The Prediction Markets

BTC price range on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Closed
Oct 9, 2026
Traded
$56K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Oct 9, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 16 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
83,500 to 83,999.99
9.5%
Kalshi 14%(9.5% fair)polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
83,500 to 83,999.99
Last price
14%
Fair, margin removed
9.5%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
82,500 to 82,999.99
8.8%
Kalshi 13%(8.8% fair)polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
82,500 to 82,999.99
Last price
13%
Fair, margin removed
8.8%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
83,000 to 83,499.99
8.2%
Kalshi 12%(8.2% fair)polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
83,000 to 83,499.99
Last price
12%
Fair, margin removed
8.2%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
81,500 to 81,999.99
6.8%
Kalshi 10%(6.8% fair)polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
81,500 to 81,999.99
Last price
10%
Fair, margin removed
6.8%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$593
Trade this on Kalshi
84,000 to 84,499.99
6.8%
Kalshi 10%(6.8% fair)polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
84,000 to 84,499.99
Last price
10%
Fair, margin removed
6.8%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
82,000 to 82,499.99
6.1%
Kalshi 9%(6.1% fair)polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
82,000 to 82,499.99
Last price
9%
Fair, margin removed
6.1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$807
Trade this on Kalshi
81,000 to 81,499.99
4.1%
Kalshi 6%(4.1% fair)polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
81,000 to 81,499.99
Last price
6%
Fair, margin removed
4.1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$193
Trade this on Kalshi
85,000 to 85,499.99
4.1%
Kalshi 6%(4.1% fair)polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
85,000 to 85,499.99
Last price
6%
Fair, margin removed
4.1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
79,500 to 79,999.99
3.4%
Kalshi 5%(3.4% fair)polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
79,500 to 79,999.99
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
3.4%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$268
Trade this on Kalshi
80,500 to 80,999.99
3.4%
Kalshi 5%(3.4% fair)polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
80,500 to 80,999.99
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
3.4%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$743
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 40 more outcomes
84,500 to 84,999.99
3.4%
Kalshi 5%(3.4% fair)polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
84,500 to 84,999.99
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
3.4%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
85,500 to 85,999.99
3.4%
Kalshi 5%(3.4% fair)polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
85,500 to 85,999.99
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
3.4%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
86,000 to 86,499.99
2.7%
Kalshi 4%(2.7% fair)polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
86,000 to 86,499.99
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
2.7%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
86,500 to 86,999.99
2.7%
Kalshi 4%(2.7% fair)polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
86,500 to 86,999.99
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
2.7%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
91,500 to 91,999.99
2.7%
Kalshi 4%(2.7% fair)polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
91,500 to 91,999.99
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
2.7%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Kalshi
80,000 to 80,499.99
2%
Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
80,000 to 80,499.99
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$644
Trade this on Kalshi
77,500 to 77,999.99
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
77,500 to 77,999.99
Last price
2%
Fair, margin removed
1.4%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$57
Trade this on Kalshi
87,500 to 87,999.99
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
87,500 to 87,999.99
Last price
2%
Fair, margin removed
1.4%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$379
Trade this on Kalshi
92,500 to 92,999.99
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
92,500 to 92,999.99
Last price
2%
Fair, margin removed
1.4%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$279
Trade this on Kalshi
73,999.99 or below
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
73,999.99 or below
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
74,500 to 74,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
74,500 to 74,999.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
75,000 to 75,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
75,000 to 75,499.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
75,500 to 75,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
75,500 to 75,999.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
76,000 to 76,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
76,000 to 76,499.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
76,500 to 76,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
76,500 to 76,999.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
77,000 to 77,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
77,000 to 77,499.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
78,000 to 78,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
78,000 to 78,499.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
78,500 to 78,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
78,500 to 78,999.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$96
Trade this on Kalshi
79,000 to 79,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
79,000 to 79,499.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Kalshi
87,000 to 87,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
87,000 to 87,499.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$403
Trade this on Kalshi
88,000 to 88,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
88,000 to 88,499.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$576
Trade this on Kalshi
88,500 to 88,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
88,500 to 88,999.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
89,000 to 89,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
89,000 to 89,499.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$430
Trade this on Kalshi
89,500 to 89,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
89,500 to 89,999.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$323
Trade this on Kalshi
90,000 to 90,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
90,000 to 90,499.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
90,500 to 90,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
90,500 to 90,999.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$463
Trade this on Kalshi
91,000 to 91,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
91,000 to 91,499.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$186
Trade this on Kalshi
92,000 to 92,499.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
92,000 to 92,499.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
93,500 to 93,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
93,500 to 93,999.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
98,000 or above
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
98,000 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
74,000 to 74,499.99
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
74,000 to 74,499.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
93,000 to 93,499.99
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
93,000 to 93,499.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
94,000 to 94,499.99
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
94,000 to 94,499.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
94,500 to 94,999.99
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
94,500 to 94,999.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
95,000 to 95,499.99
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
95,000 to 95,499.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
95,500 to 95,999.99
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
95,500 to 95,999.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
96,000 to 96,499.99
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
96,000 to 96,499.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
96,500 to 96,999.99
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
96,500 to 96,999.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
97,000 to 97,499.99
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
97,000 to 97,499.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
97,500 to 97,999.99
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 407 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
97,500 to 97,999.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 83,500 to 83,999.99
  • 82,500 to 82,999.99
  • 83,000 to 83,499.99

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "BTC price range on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?". 83,500 to 83,999.99 last traded at 9.5%. Next is 82,500 to 82,999.99 at 8.8%. $56K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Oct 9, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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