The Prediction Markets

Djokovic vs Hijikata

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$87K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
5 h ago
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What the markets expect

Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5 94%

Next is Djokovic at 91.1%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5
94%
Polymarket 94%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 Winner
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Polymarket
Djokovic
91.1%
Polymarket 91.5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 91%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
Last price
91.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Novak Djokovic
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 5 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5
75%
Polymarket 75%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 Winner
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5
73.5%
Polymarket 73.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Set Handicap +/-1.5
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$288
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 5 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
2¢
Volume
$70
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 5 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 10.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
25¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 5 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 9.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 5 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 9.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 5 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 10.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 7 more outcomes
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 5 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 8.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 23.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 5 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
80¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 21.5
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 22.5
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket
Rinky Hijikata
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rinky Hijikata
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$46K
Trade this on Kalshi

Venue prices are 5 h old, so we are not showing a cross-venue spread. Check each venue for current prices. Find markets with fresh spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP
Show full rule comparison
  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • Trading closes Nov 11, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 18, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5
  • Djokovic
  • Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Djokovic vs Hijikata". Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-4.5 leads at 94%. Next is Djokovic at 91.1%. $87K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 18, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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