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What the markets expect
80,500 to 80,999.99 6.6%
Next is 80,000 to 80,499.99 at 5.9%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
80,500 to 80,999.996.6%9%6.6% fair8¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 56s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)80,500 to 80,999.996.6%Kalshi 9%(6.6% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
80,500 to 80,999.99
6.6%
9%
6.6% fair
8¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
80,500 to 80,999.99
6.6%
Kalshi 9%(6.6% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 80,500 to 80,999.99
- Last price
- 9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 6.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $2K
80,000 to 80,499.995.9%8%5.8% fair6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 56s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)80,000 to 80,499.995.9%Kalshi 8%(5.8% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
80,000 to 80,499.99
5.9%
8%
5.8% fair
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
80,000 to 80,499.99
5.9%
Kalshi 8%(5.8% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 80,000 to 80,499.99
- Last price
- 8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $893
81,000 to 81,499.995.9%8%5.8% fair6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 56s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)81,000 to 81,499.995.9%Kalshi 8%(5.8% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
81,000 to 81,499.99
5.9%
8%
5.8% fair
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
81,000 to 81,499.99
5.9%
Kalshi 8%(5.8% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 81,000 to 81,499.99
- Last price
- 8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $1K
81,500 to 81,999.995.9%8%5.8% fair5¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 56s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)81,500 to 81,999.995.9%Kalshi 8%(5.8% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
81,500 to 81,999.99
5.9%
8%
5.8% fair
5¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
81,500 to 81,999.99
5.9%
Kalshi 8%(5.8% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 81,500 to 81,999.99
- Last price
- 8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $377
82,500 to 82,999.995.9%8%5.8% fair4¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 56s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)82,500 to 82,999.995.9%Kalshi 8%(5.8% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
82,500 to 82,999.99
5.9%
8%
5.8% fair
4¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
82,500 to 82,999.99
5.9%
Kalshi 8%(5.8% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 82,500 to 82,999.99
- Last price
- 8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $2
79,500 to 79,999.995.1%7%5.1% fair5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 56s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)79,500 to 79,999.995.1%Kalshi 7%(5.1% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
79,500 to 79,999.99
5.1%
7%
5.1% fair
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
79,500 to 79,999.99
5.1%
Kalshi 7%(5.1% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 79,500 to 79,999.99
- Last price
- 7%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $100
82,000 to 82,499.995.1%7%5.1% fair5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 56s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)82,000 to 82,499.995.1%Kalshi 7%(5.1% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
82,000 to 82,499.99
5.1%
7%
5.1% fair
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
82,000 to 82,499.99
5.1%
Kalshi 7%(5.1% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 82,000 to 82,499.99
- Last price
- 7%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $1
79,000 to 79,499.994.4%6%4.4% fair4¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 56s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)79,000 to 79,499.994.4%Kalshi 6%(4.4% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
79,000 to 79,499.99
4.4%
6%
4.4% fair
4¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
79,000 to 79,499.99
4.4%
Kalshi 6%(4.4% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 79,000 to 79,499.99
- Last price
- 6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $109
78,500 to 78,999.993.7%5%3.6% fair4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 56s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)78,500 to 78,999.993.7%Kalshi 5%(3.6% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
78,500 to 78,999.99
3.7%
5%
3.6% fair
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
78,500 to 78,999.99
3.7%
Kalshi 5%(3.6% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 78,500 to 78,999.99
- Last price
- 5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
83,000 to 83,499.993.3%4.5%3.3% fair3¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 56s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)83,000 to 83,499.993.3%Kalshi 4.5%(3.3% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
83,000 to 83,499.99
3.3%
4.5%
3.3% fair
3¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
83,000 to 83,499.99
3.3%
Kalshi 4.5%(3.3% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 83,000 to 83,499.99
- Last price
- 4.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Show 40 more outcomesHide 40 outcomes
83,500 to 83,999.993.3%4.5%3.3% fair3¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 56s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)83,500 to 83,999.993.3%Kalshi 4.5%(3.3% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
83,500 to 83,999.99
3.3%
4.5%
3.3% fair
3¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
83,500 to 83,999.99
3.3%
Kalshi 4.5%(3.3% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 83,500 to 83,999.99
- Last price
- 4.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
78,000 to 78,499.992.9%4%2.9% fair3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 56s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)78,000 to 78,499.992.9%Kalshi 4%(2.9% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
78,000 to 78,499.99
2.9%
4%
2.9% fair
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
78,000 to 78,499.99
2.9%
Kalshi 4%(2.9% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 78,000 to 78,499.99
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
77,500 to 77,999.992.6%3.5%2.6% fair2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 56s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)77,500 to 77,999.992.6%Kalshi 3.5%(2.6% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
77,500 to 77,999.99
2.6%
3.5%
2.6% fair
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
77,500 to 77,999.99
2.6%
Kalshi 3.5%(2.6% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 77,500 to 77,999.99
- Last price
- 3.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
84,000 to 84,499.992.6%3.5%2.6% fair2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 56s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)84,000 to 84,499.992.6%Kalshi 3.5%(2.6% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
84,000 to 84,499.99
2.6%
3.5%
2.6% fair
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
84,000 to 84,499.99
2.6%
Kalshi 3.5%(2.6% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 84,000 to 84,499.99
- Last price
- 3.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
75,000 to 75,499.992.2%3%2.2% fair1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 56s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)75,000 to 75,499.992.2%Kalshi 3%(2.2% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
75,000 to 75,499.99
2.2%
3%
2.2% fair
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
75,000 to 75,499.99
2.2%
Kalshi 3%(2.2% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 75,000 to 75,499.99
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $8
84,500 to 84,999.992.2%3%2.2% fair2¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 56s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)84,500 to 84,999.992.2%Kalshi 3%(2.2% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
84,500 to 84,999.99
2.2%
3%
2.2% fair
2¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
84,500 to 84,999.99
2.2%
Kalshi 3%(2.2% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 84,500 to 84,999.99
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
76,000 to 76,499.991.8%2.5%1.8% fair1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 56s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)76,000 to 76,499.991.8%Kalshi 2.5%(1.8% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
76,000 to 76,499.99
1.8%
2.5%
1.8% fair
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
76,000 to 76,499.99
1.8%
Kalshi 2.5%(1.8% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 76,000 to 76,499.99
- Last price
- 2.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
76,500 to 76,999.991.8%2.5%1.8% fair1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 56s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)76,500 to 76,999.991.8%Kalshi 2.5%(1.8% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
76,500 to 76,999.99
1.8%
2.5%
1.8% fair
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
76,500 to 76,999.99
1.8%
Kalshi 2.5%(1.8% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 76,500 to 76,999.99
- Last price
- 2.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
77,000 to 77,499.991.8%2.5%1.8% fair1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 56s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)77,000 to 77,499.991.8%Kalshi 2.5%(1.8% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
77,000 to 77,499.99
1.8%
2.5%
1.8% fair
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
77,000 to 77,499.99
1.8%
Kalshi 2.5%(1.8% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 77,000 to 77,499.99
- Last price
- 2.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
85,000 to 85,499.991.8%2.5%1.8% fair1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 56s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)85,000 to 85,499.991.8%Kalshi 2.5%(1.8% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
85,000 to 85,499.99
1.8%
2.5%
1.8% fair
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
85,000 to 85,499.99
1.8%
Kalshi 2.5%(1.8% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 85,000 to 85,499.99
- Last price
- 2.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
75,500 to 75,999.991.5%2%1.5% fair1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 56s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)75,500 to 75,999.991.5%Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
75,500 to 75,999.99
1.5%
2%
1.5% fair
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
75,500 to 75,999.99
1.5%
Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 75,500 to 75,999.99
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
85,500 to 85,999.991.5%2%1.5% fair1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 56s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)85,500 to 85,999.991.5%Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
85,500 to 85,999.99
1.5%
2%
1.5% fair
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
85,500 to 85,999.99
1.5%
Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 56s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 85,500 to 85,999.99
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
69,499.99 or below1.1%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 56s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)69,499.99 or below1.1%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
69,499.99 or below
1.1%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
69,499.99 or below
1.1%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 69,499.99 or below
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
73,500 to 73,999.991.1%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 56s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)73,500 to 73,999.991.1%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
73,500 to 73,999.99
1.1%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
73,500 to 73,999.99
1.1%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 73,500 to 73,999.99
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
74,000 to 74,499.991.1%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 56s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)74,000 to 74,499.991.1%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
74,000 to 74,499.99
1.1%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
74,000 to 74,499.99
1.1%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 74,000 to 74,499.99
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
74,500 to 74,999.991.1%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 56s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)74,500 to 74,999.991.1%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
74,500 to 74,999.99
1.1%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
74,500 to 74,999.99
1.1%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 74,500 to 74,999.99
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
86,000 to 86,499.991.1%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 56s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)86,000 to 86,499.991.1%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
86,000 to 86,499.99
1.1%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
86,000 to 86,499.99
1.1%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 86,000 to 86,499.99
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
87,500 to 87,999.991.1%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 56s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)87,500 to 87,999.991.1%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
87,500 to 87,999.99
1.1%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
87,500 to 87,999.99
1.1%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 87,500 to 87,999.99
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
69,500 to 69,999.990.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)69,500 to 69,999.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
69,500 to 69,999.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
69,500 to 69,999.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 69,500 to 69,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
70,000 to 70,499.990.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)70,000 to 70,499.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
70,000 to 70,499.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
70,000 to 70,499.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 70,000 to 70,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
70,500 to 70,999.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)70,500 to 70,999.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
70,500 to 70,999.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
70,500 to 70,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 70,500 to 70,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
71,000 to 71,499.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)71,000 to 71,499.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
71,000 to 71,499.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
71,000 to 71,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 71,000 to 71,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
71,500 to 71,999.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)71,500 to 71,999.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
71,500 to 71,999.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
71,500 to 71,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 71,500 to 71,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
72,000 to 72,499.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)72,000 to 72,499.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
72,000 to 72,499.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
72,000 to 72,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 72,000 to 72,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
72,500 to 72,999.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)72,500 to 72,999.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
72,500 to 72,999.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
72,500 to 72,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 72,500 to 72,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
73,000 to 73,499.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)73,000 to 73,499.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
73,000 to 73,499.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
73,000 to 73,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 73,000 to 73,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
86,500 to 86,999.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)86,500 to 86,999.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
86,500 to 86,999.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
86,500 to 86,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 86,500 to 86,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
87,000 to 87,499.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)87,000 to 87,499.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
87,000 to 87,499.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
87,000 to 87,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 87,000 to 87,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
88,000 to 88,499.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)88,000 to 88,499.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
88,000 to 88,499.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
88,000 to 88,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 88,000 to 88,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
88,500 to 88,999.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)88,500 to 88,999.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
88,500 to 88,999.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
88,500 to 88,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 88,500 to 88,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
89,000 to 89,499.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)89,000 to 89,499.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
89,000 to 89,499.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
89,000 to 89,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 89,000 to 89,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
89,500 to 89,999.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)89,500 to 89,999.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
89,500 to 89,999.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
89,500 to 89,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 89,500 to 89,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
90,000 to 90,499.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)90,000 to 90,499.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
90,000 to 90,499.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
90,000 to 90,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 90,000 to 90,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
90,500 to 90,999.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)90,500 to 90,999.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
90,500 to 90,999.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
90,500 to 90,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 90,500 to 90,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
91,000 to 91,499.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)91,000 to 91,499.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
91,000 to 91,499.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
91,000 to 91,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 91,000 to 91,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
91,500 to 91,999.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)91,500 to 91,999.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
91,500 to 91,999.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
91,500 to 91,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 91,500 to 91,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
92,000 to 92,499.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)92,000 to 92,499.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
92,000 to 92,499.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
92,000 to 92,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 92,000 to 92,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
92,500 to 92,999.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)92,500 to 92,999.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
92,500 to 92,999.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
92,500 to 92,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 92,500 to 92,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
93,000 to 93,499.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)93,000 to 93,499.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
93,000 to 93,499.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
93,000 to 93,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 93,000 to 93,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
93,500 or above0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)93,500 or above0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
93,500 or above
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
93,500 or above
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 93,500 or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 80,500 to 80,999.99
- 80,000 to 80,499.99
- 81,000 to 81,499.99
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "BTC price range on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?". 80,500 to 80,999.99 leads at 6.6%. Next is 80,000 to 80,499.99 at 5.9%. $5K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 30, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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