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What the markets expect
New Orleans wins by over 1.5 points 58%
Next is New Orleans wins by over 2.5 points at 55%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
New Orleans wins by over 1.5 points58%58%57¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 5 h ago58¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $172 (1.72x)New Orleans wins by over 1.5 points58%Kalshi 58%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
New Orleans wins by over 1.5 points
58%
58%
57¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
58¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
New Orleans wins by over 1.5 points
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 58%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
- Volume
- $17K
New Orleans wins by over 2.5 points55%55%54¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 5 h ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)New Orleans wins by over 2.5 points55%Kalshi 55%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
New Orleans wins by over 2.5 points
55%
55%
54¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
New Orleans wins by over 2.5 points
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
- Volume
- $109K
New Orleans wins by over 3.5 points44%44%44¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 5 h ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)New Orleans wins by over 3.5 points44%Kalshi 44%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
New Orleans wins by over 3.5 points
44%
44%
44¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
New Orleans wins by over 3.5 points
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $5K
New Orleans wins by over 4.5 points41%41%41¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 5 h ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)New Orleans wins by over 4.5 points41%Kalshi 41%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
New Orleans wins by over 4.5 points
41%
41%
41¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
New Orleans wins by over 4.5 points
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $2K
Cleveland wins by over 1.5 points38%38%37¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 5 h ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Cleveland wins by over 1.5 points38%Kalshi 38%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Cleveland wins by over 1.5 points
38%
38%
37¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Cleveland wins by over 1.5 points
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $905
New Orleans wins by over 5.5 points38%38%38¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 5 h ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)New Orleans wins by over 5.5 points38%Kalshi 38%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
New Orleans wins by over 5.5 points
38%
38%
38¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
New Orleans wins by over 5.5 points
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $231
Cleveland wins by over 2.5 points36%36%35¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 5 h ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Cleveland wins by over 2.5 points36%Kalshi 36%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Cleveland wins by over 2.5 points
36%
36%
35¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Cleveland wins by over 2.5 points
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 36%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $1K
New Orleans wins by over 6.5 points35%35%34¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 5 h ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)New Orleans wins by over 6.5 points35%Kalshi 35%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
New Orleans wins by over 6.5 points
35%
35%
34¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
New Orleans wins by over 6.5 points
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $3K
New Orleans wins by over 7.5 points29%29%29¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 5 h ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)New Orleans wins by over 7.5 points29%Kalshi 29%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
New Orleans wins by over 7.5 points
29%
29%
29¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
New Orleans wins by over 7.5 points
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $3K
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 points28%28%26¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 5 h ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Cleveland wins by over 3.5 points28%Kalshi 28%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 points
28%
28%
26¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 points
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $407
Show 15 more outcomesHide 15 outcomes
Cleveland wins by over 4.5 points27%27%24¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 5 h ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Cleveland wins by over 4.5 points27%Kalshi 27%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Cleveland wins by over 4.5 points
27%
27%
24¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Cleveland wins by over 4.5 points
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $2K
Cleveland wins by over 5.5 points23%23%22¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 5 h ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Cleveland wins by over 5.5 points23%Kalshi 23%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Cleveland wins by over 5.5 points
23%
23%
22¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Cleveland wins by over 5.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $2K
New Orleans wins by over 9.5 points23%23%23¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 5 h ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)New Orleans wins by over 9.5 points23%Kalshi 23%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
New Orleans wins by over 9.5 points
23%
23%
23¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
New Orleans wins by over 9.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $2K
Cleveland wins by over 6.5 points21%21%19¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 5 h ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Cleveland wins by over 6.5 points21%Kalshi 21%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Cleveland wins by over 6.5 points
21%
21%
19¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Cleveland wins by over 6.5 points
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $2K
New Orleans wins by over 10.5 points21%21%21¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 5 h ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)New Orleans wins by over 10.5 points21%Kalshi 21%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
New Orleans wins by over 10.5 points
21%
21%
21¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
New Orleans wins by over 10.5 points
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $6K
Cleveland wins by over 7.5 points16%16%15¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 5 h ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Cleveland wins by over 7.5 points16%Kalshi 16%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Cleveland wins by over 7.5 points
16%
16%
15¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Cleveland wins by over 7.5 points
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $4K
Cleveland wins by over 9.5 points14%14%12¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 5 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Cleveland wins by over 9.5 points14%Kalshi 14%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Cleveland wins by over 9.5 points
14%
14%
12¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Cleveland wins by over 9.5 points
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $2K
New Orleans wins by over 13.5 points14%14%14¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 5 h ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)New Orleans wins by over 13.5 points14%Kalshi 14%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
New Orleans wins by over 13.5 points
14%
14%
14¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
New Orleans wins by over 13.5 points
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $3K
New Orleans wins by over 14.5 points11%11%11¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 5 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)New Orleans wins by over 14.5 points11%Kalshi 11%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
New Orleans wins by over 14.5 points
11%
11%
11¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
New Orleans wins by over 14.5 points
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $2K
Cleveland wins by over 10.5 points10%10%9¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 5 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Cleveland wins by over 10.5 points10%Kalshi 10%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Cleveland wins by over 10.5 points
10%
10%
9¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Cleveland wins by over 10.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
New Orleans wins by over 16.5 points10%10%10¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 5 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)New Orleans wins by over 16.5 points10%Kalshi 10%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
New Orleans wins by over 16.5 points
10%
10%
10¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
New Orleans wins by over 16.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans wins by over 16.5 points
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $547
Cleveland wins by over 13.5 points7%7%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 5 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Cleveland wins by over 13.5 points7%Kalshi 7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Cleveland wins by over 13.5 points
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Cleveland wins by over 13.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Cleveland wins by over 14.5 points7%7%5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 5 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Cleveland wins by over 14.5 points7%Kalshi 7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Cleveland wins by over 14.5 points
7%
7%
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Cleveland wins by over 14.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $10K
New Orleans wins by over 17.5 points7%7%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 5 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)New Orleans wins by over 17.5 points7%Kalshi 7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
New Orleans wins by over 17.5 points
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
New Orleans wins by over 17.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans wins by over 17.5 points
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $229
New Orleans wins by over 20.5 points5%5%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)New Orleans wins by over 20.5 points5%Kalshi 5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
New Orleans wins by over 20.5 points
5%
5%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
New Orleans wins by over 20.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans wins by over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $209
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- New Orleans wins by over 1.5 points
- New Orleans wins by over 2.5 points
- New Orleans wins by over 3.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Cleveland vs New Orleans: Spread". New Orleans wins by over 1.5 points leads at 58%. Next is New Orleans wins by over 2.5 points at 55%. $183K has traded across 25 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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- College Football National Championship WinnerGeorgia22%$73.1M traded
- 2027 Pro Basketball ChampionSan Antonio23%$59.0M traded
- MVP Winner?Josh Allen28%$40.2M traded
- College Football Heisman Trophy Winner?Jeremiah Smith35%$39.0M traded