The Prediction Markets

Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Rush (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage

Starts in 5 h 10 minKickoff
Traded
$13K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
7 h ago
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What the markets expect

Rush 59%

Next is MIBR fe at 50%. The venues differ most on MIBR fe (Polymarket 47.5%, Kalshi 41%), a 6.5-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 7 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Rush
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 7 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rush
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 7 h ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
MIBR fe
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 7 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Rush (-6.5) vs MIBR fe (+6.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 7 h ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
MIBR fe
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 7 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Rush (-6.5) vs MIBR fe (+6.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 7 h ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 1 Winner
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 7 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Winner
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 7 h ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$292
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 2 Winner
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 7 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Winner
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 7 h ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$213
Trade this on Polymarket
MIBR fe
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 7 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map Handicap: Rush (-1.5) vs MIBR fe (+1.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 7 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
MIBR fe
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 7 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rush (-6.5) vs MIBR fe (+6.5)
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 7 h ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
MIBR fe
45.9%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 7 h agoKalshi 41%polled, 7 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Match Winner
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 7 h ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
MIBR fe
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 7 h ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 7 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

O/U 2.5 Games
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 7 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5 Games
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 7 h ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket

Venue prices are 7 h old, so we are not showing a cross-venue spread. Check each venue for current prices. Find markets with fresh spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes at different times: Nov 3, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 5, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: kick.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: B03, HLTV, Gamers World
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes Nov 3, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 5, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Rush
  • MIBR fe
  • MIBR fe

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Rush for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Rush (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage". Rush leads at 59%. Next is MIBR fe at 50%. $13K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2026.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between MIBR fe and Rush in the CCT South America Group Stage, initially scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR fe" if MIBR fe win the match against Rush. This market will resolve to "Rush" if Rush win the match against MIBR fe. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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