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What the markets expect
0.075 to 0.0799999 41%
Next is 0.08 to 0.0849999 at 18.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
0.075 to 0.079999941%61%40.9% fair61¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 44s ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)0.075 to 0.079999941%Kalshi 61%(40.9% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
0.075 to 0.0799999
41%
61%
40.9% fair
61¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
0.075 to 0.0799999
41%
Kalshi 61%(40.9% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.075 to 0.0799999
- Last price
- 61%
- Fair, margin removed
- 40.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $71
0.08 to 0.084999918.5%27.5%18.5% fair24¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 44s ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)0.08 to 0.084999918.5%Kalshi 27.5%(18.5% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
0.08 to 0.0849999
18.5%
27.5%
18.5% fair
24¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
0.08 to 0.0849999
18.5%
Kalshi 27.5%(18.5% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.08 to 0.0849999
- Last price
- 27.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 18.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
0.07 to 0.07499996.4%9.5%6.4% fair6¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 44s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)0.07 to 0.07499996.4%Kalshi 9.5%(6.4% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
0.07 to 0.0749999
6.4%
9.5%
6.4% fair
6¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
0.07 to 0.0749999
6.4%
Kalshi 9.5%(6.4% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.07 to 0.0749999
- Last price
- 9.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 6.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
0.09 to 0.09499992.4%3.5%2.3% fair— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 44s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)0.09 to 0.09499992.4%Kalshi 3.5%(2.3% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
0.09 to 0.0949999
2.4%
3.5%
2.3% fair
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
0.09 to 0.0949999
2.4%
Kalshi 3.5%(2.3% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.09 to 0.0949999
- Last price
- 3.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
0.085 to 0.08999992.4%3.5%2.3% fair— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 44s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)0.085 to 0.08999992.4%Kalshi 3.5%(2.3% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
0.085 to 0.0899999
2.4%
3.5%
2.3% fair
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
0.085 to 0.0899999
2.4%
Kalshi 3.5%(2.3% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.085 to 0.0899999
- Last price
- 3.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
0.1 to 0.10499992%3%2% fair— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 44s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)0.1 to 0.10499992%Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.1 to 0.1049999
2%
3%
2% fair
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.1 to 0.1049999
2%
Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.1 to 0.1049999
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
0.05 to 0.05499992%3%2% fair— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 44s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)0.05 to 0.05499992%Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.05 to 0.0549999
2%
3%
2% fair
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.05 to 0.0549999
2%
Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.05 to 0.0549999
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
0.06 to 0.06499992%3%2% fair— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 44s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)0.06 to 0.06499992%Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.06 to 0.0649999
2%
3%
2% fair
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.06 to 0.0649999
2%
Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.06 to 0.0649999
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
0.11 to 0.11499992%3%2% fair— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 44s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)0.11 to 0.11499992%Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.11 to 0.1149999
2%
3%
2% fair
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.11 to 0.1149999
2%
Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.11 to 0.1149999
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
0.045 to 0.04999992%3%2% fair— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 44s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)0.045 to 0.04999992%Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.045 to 0.0499999
2%
3%
2% fair
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.045 to 0.0499999
2%
Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.045 to 0.0499999
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Show 30 more outcomesHide 30 outcomes
0.055 to 0.05999992%3%2% fair— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 44s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)0.055 to 0.05999992%Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.055 to 0.0599999
2%
3%
2% fair
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.055 to 0.0599999
2%
Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.055 to 0.0599999
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
0.065 to 0.06999992%3%2% fair— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 44s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)0.065 to 0.06999992%Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.065 to 0.0699999
2%
3%
2% fair
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.065 to 0.0699999
2%
Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.065 to 0.0699999
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
0.095 to 0.09999992%3%2% fair— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 44s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)0.095 to 0.09999992%Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.095 to 0.0999999
2%
3%
2% fair
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.095 to 0.0999999
2%
Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.095 to 0.0999999
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
0.105 to 0.10999992%3%2% fair— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 44s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)0.105 to 0.10999992%Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.105 to 0.1099999
2%
3%
2% fair
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.105 to 0.1099999
2%
Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.105 to 0.1099999
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
0.01 to 0.01499990.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.01 to 0.01499990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.01 to 0.0149999
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.01 to 0.0149999
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.01 to 0.0149999
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $69
0.02 to 0.02499990.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.02 to 0.02499990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.02 to 0.0249999
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.02 to 0.0249999
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.02 to 0.0249999
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
0.15 to 0.15499990.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.15 to 0.15499990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.15 to 0.1549999
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.15 to 0.1549999
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.15 to 0.1549999
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $6
0.18 to 0.18499990.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.18 to 0.18499990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.18 to 0.1849999
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.18 to 0.1849999
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.18 to 0.1849999
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5
0.025 to 0.02999990.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.025 to 0.02999990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.025 to 0.0299999
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.025 to 0.0299999
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.025 to 0.0299999
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $4K
0.145 to 0.14999990.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.145 to 0.14999990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.145 to 0.1499999
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.145 to 0.1499999
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.145 to 0.1499999
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $6
0.155 to 0.15999990.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.155 to 0.15999990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.155 to 0.1599999
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.155 to 0.1599999
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.155 to 0.1599999
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $11
0.175 to 0.17999990.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.175 to 0.17999990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.175 to 0.1799999
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.175 to 0.1799999
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.175 to 0.1799999
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $61
0.2 or above0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.2 or above0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.2 or above
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.2 or above
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.2 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
0.03 to 0.03499990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.03 to 0.03499990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.03 to 0.0349999
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.03 to 0.0349999
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.03 to 0.0349999
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
0.04 to 0.04499990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.04 to 0.04499990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.04 to 0.0449999
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.04 to 0.0449999
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.04 to 0.0449999
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
0.12 to 0.12499990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.12 to 0.12499990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.12 to 0.1249999
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.12 to 0.1249999
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.12 to 0.1249999
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
0.13 to 0.13499990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.13 to 0.13499990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.13 to 0.1349999
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.13 to 0.1349999
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.13 to 0.1349999
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
0.14 to 0.14499990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.14 to 0.14499990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.14 to 0.1449999
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.14 to 0.1449999
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.14 to 0.1449999
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
0.015 to 0.01999990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.015 to 0.01999990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.015 to 0.0199999
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.015 to 0.0199999
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.015 to 0.0199999
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
0.16 to 0.16499990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.16 to 0.16499990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.16 to 0.1649999
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.16 to 0.1649999
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.16 to 0.1649999
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
0.17 to 0.17499990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.17 to 0.17499990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.17 to 0.1749999
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.17 to 0.1749999
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.17 to 0.1749999
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
0.19 to 0.19499990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.19 to 0.19499990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.19 to 0.1949999
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.19 to 0.1949999
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.19 to 0.1949999
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
0.035 to 0.03999990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.035 to 0.03999990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.035 to 0.0399999
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.035 to 0.0399999
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.035 to 0.0399999
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
0.115 to 0.11999990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.115 to 0.11999990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.115 to 0.1199999
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.115 to 0.1199999
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.115 to 0.1199999
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
0.125 to 0.12999990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.125 to 0.12999990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.125 to 0.1299999
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.125 to 0.1299999
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.125 to 0.1299999
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
0.135 to 0.13999990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.135 to 0.13999990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.135 to 0.1399999
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.135 to 0.1399999
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.135 to 0.1399999
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
0.165 to 0.16999990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.165 to 0.16999990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.165 to 0.1699999
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.165 to 0.1699999
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.165 to 0.1699999
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
0.185 to 0.18999990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.185 to 0.18999990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.185 to 0.1899999
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.185 to 0.1899999
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.185 to 0.1899999
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
0.195 to 0.19999990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.195 to 0.19999990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.195 to 0.1999999
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.195 to 0.1999999
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.195 to 0.1999999
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
0.0099999 or below0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 44s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)0.0099999 or below0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.0099999 or below
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
0.0099999 or below
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.0099999 or below
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 0.075 to 0.0799999
- 0.08 to 0.0849999
- 0.07 to 0.0749999
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Dogecoin price range on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?". 0.075 to 0.0799999 leads at 41%. Next is 0.08 to 0.0849999 at 18.5%. $8K has traded across 40 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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