Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Alabama 90%
Next is Arkansas at 86%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Alabama90%90%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askAlabama90%Kalshi 90%polled, 3 h ago
Alabama
90%
90%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Alabama
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 3 h ago
Arkansas86%86%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askArkansas86%Kalshi 86%polled, 3 h ago
Arkansas
86%
86%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Arkansas
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arkansas
- Last price
- 86%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
- Volume
- $257
Baylor86%86%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askBaylor86%Kalshi 86%polled, 3 h ago
Baylor
86%
86%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Baylor
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 3 h ago
BYU86%86%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askBYU86%Kalshi 86%polled, 3 h ago
BYU
86%
86%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
BYU
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 3 h ago
Clemson86%86%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askClemson86%Kalshi 86%polled, 3 h ago
Clemson
86%
86%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Clemson
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Clemson
- Last price
- 86%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
- Volume
- $231
Auburn85%85%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askAuburn85%Kalshi 85%polled, 3 h ago
Auburn
85%
85%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Auburn
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 3 h ago
Arizona64%64%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askArizona64%Kalshi 64%polled, 3 h ago
Arizona
64%
64%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Arizona
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arizona
- Last price
- 64%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
- Volume
- $121
Duke50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askDuke50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Duke
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Duke
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Florida St.50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askFlorida St.50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Florida St.
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Florida St.
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Gonzaga50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askGonzaga50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Gonzaga
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Gonzaga
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Show 33 more outcomesHide 33 outcomes
Houston50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askHouston50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Houston
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Houston
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Illinois50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askIllinois50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Illinois
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Illinois
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Indiana50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askIndiana50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Indiana
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Indiana
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Iowa50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askIowa50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Iowa
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Iowa
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Iowa St.50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askIowa St.50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Iowa St.
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Iowa St.
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Kansas50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askKansas50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Kansas
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Kansas
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Kentucky50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askKentucky50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Kentucky
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Kentucky
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Louisville50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askLouisville50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Louisville
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Louisville
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Marquette50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askMarquette50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Marquette
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Marquette
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Miami (FL)50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askMiami (FL)50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Miami (FL)
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Miami (FL)
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Michigan50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askMichigan50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Michigan
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Michigan
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Michigan St.50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askMichigan St.50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Michigan St.
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Michigan St.
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Missouri50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askMissouri50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Missouri
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Missouri
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
North Carolina50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askNorth Carolina50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
North Carolina
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
North Carolina
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
North Carolina St.50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askNorth Carolina St.50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
North Carolina St.
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
North Carolina St.
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- North Carolina St.
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Ohio St.50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askOhio St.50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Ohio St.
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Ohio St.
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Oregon50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askOregon50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Oregon
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Oregon
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Providence50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askProvidence50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Providence
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Providence
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Purdue50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askPurdue50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Purdue
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Purdue
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
San Diego St.50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askSan Diego St.50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
San Diego St.
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
San Diego St.
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
SMU50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askSMU50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
SMU
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
SMU
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
St. John's50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askSt. John's50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
St. John's
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
St. John's
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Syracuse50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askSyracuse50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Syracuse
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Syracuse
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Tennessee50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askTennessee50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Tennessee
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Tennessee
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Texas50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askTexas50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Texas
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Texas
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Texas A&M50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askTexas A&M50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Texas A&M
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Texas A&M
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Texas Tech50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askTexas Tech50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Texas Tech
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Texas Tech
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
UConn50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askUConn50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
UConn
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
UConn
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
USC50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askUSC50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
USC
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
USC
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Vanderbilt50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askVanderbilt50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Vanderbilt
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Vanderbilt
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Villanova50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askVillanova50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Villanova
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Villanova
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Virginia50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askVirginia50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Virginia
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Virginia
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Wisconsin50%50%No order bookpolled, 3 h agoNo askWisconsin50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Wisconsin
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 3 h ago
No ask
Wisconsin
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: AP College Basketball Rankings
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Alabama
- Arkansas
- Baylor
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "College Basketball (M): Top 25 Ranked Teams on Final AP Poll". Alabama leads at 90%. Next is Arkansas at 86%. $1K has traded across 43 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by May 2, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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