The Prediction Markets

Dp World Tour Championship: Top 5 Finishers

Starts in 19 hKickoff
Traded
$16K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
2 min ago
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What the markets expect

Rory McIlroy 32.3%

Next is Jon Rahm at 25.8%. The venues differ most on Rory McIlroy (Polymarket 21.5%, Kalshi 57%), a 36-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Rory McIlroyArb
32.3%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 57%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rory McIlroy
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Rory McIlroy
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 23¢ and selling on Kalshi at 57¢ nets 3400 bps before fees.

Jon RahmArb
25.8%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 39%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jon Rahm
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$108
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jon Rahm
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 13¢ and selling on Kalshi at 38¢ nets 2500 bps before fees.

Tommy FleetwoodArb
20.3%
Polymarket 7.2%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 33.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tommy Fleetwood
Last price
7.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
7.8¢
Sell Yes
6.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,282 (12.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tommy Fleetwood
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 7.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 31¢ nets 2320 bps before fees.

Ignacio Elvira
17.7%
Polymarket 17.7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 35.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $283 (2.83x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ignacio Elvira
Last price
17.7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
35.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$283 (2.83x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Niklas Noergaard
17.4%
Polymarket 17.4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 34.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $287 (2.87x)
Polymarket
Contract
Niklas Noergaard
Last price
17.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
34.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$287 (2.87x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Adam ScottArb
17.2%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 29.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adam Scott
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
4.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$165
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Adam Scott
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 5.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 26¢ nets 2070 bps before fees.

Daniel Bradbury
17.1%
Polymarket 17.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 34.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $292 (2.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Bradbury
Last price
17.1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
34.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$292 (2.92x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Eugenio Lopez-ChacarraArb
13.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 22.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
3.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 5.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 18¢ nets 1270 bps before fees.

Angel Ayora Fanegas
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Angel Ayora Fanegas
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Davis Bryant
12%
Polymarket 20%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Davis Bryant
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Davis Bryant
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Show 45 more outcomes
Julien Guerrier
11.9%
Polymarket 17.9%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Julien Guerrier
Last price
17.9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
35.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$280 (2.80x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Julien Guerrier
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 35.7¢.

Kota Kaneko
11.8%
Polymarket 19.2%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 4.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kota Kaneko
Last price
19.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
38.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$261 (2.61x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kota Kaneko
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 38.3¢.

Daniel HillierArb
11.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 20.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Hillier
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$256
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Hillier
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 16¢ nets 1300 bps before fees.

Kristoffer ReitanArb
11.5%
Polymarket 4%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 19%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kristoffer Reitan
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
3.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$375
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kristoffer Reitan
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 15¢ nets 1040 bps before fees.

Matt WallaceArb
11.5%
Polymarket 3%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 20%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matt Wallace
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
2.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Matt Wallace
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 15¢ nets 1150 bps before fees.

Adrian Otaegui
11.2%
Polymarket 18.4%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adrian Otaegui
Last price
18.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
36.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$272 (2.72x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Adrian Otaegui
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Jorge Campillo
10.8%
Polymarket 17.7%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jorge Campillo
Last price
17.7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
35.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$283 (2.83x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jorge Campillo
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Andy Sullivan
10.8%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andy Sullivan
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Andy Sullivan
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 33¢.

David PuigArb
10.7%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 15%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $952 (9.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Puig
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10.5¢
Sell Yes
2.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$952 (9.52x)
Volume
$308
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
David Puig
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 10.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 11¢ nets 50 bps before fees.

Tyrrell HattonArb
10.1%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyrrell Hatton
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
4.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$301
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tyrrell Hatton
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 5.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 21¢ nets 1560 bps before fees.

Joe Dean
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Dean
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Yuto Katsuragawa
9.9%
Polymarket 15.3%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 4.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yuto Katsuragawa
Last price
15.3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
30.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$329 (3.29x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Yuto Katsuragawa
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8¢.

Grant Forrest
9.5%
Polymarket 15.6%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 3.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Grant Forrest
Last price
15.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
31.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$322 (3.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Grant Forrest
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Patrick ReedArb
8.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 16%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patrick Reed
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Reed
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 11¢ nets 900 bps before fees.

Shaun Norris
8.7%
Polymarket 13.9%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 3.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shaun Norris
Last price
13.9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
27.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$364 (3.64x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Shaun Norris
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

Manuel Elvira
8.6%
Polymarket 13.3%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manuel Elvira
Last price
13.3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
26.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$380 (3.80x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Manuel Elvira
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8¢.

Victor PerezArb
8.6%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 15%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Victor Perez
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$217
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Victor Perez
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 10¢ nets 740 bps before fees.

Aaron RaiArb
8.2%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 15%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aaron Rai
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rai
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 12¢ nets 990 bps before fees.

Niklas Norgaard
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Niklas Norgaard
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Matthew JordanArb
7.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 13%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matthew Jordan
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Jordan
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 9¢ nets 740 bps before fees.

Ryan FoxArb
6.9%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 11.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ryan Fox
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ryan Fox
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 7¢ nets 400 bps before fees.

Ewen FergusonArb
6.8%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 12.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ewen Ferguson
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ewen Ferguson
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 8¢ nets 590 bps before fees.

Jacob Skov OlesenArb
5.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 11%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacob Skov Olesen
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Skov Olesen
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 7¢ nets 530 bps before fees.

Jayden SchaperArb
5.8%
Polymarket 1%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 10.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayden Schaper
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Schaper
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 7¢ nets 500 bps before fees.

Oliver LindellArb
5.8%
Polymarket 1%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 10.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oliver Lindell
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Oliver Lindell
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 7¢ nets 550 bps before fees.

Francesco LaportaArb
5.1%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 9.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Francesco Laporta
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Francesco Laporta
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 6¢ nets 470 bps before fees.

Bernd WiesbergerArb
5%
Polymarket 1%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bernd Wiesberger
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$312
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bernd Wiesberger
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 5¢ nets 360 bps before fees.

Daniel Bradbury
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dan Bradbury
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nacho Elvira
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nacho Elvira
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Adrian MeronkArb
5%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adrian Meronk
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$278
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Adrian Meronk
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 230 bps before fees.

Casey JarvisArb
4.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Casey Jarvis
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Casey Jarvis
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 5¢ nets 330 bps before fees.

Freddy SchottArb
4.6%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Freddy Schott
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Freddy Schott
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 5¢ nets 350 bps before fees.

Joost LuitenArb
4%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 7.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joost Luiten
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joost Luiten
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 190 bps before fees.

Mikael LindbergArb
3.8%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mikael Lindberg
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mikael Lindberg
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 2¢ nets 90 bps before fees.

Angel HidalgoArb
3.8%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Angel Hidalgo
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Angel Hidalgo
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 180 bps before fees.

Gregorio De LeoArb
3.8%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gregorio De Leo
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Gregorio De Leo
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 180 bps before fees.

Frederic LacroixArb
3.8%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Frederic Lacroix
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Frederic Lacroix
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 190 bps before fees.

Martin CouvraArb
3.8%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Martin Couvra
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Martin Couvra
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 210 bps before fees.

Calum HillArb
3.3%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Calum Hill
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Calum Hill
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 2¢ nets 80 bps before fees.

Marcus ArmitageArb
3.3%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marcus Armitage
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Marcus Armitage
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 2¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

Hennie Du PlessisArb
3.3%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hennie Du Plessis
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Hennie Du Plessis
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 2¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

Jeff Winther
2.7%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jeff Winther
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jeff Winther
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Angel Ayora
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Angel Ayora
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$167
Trade this on Polymarket
Thriston Lawrence
2.3%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Thriston Lawrence
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Thriston Lawrence
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8¢.

Joe Dean
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joseph Dean
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Rory McIlroy on Polymarket at 23¢, sell on Kalshi at 57¢ (3400 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Nov 16, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: europeantour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: DP World Tour
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Nov 16, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Rory McIlroy
  • Jon Rahm
  • Tommy Fleetwood

Live prices for Rory McIlroy

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Dp World Tour Championship: Top 5 Finishers". Rory McIlroy leads at 32.3%. Next is Jon Rahm at 25.8%. $16K has traded across 55 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 13, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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