The Prediction Markets

Chile Primera: 2026 Runner-Up

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 57 days
Traded
$3K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
5 h ago
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What the markets expect

Colo-Colo 70.3%

Next is Everton CD at 45.5%. The venues differ most on Colo-Colo (Polymarket 45.5%, Kalshi 95%), a 49-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Colo-Colo
70.3%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 95%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
Colo-Colo
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Colo-Colo
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$519
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 5 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Everton CD
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
Everton CD
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Universidad Católica
45%
Polymarket 45%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
Universidad Católica
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Trade this on Polymarket
U de Chile
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
Universidad de Chile
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Palestino
26.5%
Polymarket 45%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 8%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Palestino
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Palestino
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$17
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 5 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Deportes Limache
23%
Polymarket 45%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deportes Limache
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Deportes Limache
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$411
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 5 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Huachipato
11.3%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Huachipato
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$126
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Huachipato
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Deportes La Serena
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Deportes La Serena
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Kalshi
U de Chile
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
U de Chile
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Kalshi
Cobresal
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cobresal
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 9 more outcomes
Coquimbo
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Coquimbo
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Kalshi
D. Concepcion
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
D. Concepcion
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Everton
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Everton
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nublense
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nublense
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
O'Higgins
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
O´Higgins
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
U de Concepcion
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
U de Concepcion
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Union La Calera
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Union La Calera
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Audax
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Audax
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Universidad Catolica
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Universidad Catolica
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$567
Trade this on Kalshi

Venue prices are 5 h old, so we are not showing a cross-venue spread. Check each venue for current prices. Find markets with fresh spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 21, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: anfp.cl
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 21, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Colo-Colo
  • Everton CD
  • Universidad Católica

Live prices for Colo-Colo

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

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Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Chile Primera: 2026 Runner-Up". Colo-Colo leads at 70.3%. Next is Everton CD at 45.5%. $3K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Chile Primera for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Chile Primera for the 2026 season per the rules of Chile Primera (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Chile Primera; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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