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What the markets expect
76,000 to 76,499.99 5.5%
Next is 75,000 to 75,499.99 at 4.7%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 9 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
76,000 to 76,499.995.5%7%5.5% fair5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 9 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)76,000 to 76,499.995.5%Kalshi 7%(5.5% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
76,000 to 76,499.99
5.5%
7%
5.5% fair
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
76,000 to 76,499.99
5.5%
Kalshi 7%(5.5% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 76,000 to 76,499.99
- Last price
- 7%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
75,000 to 75,499.994.7%6%4.7% fair4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 9 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)75,000 to 75,499.994.7%Kalshi 6%(4.7% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
75,000 to 75,499.99
4.7%
6%
4.7% fair
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
75,000 to 75,499.99
4.7%
Kalshi 6%(4.7% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 75,000 to 75,499.99
- Last price
- 6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.7%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $250
76,500 to 76,999.994.7%6%4.7% fair4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 9 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)76,500 to 76,999.994.7%Kalshi 6%(4.7% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
76,500 to 76,999.99
4.7%
6%
4.7% fair
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
76,500 to 76,999.99
4.7%
Kalshi 6%(4.7% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 76,500 to 76,999.99
- Last price
- 6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.7%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $100
77,000 to 77,499.994.7%6%4.7% fair4¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 9 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)77,000 to 77,499.994.7%Kalshi 6%(4.7% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
77,000 to 77,499.99
4.7%
6%
4.7% fair
4¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
77,000 to 77,499.99
4.7%
Kalshi 6%(4.7% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 77,000 to 77,499.99
- Last price
- 6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.7%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $216
78,000 to 78,499.994.7%6%4.7% fair4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 9 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)78,000 to 78,499.994.7%Kalshi 6%(4.7% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
78,000 to 78,499.99
4.7%
6%
4.7% fair
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
78,000 to 78,499.99
4.7%
Kalshi 6%(4.7% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 78,000 to 78,499.99
- Last price
- 6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.7%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $48
73,500 to 73,999.993.9%5%3.9% fair3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 9 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)73,500 to 73,999.993.9%Kalshi 5%(3.9% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
73,500 to 73,999.99
3.9%
5%
3.9% fair
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
73,500 to 73,999.99
3.9%
Kalshi 5%(3.9% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 73,500 to 73,999.99
- Last price
- 5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.9%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $736
74,000 to 74,499.993.9%5%3.9% fair3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 9 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)74,000 to 74,499.993.9%Kalshi 5%(3.9% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
74,000 to 74,499.99
3.9%
5%
3.9% fair
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
74,000 to 74,499.99
3.9%
Kalshi 5%(3.9% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 74,000 to 74,499.99
- Last price
- 5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.9%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $16
75,500 to 75,999.993.9%5%3.9% fair5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 9 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)75,500 to 75,999.993.9%Kalshi 5%(3.9% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
75,500 to 75,999.99
3.9%
5%
3.9% fair
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
75,500 to 75,999.99
3.9%
Kalshi 5%(3.9% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 75,500 to 75,999.99
- Last price
- 5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.9%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
72,500 to 72,999.993.1%4%3.1% fair2¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 9 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)72,500 to 72,999.993.1%Kalshi 4%(3.1% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
72,500 to 72,999.99
3.1%
4%
3.1% fair
2¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
72,500 to 72,999.99
3.1%
Kalshi 4%(3.1% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 72,500 to 72,999.99
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $47
74,500 to 74,999.993.1%4%3.1% fair4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 9 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)74,500 to 74,999.993.1%Kalshi 4%(3.1% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
74,500 to 74,999.99
3.1%
4%
3.1% fair
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
74,500 to 74,999.99
3.1%
Kalshi 4%(3.1% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 74,500 to 74,999.99
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $221
Show 40 more outcomesHide 40 outcomes
77,500 to 77,999.993.1%4%3.1% fair4¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 9 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)77,500 to 77,999.993.1%Kalshi 4%(3.1% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
77,500 to 77,999.99
3.1%
4%
3.1% fair
4¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
77,500 to 77,999.99
3.1%
Kalshi 4%(3.1% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 77,500 to 77,999.99
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $80
79,000 to 79,499.993.1%4%3.1% fair3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 9 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)79,000 to 79,499.993.1%Kalshi 4%(3.1% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
79,000 to 79,499.99
3.1%
4%
3.1% fair
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
79,000 to 79,499.99
3.1%
Kalshi 4%(3.1% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 79,000 to 79,499.99
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
73,000 to 73,499.992.7%3.5%2.7% fair2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 9 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)73,000 to 73,499.992.7%Kalshi 3.5%(2.7% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
73,000 to 73,499.99
2.7%
3.5%
2.7% fair
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
73,000 to 73,499.99
2.7%
Kalshi 3.5%(2.7% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 73,000 to 73,499.99
- Last price
- 3.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
79,500 to 79,999.992.7%3.5%2.7% fair3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 9 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)79,500 to 79,999.992.7%Kalshi 3.5%(2.7% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
79,500 to 79,999.99
2.7%
3.5%
2.7% fair
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
79,500 to 79,999.99
2.7%
Kalshi 3.5%(2.7% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 79,500 to 79,999.99
- Last price
- 3.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
72,000 to 72,499.992.3%3%2.3% fair2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 9 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)72,000 to 72,499.992.3%Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
72,000 to 72,499.99
2.3%
3%
2.3% fair
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
72,000 to 72,499.99
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 72,000 to 72,499.99
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $720
78,500 to 78,999.992.3%3%2.3% fair3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 9 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)78,500 to 78,999.992.3%Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
78,500 to 78,999.99
2.3%
3%
2.3% fair
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
78,500 to 78,999.99
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 78,500 to 78,999.99
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $573
80,000 to 80,499.992.3%3%2.3% fair2¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 9 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)80,000 to 80,499.992.3%Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
80,000 to 80,499.99
2.3%
3%
2.3% fair
2¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
80,000 to 80,499.99
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 80,000 to 80,499.99
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
86,000 to 86,499.992.3%3%2.3% fair— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 9 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)86,000 to 86,499.992.3%Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
86,000 to 86,499.99
2.3%
3%
2.3% fair
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
86,000 to 86,499.99
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 86,000 to 86,499.99
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $355
86,500 to 86,999.992.3%3%2.3% fair— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 9 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)86,500 to 86,999.992.3%Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
86,500 to 86,999.99
2.3%
3%
2.3% fair
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
86,500 to 86,999.99
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 86,500 to 86,999.99
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $43
81,500 to 81,999.991.9%2.5%2% fair1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 9 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)81,500 to 81,999.991.9%Kalshi 2.5%(2% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
81,500 to 81,999.99
1.9%
2.5%
2% fair
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
81,500 to 81,999.99
1.9%
Kalshi 2.5%(2% fair)polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 81,500 to 81,999.99
- Last price
- 2.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
63,999.99 or below1.6%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 9 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)63,999.99 or below1.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
63,999.99 or below
1.6%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
63,999.99 or below
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 63,999.99 or below
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
69,500 to 69,999.991.6%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 9 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)69,500 to 69,999.991.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
69,500 to 69,999.99
1.6%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
69,500 to 69,999.99
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 69,500 to 69,999.99
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $20
71,500 to 71,999.991.6%2%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 9 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)71,500 to 71,999.991.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
71,500 to 71,999.99
1.6%
2%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
71,500 to 71,999.99
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 71,500 to 71,999.99
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
80,500 to 80,999.991.5%2%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 9 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)80,500 to 80,999.991.5%Kalshi 2%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
80,500 to 80,999.99
1.5%
2%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
80,500 to 80,999.99
1.5%
Kalshi 2%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 80,500 to 80,999.99
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
81,000 to 81,499.991.5%2%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 9 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)81,000 to 81,499.991.5%Kalshi 2%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
81,000 to 81,499.99
1.5%
2%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
81,000 to 81,499.99
1.5%
Kalshi 2%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 81,000 to 81,499.99
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
82,000 to 82,499.991.5%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 9 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)82,000 to 82,499.991.5%Kalshi 2%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
82,000 to 82,499.99
1.5%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
82,000 to 82,499.99
1.5%
Kalshi 2%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 82,000 to 82,499.99
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
88,000 or above1.5%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 9 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)88,000 or above1.5%Kalshi 2%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
88,000 or above
1.5%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
88,000 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 2%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 88,000 or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $30K
64,500 to 64,999.991.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 9 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)64,500 to 64,999.991.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
64,500 to 64,999.99
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
64,500 to 64,999.99
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 64,500 to 64,999.99
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
68,000 to 68,499.991.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 9 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)68,000 to 68,499.991.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
68,000 to 68,499.99
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
68,000 to 68,499.99
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 68,000 to 68,499.99
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
70,000 to 70,499.991.2%1.5%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 9 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)70,000 to 70,499.991.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
70,000 to 70,499.99
1.2%
1.5%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
70,000 to 70,499.99
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 70,000 to 70,499.99
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
70,500 to 70,999.991.2%1.5%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 9 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)70,500 to 70,999.991.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
70,500 to 70,999.99
1.2%
1.5%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
70,500 to 70,999.99
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 70,500 to 70,999.99
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
71,000 to 71,499.991.2%1.5%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 9 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)71,000 to 71,499.991.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
71,000 to 71,499.99
1.2%
1.5%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
71,000 to 71,499.99
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 71,000 to 71,499.99
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
82,500 to 82,999.991.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 9 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)82,500 to 82,999.991.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
82,500 to 82,999.99
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
82,500 to 82,999.99
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 82,500 to 82,999.99
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
85,500 to 85,999.991.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 9 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)85,500 to 85,999.991.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
85,500 to 85,999.99
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
85,500 to 85,999.99
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 85,500 to 85,999.99
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
87,000 to 87,499.991.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 9 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)87,000 to 87,499.991.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
87,000 to 87,499.99
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
87,000 to 87,499.99
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 87,000 to 87,499.99
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
87,500 to 87,999.991.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 9 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)87,500 to 87,999.991.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
87,500 to 87,999.99
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
87,500 to 87,999.99
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 87,500 to 87,999.99
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
64,000 to 64,499.990.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 9 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)64,000 to 64,499.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
64,000 to 64,499.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
64,000 to 64,499.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 64,000 to 64,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
65,000 to 65,499.990.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 9 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)65,000 to 65,499.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
65,000 to 65,499.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
65,000 to 65,499.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 65,000 to 65,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
65,500 to 65,999.990.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 9 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)65,500 to 65,999.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
65,500 to 65,999.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
65,500 to 65,999.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 65,500 to 65,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
66,000 to 66,499.990.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 9 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)66,000 to 66,499.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
66,000 to 66,499.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
66,000 to 66,499.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 66,000 to 66,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
66,500 to 66,999.990.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 9 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)66,500 to 66,999.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
66,500 to 66,999.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
66,500 to 66,999.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 66,500 to 66,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
67,000 to 67,499.990.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 9 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)67,000 to 67,499.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
67,000 to 67,499.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
67,000 to 67,499.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 67,000 to 67,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
67,500 to 67,999.990.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 9 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)67,500 to 67,999.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
67,500 to 67,999.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
67,500 to 67,999.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 67,500 to 67,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
68,500 to 68,999.990.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 9 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)68,500 to 68,999.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
68,500 to 68,999.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
68,500 to 68,999.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 68,500 to 68,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
69,000 to 69,499.990.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 9 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)69,000 to 69,499.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
69,000 to 69,499.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
69,000 to 69,499.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 69,000 to 69,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
83,000 to 83,499.990.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 9 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)83,000 to 83,499.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
83,000 to 83,499.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
83,000 to 83,499.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 83,000 to 83,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
83,500 to 83,999.990.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 9 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)83,500 to 83,999.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
83,500 to 83,999.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
83,500 to 83,999.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 83,500 to 83,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
84,000 to 84,499.990.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 9 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)84,000 to 84,499.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
84,000 to 84,499.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
84,000 to 84,499.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 84,000 to 84,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
84,500 to 84,999.990.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 9 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)84,500 to 84,999.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
84,500 to 84,999.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
84,500 to 84,999.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 84,500 to 84,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
85,000 to 85,499.990.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 9 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)85,000 to 85,499.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
85,000 to 85,499.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 9 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
85,000 to 85,499.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 9 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 85,000 to 85,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 9 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 76,000 to 76,499.99
- 75,000 to 75,499.99
- 76,500 to 76,999.99
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "BTC price range on Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST?". 76,000 to 76,499.99 leads at 5.5%. Next is 75,000 to 75,499.99 at 4.7%. $38K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 13, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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