The Prediction Markets

Djere vs Virtanen

Starts in 41 minKickoff
Traded
$11K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Otto Virtanen 60%

Next is Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5 at 56%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Otto Virtanen
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Otto Virtanen
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$81
Trade this on Kalshi
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5
56%
Polymarket 56%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5
Last price
56%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 21.5
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 O/U 10.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Set 1 O/U 9.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 O/U 8.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 O/U 9.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Game Spread +/-0.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 23.5
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
Completed Match
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Set 1 O/U 8.5
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Set 1 Winner
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Djere
40.9%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 41%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$605
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Laslo Djere
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 40¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 41¢.

Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Otto Virtanen (-1.5) vs Laslo Djere (+1.5)
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Set 1 O/U 10.5
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Laslo Djere (-1.5) vs Otto Virtanen (+1.5)
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP
Show full rule comparison
  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • Trading closes Nov 12, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 19, 2026, 12:10 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Otto Virtanen
  • Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5
  • Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Otto Virtanen for this event.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Djere vs Virtanen". Otto Virtanen leads at 60%. Next is Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5 at 56%. $11K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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