The Prediction Markets

Bueno vs Sanchez Jover

Starts in 2 h 6 minKickoff
Traded
$3K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Gonzalo Bueno 62%

Next is Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover at 61.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Gonzalo Bueno
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gonzalo Bueno
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
61.5%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
Last price
61.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$991
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
59.5%
Polymarket 59.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Set 1 Winner
Last price
59.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Set 2 Winner
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Match O/U 21.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Game Spread +/-3.5
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Match O/U 23.5
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Match O/U 22.5
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Gonzalo Bueno (-1.5) vs Carlos Sanchez Jover (+1.5)
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Carlos Sanchez Jover
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$12
Trade this on Kalshi
Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
22%
Polymarket 22%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Carlos Sanchez Jover (-1.5) vs Gonzalo Bueno (+1.5)
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Gonzalo Bueno
  • Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
  • Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Gonzalo Bueno for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Bueno vs Sanchez Jover". Gonzalo Bueno leads at 62%. Next is Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover at 61.5%. $3K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 24, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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