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What the markets expect
O/U 0.5 Rounds 73.5%
Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 68%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
O/U 0.5 Rounds73.5%73.5%52¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed95¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $105 (1.05x)O/U 0.5 Rounds73.5%Polymarket 73.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
73.5%
73.5%
52¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
95¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
73.5%
Polymarket 73.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 73.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds68%68%52¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed84¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $119 (1.19x)O/U 1.5 Rounds68%Polymarket 68%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
68%
68%
52¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
84¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
68%
Polymarket 68%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds67%67%66¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed68¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $147 (1.47x)O/U 2.5 Rounds67%Polymarket 67%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
67%
67%
66¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
68¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
67%
Polymarket 67%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $58
Fight to Go the Distance?65.5%65.5%64¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed67¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Fight to Go the Distance?65.5%Polymarket 65.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
65.5%
65.5%
64¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
67¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
65.5%
Polymarket 65.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight to Go the Distance?
- Last price
- 65.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest60%Not listed60%60¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 20s ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Decision / Draw / No Contest60%Kalshi 60%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest
60%
Not listed
60%
60¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Decision / Draw / No Contest
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $5
Fight won by decision?60%60%52¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed68¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Fight won by decision?60%Polymarket 60%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Fight won by decision?
60%
60%
52¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
68¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Fight won by decision?
60%
Polymarket 60%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by decision?
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $68
Decision or Draw59.5%59.5%50¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed69¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Decision or Draw59.5%Polymarket 59.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Decision or Draw
59.5%
59.5%
50¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
69¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Decision or Draw
59.5%
Polymarket 59.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Decision or Draw
- Last price
- 59.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui58.5%58.5%58¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed59¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui58.5%Polymarket 58.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui
58.5%
58.5%
58¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
59¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui
58.5%
Polymarket 58.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui
- Last price
- 58.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $14K
Fight won by KO/TKO?34.5%34.5%21¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Fight won by KO/TKO?34.5%Polymarket 34.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
34.5%
34.5%
21¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $4
Belgaroui to win by KO/TKO?30.5%30.5%13¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Belgaroui to win by KO/TKO?30.5%Polymarket 30.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Belgaroui to win by KO/TKO?
30.5%
30.5%
13¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Belgaroui to win by KO/TKO?
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Belgaroui to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 30.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Show 16 more outcomesHide 16 outcomes
Fight won by submission?27.5%27.5%7¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Fight won by submission?27.5%Polymarket 27.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Fight won by submission?
27.5%
27.5%
7¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Fight won by submission?
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by submission?
- Last price
- 27.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Borralho to win by KO/TKO?27%27%6¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Borralho to win by KO/TKO?27%Polymarket 27%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Borralho to win by KO/TKO?
27%
27%
6¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Borralho to win by KO/TKO?
27%
Polymarket 27%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Borralho to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Belgaroui in Round 126.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Belgaroui in Round 126.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Belgaroui in Round 1
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Belgaroui in Round 1
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Belgaroui in Round 1
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Belgaroui in Round 226.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Belgaroui in Round 226.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Belgaroui in Round 2
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Belgaroui in Round 2
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Belgaroui in Round 2
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Belgaroui in Round 326.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Belgaroui in Round 326.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Belgaroui in Round 3
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Belgaroui in Round 3
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Belgaroui in Round 3
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Borralho in Round 126.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Borralho in Round 126.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Borralho in Round 1
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Borralho in Round 1
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Borralho in Round 1
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Borralho in Round 226.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Borralho in Round 226.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Borralho in Round 2
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Borralho in Round 2
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Borralho in Round 2
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Borralho in Round 326.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Borralho in Round 326.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Borralho in Round 3
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Borralho in Round 3
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Borralho in Round 3
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Ends before Round 3?26%26%24¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed28¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Ends before Round 3?26%Polymarket 26%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Ends before Round 3?
26%
26%
24¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
28¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Ends before Round 3?
26%
Polymarket 26%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 3?
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
Ends before Round 2?14%14%12¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed16¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Ends before Round 2?14%Polymarket 14%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Ends before Round 2?
14%
14%
12¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
16¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Ends before Round 2?
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 2?
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Caio Borralho to win in Round 110%Not listed10%8¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 20s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Caio Borralho to win in Round 110%Kalshi 10%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Caio Borralho to win in Round 1
10%
Not listed
10%
8¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Caio Borralho to win in Round 1
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caio Borralho to win in Round 1
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $37
Yousri Belgaroui to win in Round 18%Not listed8%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 20s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Yousri Belgaroui to win in Round 18%Kalshi 8%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Yousri Belgaroui to win in Round 1
8%
Not listed
8%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Yousri Belgaroui to win in Round 1
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yousri Belgaroui to win in Round 1
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $595
Caio Borralho to win in Round 27%Not listed7%5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 20s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Caio Borralho to win in Round 27%Kalshi 7%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Caio Borralho to win in Round 2
7%
Not listed
7%
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Caio Borralho to win in Round 2
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caio Borralho to win in Round 2
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $101
Yousri Belgaroui to win in Round 26%Not listed6%4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 20s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Yousri Belgaroui to win in Round 26%Kalshi 6%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Yousri Belgaroui to win in Round 2
6%
Not listed
6%
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Yousri Belgaroui to win in Round 2
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yousri Belgaroui to win in Round 2
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $31
Yousri Belgaroui to win in Round 36%Not listed6%4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 20s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Yousri Belgaroui to win in Round 36%Kalshi 6%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Yousri Belgaroui to win in Round 3
6%
Not listed
6%
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Yousri Belgaroui to win in Round 3
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yousri Belgaroui to win in Round 3
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $607
Caio Borralho to win in Round 34%Not listed4%3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 20s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Caio Borralho to win in Round 34%Kalshi 4%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Caio Borralho to win in Round 3
4%
Not listed
4%
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Caio Borralho to win in Round 3
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caio Borralho to win in Round 3
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, Paramount+
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 0.5 Rounds for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui: Round of Victory". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 73.5%. Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 68%. $15K has traded across 26 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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