 56,500 or above leads at 99%. Next is 59,000 or above at 99%. $4K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 20, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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