The Prediction Markets

BTC price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5pm EST?

Closes
Nov 6, 2026, in 2 days
Traded
$1.5M
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
5 h ago
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What the markets expect

65,000 or above 99%

Next is 66,500 or above at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
65,000 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 5 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
65,000 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$862
Trade this on Kalshi
66,500 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 5 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
66,500 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
67,000 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 5 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
67,000 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
68,500 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 5 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
68,500 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
69,500 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
69,500 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
70,000 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 5 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
70,000 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
70,500 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 5 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
70,500 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Kalshi
65,500 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 5 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
65,500 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$231
Trade this on Kalshi
66,000 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 5 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
66,000 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Kalshi
67,500 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 5 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
67,500 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 40 more outcomes
68,000 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 5 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
68,000 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
69,000 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 5 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
69,000 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
72,000 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
72,000 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$34K
Trade this on Kalshi
71,000 or above
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
71,000 or above
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Kalshi
71,500 or above
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
71,500 or above
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$33K
Trade this on Kalshi
72,500 or above
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
72,500 or above
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Kalshi
73,000 or above
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
73,000 or above
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Kalshi
73,500 or above
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
73,500 or above
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$50K
Trade this on Kalshi
74,000 or above
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
74,000 or above
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$63K
Trade this on Kalshi
74,500 or above
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
74,500 or above
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$53K
Trade this on Kalshi
75,000 or above
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
75,000 or above
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$76K
Trade this on Kalshi
75,500 or above
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
75,500 or above
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$56K
Trade this on Kalshi
76,000 or above
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
76,000 or above
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$100K
Trade this on Kalshi
76,500 or above
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
76,500 or above
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$177K
Trade this on Kalshi
77,000 or above
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
77,000 or above
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$127K
Trade this on Kalshi
77,500 or above
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
77,500 or above
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$115K
Trade this on Kalshi
78,000 or above
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
78,000 or above
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$94K
Trade this on Kalshi
78,500 or above
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
Contract
78,500 or above
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Kalshi
79,000 or above
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
79,000 or above
Last price
54%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Kalshi
79,500 or above
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
79,500 or above
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Kalshi
80,000 or above
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
80,000 or above
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Kalshi
80,500 or above
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
80,500 or above
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Kalshi
81,000 or above
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
81,000 or above
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$52K
Trade this on Kalshi
81,500 or above
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
81,500 or above
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Kalshi
82,000 or above
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
82,000 or above
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$30K
Trade this on Kalshi
82,500 or above
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
82,500 or above
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
83,000 or above
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
83,000 or above
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$29K
Trade this on Kalshi
83,500 or above
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
83,500 or above
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
84,000 or above
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
84,000 or above
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
84,500 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
84,500 or above
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
85,000 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
85,000 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
85,500 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
85,500 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
86,000 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
86,000 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
86,500 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
86,500 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
87,000 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
87,000 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
87,500 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
87,500 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$236
Trade this on Kalshi
88,000 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
88,000 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$153
Trade this on Kalshi
88,500 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
88,500 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$48
Trade this on Kalshi
89,500 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
89,500 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$572
Trade this on Kalshi
89,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
89,000 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$348
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 65,000 or above
  • 66,500 or above
  • 67,000 or above

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "BTC price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5pm EST?". 65,000 or above leads at 99%. Next is 66,500 or above at 99%. $1.5M has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 6, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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