The Prediction Markets

Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Starts in 4 h 20 minKickoff
Traded
$3K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 59.5%

Next is Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 at 55%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5
59.5%
Polymarket 59.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5
Last price
59.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5
55%
Polymarket 55%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Thiago Seyboth Wild
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$176
Trade this on Kalshi
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$452
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$180
Trade this on Polymarket
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 22.5
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Game Spread +/-1.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$909
Trade this on Kalshi
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5
45%
Polymarket 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 23.5
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set Handicap +/-1.5
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5
  • Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5
  • Thiago Seyboth Wild

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli". Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 leads at 59.5%. Next is Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 at 55%. $3K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 15, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Seyboth Wild and Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Costa do Sauipe, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Seyboth Wild' if Thiago Seyboth Wild advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Thiago Seyboth Wild. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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