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Best ask
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What the markets expect
81,000 to 81,499.99 11.6%
Next is 80,500 to 80,999.99 at 10.1%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
81,000 to 81,499.9911.6%16%11.6% fair13¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, just now16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)81,000 to 81,499.9911.6%Kalshi 16%(11.6% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
81,000 to 81,499.99
11.6%
16%
11.6% fair
13¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, just now
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
81,000 to 81,499.99
11.6%
Kalshi 16%(11.6% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 81,000 to 81,499.99
- Last price
- 16%
- Fair, margin removed
- 11.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $3K
80,500 to 80,999.9910.1%14%10.1% fair12¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, just now15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)80,500 to 80,999.9910.1%Kalshi 14%(10.1% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
80,500 to 80,999.99
10.1%
14%
10.1% fair
12¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, just now
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
80,500 to 80,999.99
10.1%
Kalshi 14%(10.1% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 80,500 to 80,999.99
- Last price
- 14%
- Fair, margin removed
- 10.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $2K
81,500 to 81,999.9910.1%14%10.1% fair11¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, just now15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)81,500 to 81,999.9910.1%Kalshi 14%(10.1% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
81,500 to 81,999.99
10.1%
14%
10.1% fair
11¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, just now
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
81,500 to 81,999.99
10.1%
Kalshi 14%(10.1% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 81,500 to 81,999.99
- Last price
- 14%
- Fair, margin removed
- 10.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $8K
82,000 to 82,499.997.2%10%7.2% fair10¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, just now14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)82,000 to 82,499.997.2%Kalshi 10%(7.2% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
82,000 to 82,499.99
7.2%
10%
7.2% fair
10¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, just now
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
82,000 to 82,499.99
7.2%
Kalshi 10%(7.2% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 82,000 to 82,499.99
- Last price
- 10%
- Fair, margin removed
- 7.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $7K
79,500 to 79,999.996.5%9%6.5% fair6¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)79,500 to 79,999.996.5%Kalshi 9%(6.5% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
79,500 to 79,999.99
6.5%
9%
6.5% fair
6¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
79,500 to 79,999.99
6.5%
Kalshi 9%(6.5% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 79,500 to 79,999.99
- Last price
- 9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $4K
80,000 to 80,499.995.8%8%5.8% fair8¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, just now12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)80,000 to 80,499.995.8%Kalshi 8%(5.8% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
80,000 to 80,499.99
5.8%
8%
5.8% fair
8¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, just now
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
80,000 to 80,499.99
5.8%
Kalshi 8%(5.8% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 80,000 to 80,499.99
- Last price
- 8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $382
82,500 to 82,999.995.8%8%5.8% fair7¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)82,500 to 82,999.995.8%Kalshi 8%(5.8% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
82,500 to 82,999.99
5.8%
8%
5.8% fair
7¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
82,500 to 82,999.99
5.8%
Kalshi 8%(5.8% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 82,500 to 82,999.99
- Last price
- 8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
79,000 to 79,499.994.3%6%4.3% fair2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)79,000 to 79,499.994.3%Kalshi 6%(4.3% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
79,000 to 79,499.99
4.3%
6%
4.3% fair
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
79,000 to 79,499.99
4.3%
Kalshi 6%(4.3% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 79,000 to 79,499.99
- Last price
- 6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $51
83,000 to 83,499.994.3%6%4.3% fair3¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)83,000 to 83,499.994.3%Kalshi 6%(4.3% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
83,000 to 83,499.99
4.3%
6%
4.3% fair
3¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
83,000 to 83,499.99
4.3%
Kalshi 6%(4.3% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 83,000 to 83,499.99
- Last price
- 6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $4K
83,500 to 83,999.993.6%5%3.6% fair2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, just now5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)83,500 to 83,999.993.6%Kalshi 5%(3.6% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
83,500 to 83,999.99
3.6%
5%
3.6% fair
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, just now
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
83,500 to 83,999.99
3.6%
Kalshi 5%(3.6% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 83,500 to 83,999.99
- Last price
- 5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 40 more outcomesHide 40 outcomes
78,500 to 78,999.992.9%4%2.9% fair1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)78,500 to 78,999.992.9%Kalshi 4%(2.9% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
78,500 to 78,999.99
2.9%
4%
2.9% fair
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
78,500 to 78,999.99
2.9%
Kalshi 4%(2.9% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 78,500 to 78,999.99
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $51
78,000 to 78,499.992.2%3%2.2% fair— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)78,000 to 78,499.992.2%Kalshi 3%(2.2% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
78,000 to 78,499.99
2.2%
3%
2.2% fair
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
78,000 to 78,499.99
2.2%
Kalshi 3%(2.2% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 78,000 to 78,499.99
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $14
76,500 to 76,999.991.4%2%1.4% fair— bid, 2¢ askpolled, just now2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)76,500 to 76,999.991.4%Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
76,500 to 76,999.99
1.4%
2%
1.4% fair
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
76,500 to 76,999.99
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 76,500 to 76,999.99
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4
77,000 to 77,499.991.4%2%1.4% fair— bid, 2¢ askpolled, just now2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)77,000 to 77,499.991.4%Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
77,000 to 77,499.99
1.4%
2%
1.4% fair
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
77,000 to 77,499.99
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 77,000 to 77,499.99
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
77,500 to 77,999.991.4%2%1.4% fair— bid, 2¢ askpolled, just now2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)77,500 to 77,999.991.4%Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
77,500 to 77,999.99
1.4%
2%
1.4% fair
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
77,500 to 77,999.99
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 77,500 to 77,999.99
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $21K
84,500 to 84,999.991.4%2%1.4% fair— bid, 2¢ askpolled, just now2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)84,500 to 84,999.991.4%Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
84,500 to 84,999.99
1.4%
2%
1.4% fair
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
84,500 to 84,999.99
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 84,500 to 84,999.99
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
85,000 to 85,499.991.4%2%1.4% fair— bid, 2¢ askpolled, just now2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)85,000 to 85,499.991.4%Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
85,000 to 85,499.99
1.4%
2%
1.4% fair
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
85,000 to 85,499.99
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 85,000 to 85,499.99
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $768
85,500 to 85,999.991.4%2%1.4% fair— bid, 2¢ askpolled, just now2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)85,500 to 85,999.991.4%Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
85,500 to 85,999.99
1.4%
2%
1.4% fair
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
85,500 to 85,999.99
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 85,500 to 85,999.99
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
86,000 to 86,499.991.4%2%1.4% fair— bid, 2¢ askpolled, just now2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)86,000 to 86,499.991.4%Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
86,000 to 86,499.99
1.4%
2%
1.4% fair
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
86,000 to 86,499.99
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 86,000 to 86,499.99
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $48
86,500 to 86,999.991.4%2%1.4% fair— bid, 2¢ askpolled, just now2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)86,500 to 86,999.991.4%Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
86,500 to 86,999.99
1.4%
2%
1.4% fair
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
86,500 to 86,999.99
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 86,500 to 86,999.99
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $289
70,000 to 70,499.990.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)70,000 to 70,499.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
70,000 to 70,499.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
70,000 to 70,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 70,000 to 70,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $200
75,500 to 75,999.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, just now2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)75,500 to 75,999.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
75,500 to 75,999.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
75,500 to 75,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 75,500 to 75,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
76,000 to 76,499.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, just now2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)76,000 to 76,499.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
76,000 to 76,499.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
76,000 to 76,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 76,000 to 76,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
84,000 to 84,499.990.7%1%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)84,000 to 84,499.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
84,000 to 84,499.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
84,000 to 84,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 84,000 to 84,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $5K
87,000 to 87,499.990.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)87,000 to 87,499.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
87,000 to 87,499.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
87,000 to 87,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 87,000 to 87,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $64
87,500 to 87,999.990.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)87,500 to 87,999.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
87,500 to 87,999.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
87,500 to 87,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 87,500 to 87,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $145
88,000 to 88,499.990.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)88,000 to 88,499.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
88,000 to 88,499.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
88,000 to 88,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 88,000 to 88,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $48
93,500 to 93,999.990.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)93,500 to 93,999.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
93,500 to 93,999.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
93,500 to 93,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 93,500 to 93,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $48
69,999.99 or below0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)69,999.99 or below0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
69,999.99 or below
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
69,999.99 or below
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 69,999.99 or below
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
70,500 to 70,999.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)70,500 to 70,999.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
70,500 to 70,999.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
70,500 to 70,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 70,500 to 70,999.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
71,000 to 71,499.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)71,000 to 71,499.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
71,000 to 71,499.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
71,000 to 71,499.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 71,000 to 71,499.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
71,500 to 71,999.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)71,500 to 71,999.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
71,500 to 71,999.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
71,500 to 71,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 71,500 to 71,999.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
72,000 to 72,499.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)72,000 to 72,499.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
72,000 to 72,499.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
72,000 to 72,499.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 72,000 to 72,499.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
72,500 to 72,999.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)72,500 to 72,999.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
72,500 to 72,999.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
72,500 to 72,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 72,500 to 72,999.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
73,000 to 73,499.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)73,000 to 73,499.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
73,000 to 73,499.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
73,000 to 73,499.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 73,000 to 73,499.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
73,500 to 73,999.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)73,500 to 73,999.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
73,500 to 73,999.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
73,500 to 73,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 73,500 to 73,999.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
74,000 to 74,499.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)74,000 to 74,499.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
74,000 to 74,499.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
74,000 to 74,499.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 74,000 to 74,499.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
74,500 to 74,999.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)74,500 to 74,999.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
74,500 to 74,999.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
74,500 to 74,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 74,500 to 74,999.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
75,000 to 75,499.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)75,000 to 75,499.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
75,000 to 75,499.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
75,000 to 75,499.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 75,000 to 75,499.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
88,500 to 88,999.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)88,500 to 88,999.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
88,500 to 88,999.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
88,500 to 88,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 88,500 to 88,999.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
89,000 to 89,499.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)89,000 to 89,499.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
89,000 to 89,499.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
89,000 to 89,499.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 89,000 to 89,499.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
89,500 to 89,999.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)89,500 to 89,999.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
89,500 to 89,999.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
89,500 to 89,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 89,500 to 89,999.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
90,000 to 90,499.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)90,000 to 90,499.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
90,000 to 90,499.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
90,000 to 90,499.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 90,000 to 90,499.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
90,500 to 90,999.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)90,500 to 90,999.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
90,500 to 90,999.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
90,500 to 90,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 90,500 to 90,999.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
91,000 to 91,499.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)91,000 to 91,499.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
91,000 to 91,499.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
91,000 to 91,499.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 91,000 to 91,499.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
91,500 to 91,999.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)91,500 to 91,999.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
91,500 to 91,999.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
91,500 to 91,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 91,500 to 91,999.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
92,000 to 92,499.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)92,000 to 92,499.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
92,000 to 92,499.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
92,000 to 92,499.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 92,000 to 92,499.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
92,500 to 92,999.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)92,500 to 92,999.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
92,500 to 92,999.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
92,500 to 92,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 92,500 to 92,999.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
93,000 to 93,499.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)93,000 to 93,499.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
93,000 to 93,499.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
93,000 to 93,499.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 93,000 to 93,499.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
94,000 or above0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)94,000 or above0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
94,000 or above
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
94,000 or above
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 94,000 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 81,000 to 81,499.99
- 80,500 to 80,999.99
- 81,500 to 81,999.99
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "BTC price range on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?". 81,000 to 81,499.99 leads at 11.6%. Next is 80,500 to 80,999.99 at 10.1%. $66K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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