The Prediction Markets

College Basketball (M): #2 Ranked Team on Dec 7 AP Poll

Closes
Dec 21, 2026, in 46 days
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
2 h ago
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What the markets expect

Alabama 94%

Next is Arizona at 94%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Alabama
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alabama
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$251
Trade this on Kalshi
Arizona
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arizona
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$250
Trade this on Kalshi
USC
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
USC
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$250
Trade this on Kalshi
Baylor
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Baylor
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
BYU
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
BYU
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cincinnati
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cincinnati
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Clemson
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Clemson
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Creighton
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Creighton
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Florida
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Florida
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 40 more outcomes
Georgia
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Georgia
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Gonzaga
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gonzaga
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Grand Canyon
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Grand Canyon
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Illinois
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Illinois
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Indiana
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indiana
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Iowa
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iowa
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Iowa St.
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iowa St.
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kansas
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kansas
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kentucky
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kentucky
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisville
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisville
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Marquette
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marquette
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Maryland
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Maryland
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL)
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL)
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michigan
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michigan
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michigan St.
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michigan St.
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Missouri
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Missouri
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nebraska
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nebraska
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
North Carolina
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
North Carolina
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
North Carolina St.
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
North Carolina St.
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ohio St.
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ohio St.
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Oklahoma
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oklahoma
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Oregon
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oregon
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Purdue
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Purdue
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
St. John's
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
St. John's
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas A&M
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas A&M
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas Tech
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas Tech
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UCF
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
UCF
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UCLA
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
UCLA
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UConn
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
UConn
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Vanderbilt
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vanderbilt
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Villanova
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Villanova
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Virginia
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Virginia
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Virginia Tech
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Virginia Tech
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
West Virginia
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
West Virginia
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Wisconsin
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wisconsin
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Arkansas
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arkansas
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$253
Trade this on Kalshi
Auburn
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Auburn
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: AP College Basketball Rankings

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Alabama
  • Arizona
  • USC

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "College Basketball (M): #2 Ranked Team on Dec 7 AP Poll". Alabama leads at 94%. Next is Arizona at 94%. $1K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 21, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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