The Prediction Markets

Delaney vs Jasika

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$3K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
2 min ago
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What the markets expect

Omar Jasika 63%

Next is Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.5 at 58.5%. The venues differ most on Delaney (Polymarket 36.5%, Kalshi 38%), a 1.5-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Omar Jasika
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Omar Jasika
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.5
58.5%
Polymarket 58.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 21.5
Last price
58.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Set 2 O/U 9.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
1¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Set 1 O/U 9.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Set 2 O/U 10.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
1¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Set 2 O/U 8.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
1¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.5
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.5
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.5
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 23.5
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.5
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Game Spread +/-3.5
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.5
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Set 1 O/U 8.5
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.5
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Omar Jasika (-1.5) vs Jake Delaney (+1.5)
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.5
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Set 1 Winner
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.5
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Delaney
37%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 3 min agoKalshi 38%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$361
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jake Delaney
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$163
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 37¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 37¢.

Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.5
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Set 1 O/U 10.5
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.5
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Jake Delaney (-1.5) vs Omar Jasika (+1.5)
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP
Show full rule comparison
  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • Trading closes Nov 11, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 19, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Omar Jasika
  • Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.5
  • Completed Match

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Omar Jasika for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Delaney vs Jasika". Omar Jasika leads at 63%. Next is Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.5 at 58.5%. $3K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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