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What the markets expect
O/U 0.5 Rounds 71.5%
Next is Ends before Round 5? at 65.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
1 of 31 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 9 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
O/U 0.5 Rounds71.5%71.5%50¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed93¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $108 (1.08x)O/U 0.5 Rounds71.5%Polymarket 71.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
71.5%
71.5%
50¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
93¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
71.5%
Polymarket 71.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 71.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
Ends before Round 5?65.5%65.5%65¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed66¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Ends before Round 5?65.5%Polymarket 65.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Ends before Round 5?
65.5%
65.5%
65¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
66¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Ends before Round 5?
65.5%
Polymarket 65.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 5?
- Last price
- 65.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
- Volume
- $5
Fight ends before round 564%Not listed64%62¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 9 min ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Fight ends before round 564%Kalshi 64%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Fight ends before round 5
64%
Not listed
64%
62¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 9 min ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Fight ends before round 5
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fight ends before round 5
- Last price
- 64%
- As of
- Polled 9 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $11
O/U 1.5 Rounds61.5%61.5%50¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed73¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $137 (1.37x)O/U 1.5 Rounds61.5%Polymarket 61.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
61.5%
61.5%
50¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
73¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
61.5%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 61.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $20
O/U 2.5 Rounds56.5%56.5%55¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed58¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $172 (1.72x)O/U 2.5 Rounds56.5%Polymarket 56.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
56.5%
56.5%
55¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
58¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
56.5%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 56.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
- Volume
- $2
Fight won by KO/TKO?56%56%54¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed58¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $172 (1.72x)Fight won by KO/TKO?56%Polymarket 56%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
56%
56%
54¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
58¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
56%
Polymarket 56%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
- Volume
- $618
Ends before Round 4?54.5%54.5%53¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed56¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Ends before Round 4?54.5%Polymarket 54.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Ends before Round 4?
54.5%
54.5%
53¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
56¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Ends before Round 4?
54.5%
Polymarket 54.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 4?
- Last price
- 54.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $215
Fight ends before round 454%Not listed54%53¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 9 min ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Fight ends before round 454%Kalshi 54%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Fight ends before round 4
54%
Not listed
54%
53¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 9 min ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Fight ends before round 4
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fight ends before round 4
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled 9 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $620
Fight ends before round 344%Not listed44%41¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 9 min ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Fight ends before round 344%Kalshi 44%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Fight ends before round 3
44%
Not listed
44%
41¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 9 min ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Fight ends before round 3
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fight ends before round 3
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled 9 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $109
Gane to win by KO/TKO?44%44%43¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed45¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Gane to win by KO/TKO?44%Polymarket 44%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Gane to win by KO/TKO?
44%
44%
43¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
45¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Gane to win by KO/TKO?
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gane to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $4K
Show 21 more outcomesHide 21 outcomes
Ends before Round 3?42.5%42.5%41¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed44¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Ends before Round 3?42.5%Polymarket 42.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Ends before Round 3?
42.5%
42.5%
41¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
44¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Ends before Round 3?
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 3?
- Last price
- 42.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $83
O/U 3.5 Rounds40.5%40.5%40¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed41¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $244 (2.44x)O/U 3.5 Rounds40.5%Polymarket 40.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
O/U 3.5 Rounds
40.5%
40.5%
40¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
41¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
O/U 3.5 Rounds
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 3.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 40.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $49
Decision or Draw37.5%37.5%25¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Decision or Draw37.5%Polymarket 37.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Decision or Draw
37.5%
37.5%
25¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Decision or Draw
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Decision or Draw
- Last price
- 37.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
O/U 4.5 Rounds36.5%36.5%28¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed45¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $222 (2.22x)O/U 4.5 Rounds36.5%Polymarket 36.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
O/U 4.5 Rounds
36.5%
36.5%
28¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
45¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
O/U 4.5 Rounds
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 4.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 36.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $7
Fight won by decision?35.5%35.5%26¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed45¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Fight won by decision?35.5%Polymarket 35.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Fight won by decision?
35.5%
35.5%
26¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
45¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Fight won by decision?
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by decision?
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $9
Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane33.5%33.5%33¢ bid, 34¢ asklive, 33s agoNot listed34¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane33.5%Polymarket 33.5%live, 33s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane
33.5%
33.5%
33¢ bid, 34¢ ask
live, 33s ago
Not listed
34¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%live, 33s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane
- Price
- 33.5%
- As of
- Live feed, just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $2.3M
Fight to Go the Distance?29.5%29.5%28¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed31¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Fight to Go the Distance?29.5%Polymarket 29.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
29.5%
29.5%
28¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
31¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight to Go the Distance?
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $568
Hokit in Round 427.5%27.5%5¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Hokit in Round 427.5%Polymarket 27.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Hokit in Round 4
27.5%
27.5%
5¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Hokit in Round 4
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hokit in Round 4
- Last price
- 27.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Fight ends before round 227%Not listed27%26¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 9 min ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Fight ends before round 227%Kalshi 27%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Fight ends before round 2
27%
Not listed
27%
26¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 9 min ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Fight ends before round 2
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fight ends before round 2
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 9 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $332
Ends before Round 2?26.5%26.5%25¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed28¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Ends before Round 2?26.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Ends before Round 2?
26.5%
26.5%
25¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
28¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Ends before Round 2?
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 2?
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $93
Gane in Round 426.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Gane in Round 426.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Gane in Round 4
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Gane in Round 4
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gane in Round 4
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Gane in Round 526.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Gane in Round 526.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Gane in Round 5
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Gane in Round 5
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gane in Round 5
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Hokit in Round 526.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Hokit in Round 526.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Hokit in Round 5
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Hokit in Round 5
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hokit in Round 5
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Gane in Round 120%20%15¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed25¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Gane in Round 120%Polymarket 20%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Gane in Round 1
20%
20%
15¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
25¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Gane in Round 1
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gane in Round 1
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $233
Hokit to win by KO/TKO?19%19%17¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed21¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Hokit to win by KO/TKO?19%Polymarket 19%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Hokit to win by KO/TKO?
19%
19%
17¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
21¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Hokit to win by KO/TKO?
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hokit to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $998
Fight won by submission?18%18%14¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed22¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Fight won by submission?18%Polymarket 18%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Fight won by submission?
18%
18%
14¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
22¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Fight won by submission?
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by submission?
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $65
Gane in Round 215.5%15.5%13¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed18¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Gane in Round 215.5%Polymarket 15.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Gane in Round 2
15.5%
15.5%
13¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
18¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Gane in Round 2
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gane in Round 2
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $118
Gane in Round 311.5%11.5%6¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Gane in Round 311.5%Polymarket 11.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Gane in Round 3
11.5%
11.5%
6¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
17¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Gane in Round 3
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gane in Round 3
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $200
Hokit in Round 26.5%6.5%3¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Hokit in Round 26.5%Polymarket 6.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Hokit in Round 2
6.5%
6.5%
3¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Hokit in Round 2
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hokit in Round 2
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $11
Hokit in Round 35.3%5.3%1.5¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Hokit in Round 35.3%Polymarket 5.3%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Hokit in Round 3
5.3%
5.3%
1.5¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Hokit in Round 3
5.3%
Polymarket 5.3%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hokit in Round 3
- Last price
- 5.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $706
Hokit in Round 14.5%4.5%3¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 57s agoNot listed6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Hokit in Round 14.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Hokit in Round 1
4.5%
4.5%
3¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
Not listed
6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Hokit in Round 1
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hokit in Round 1
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Ends before Round 5?
- Fight ends before round 5
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 0.5 Rounds for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit: Round of Finish". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 71.5%. Next is Ends before Round 5? at 65.5%. $2.3M has traded across 31 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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