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What the markets expect
Rory McIlroy 28.5%
Next is Adrian Meronk at 7.1%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Rory McIlroy28.5%36%28.5% fair18¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 37s ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Rory McIlroy28.5%Kalshi 36%(28.5% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Rory McIlroy
28.5%
36%
28.5% fair
18¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Rory McIlroy
28.5%
Kalshi 36%(28.5% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rory McIlroy
- Last price
- 36%
- Fair, margin removed
- 28.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $47
Adrian Meronk7.1%9%7.1% fair0.1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 37s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Adrian Meronk7.1%Kalshi 9%(7.1% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Adrian Meronk
7.1%
9%
7.1% fair
0.1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Adrian Meronk
7.1%
Kalshi 9%(7.1% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Adrian Meronk
- Last price
- 9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 7.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Jeff Winther7.1%9%7.1% fair0.1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 37s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Jeff Winther7.1%Kalshi 9%(7.1% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Jeff Winther
7.1%
9%
7.1% fair
0.1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Jeff Winther
7.1%
Kalshi 9%(7.1% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jeff Winther
- Last price
- 9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 7.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Jon Rahm7.1%9%7.1% fair0.1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 37s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Jon Rahm7.1%Kalshi 9%(7.1% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Jon Rahm
7.1%
9%
7.1% fair
0.1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Jon Rahm
7.1%
Kalshi 9%(7.1% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jon Rahm
- Last price
- 9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 7.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Tommy Fleetwood6.7%8.4%6.7% fair0.1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 37s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Tommy Fleetwood6.7%Kalshi 8.4%(6.7% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Tommy Fleetwood
6.7%
8.4%
6.7% fair
0.1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Tommy Fleetwood
6.7%
Kalshi 8.4%(6.7% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tommy Fleetwood
- Last price
- 8.4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 6.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Adam Scott4.2%5.3%4.2% fair0.1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 37s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Adam Scott4.2%Kalshi 5.3%(4.2% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Adam Scott
4.2%
5.3%
4.2% fair
0.1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Adam Scott
4.2%
Kalshi 5.3%(4.2% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Adam Scott
- Last price
- 5.3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra3.7%4.6%3.6% fair0.2¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 37s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra3.7%Kalshi 4.6%(3.6% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
3.7%
4.6%
3.6% fair
0.2¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
3.7%
Kalshi 4.6%(3.6% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
- Last price
- 4.6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $85
Tyrrell Hatton3.7%4.6%3.6% fair0.2¢ bid, 4.6¢ askpolled, 37s ago4.6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)Tyrrell Hatton3.7%Kalshi 4.6%(3.6% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Tyrrell Hatton
3.7%
4.6%
3.6% fair
0.2¢ bid, 4.6¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
4.6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Tyrrell Hatton
3.7%
Kalshi 4.6%(3.6% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyrrell Hatton
- Last price
- 4.6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,174 (21.7x)
Grant Forrest3.6%4.6%3.6% fair0.1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 37s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Grant Forrest3.6%Kalshi 4.6%(3.6% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Grant Forrest
3.6%
4.6%
3.6% fair
0.1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Grant Forrest
3.6%
Kalshi 4.6%(3.6% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Grant Forrest
- Last price
- 4.6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Daniel Hillier2.5%3.1%2.5% fair0.1¢ bid, 3.1¢ askpolled, 37s ago3.1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)Daniel Hillier2.5%Kalshi 3.1%(2.5% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Daniel Hillier
2.5%
3.1%
2.5% fair
0.1¢ bid, 3.1¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
3.1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Daniel Hillier
2.5%
Kalshi 3.1%(2.5% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Hillier
- Last price
- 3.1%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,226 (32.3x)
Show 40 more outcomesHide 40 outcomes
David Puig1.8%2.2%0.2¢ bid, 2.2¢ askpolled, 37s ago2.2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)David Puig1.8%Kalshi 2.2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
David Puig
1.8%
2.2%
0.2¢ bid, 2.2¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
2.2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
David Puig
1.8%
Kalshi 2.2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- David Puig
- Last price
- 2.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,545 (45.5x)
Patrick Reed1.8%2.3%2.2¢ bid, 2.4¢ askpolled, 37s ago2.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)Patrick Reed1.8%Kalshi 2.3%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Patrick Reed
1.8%
2.3%
2.2¢ bid, 2.4¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
2.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Patrick Reed
1.8%
Kalshi 2.3%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Patrick Reed
- Last price
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,167 (41.7x)
Matt Wallace1.7%2.1%0.2¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 37s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Matt Wallace1.7%Kalshi 2.1%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Matt Wallace
1.7%
2.1%
0.2¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Matt Wallace
1.7%
Kalshi 2.1%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matt Wallace
- Last price
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Angel Ayora1.6%2%0.2¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 37s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Angel Ayora1.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Angel Ayora
1.6%
2%
0.2¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Angel Ayora
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Angel Ayora
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $1K
Ryan Fox1.6%2%0.2¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 37s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Ryan Fox1.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Ryan Fox
1.6%
2%
0.2¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Ryan Fox
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Fox
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Jacob Skov Olesen1.5%1.9%0.2¢ bid, 1.9¢ askpolled, 37s ago1.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)Jacob Skov Olesen1.5%Kalshi 1.9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Jacob Skov Olesen
1.5%
1.9%
0.2¢ bid, 1.9¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
1.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Jacob Skov Olesen
1.5%
Kalshi 1.9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jacob Skov Olesen
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,263 (52.6x)
Aaron Rai1.3%1.6%0.2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 37s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Aaron Rai1.3%Kalshi 1.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Aaron Rai
1.3%
1.6%
0.2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Aaron Rai
1.3%
Kalshi 1.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Rai
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Kristoffer Reitan1.3%1.6%0.2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 37s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Kristoffer Reitan1.3%Kalshi 1.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kristoffer Reitan
1.3%
1.6%
0.2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kristoffer Reitan
1.3%
Kalshi 1.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kristoffer Reitan
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Francesco Laporta1.1%1.4%0.2¢ bid, 1.4¢ askpolled, 37s ago1.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)Francesco Laporta1.1%Kalshi 1.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Francesco Laporta
1.1%
1.4%
0.2¢ bid, 1.4¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
1.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Francesco Laporta
1.1%
Kalshi 1.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Francesco Laporta
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,143 (71.4x)
Victor Perez0.9%1.2%0.2¢ bid, 2.1¢ askpolled, 37s ago2.1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)Victor Perez0.9%Kalshi 1.2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Victor Perez
0.9%
1.2%
0.2¢ bid, 2.1¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
2.1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Victor Perez
0.9%
Kalshi 1.2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Victor Perez
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,762 (47.6x)
Jayden Schaper0.8%1%0.2¢ bid, 1.8¢ askpolled, 37s ago1.8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)Jayden Schaper0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Jayden Schaper
0.8%
1%
0.2¢ bid, 1.8¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
1.8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Jayden Schaper
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jayden Schaper
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,556 (55.6x)
Bernd Wiesberger0.7%0.9%0.2¢ bid, 1.6¢ askpolled, 37s ago1.6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)Bernd Wiesberger0.7%Kalshi 0.9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Bernd Wiesberger
0.7%
0.9%
0.2¢ bid, 1.6¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
1.6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Bernd Wiesberger
0.7%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bernd Wiesberger
- Last price
- 0.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,250 (62.5x)
Ewen Ferguson0.7%0.9%0.2¢ bid, 1.6¢ askpolled, 37s ago1.6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)Ewen Ferguson0.7%Kalshi 0.9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Ewen Ferguson
0.7%
0.9%
0.2¢ bid, 1.6¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
1.6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Ewen Ferguson
0.7%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ewen Ferguson
- Last price
- 0.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,250 (62.5x)
Casey Jarvis0.6%0.8%0.2¢ bid, 1.4¢ askpolled, 37s ago1.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)Casey Jarvis0.6%Kalshi 0.8%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Casey Jarvis
0.6%
0.8%
0.2¢ bid, 1.4¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
1.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Casey Jarvis
0.6%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Casey Jarvis
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,143 (71.4x)
Matthew Jordan0.6%0.8%0.2¢ bid, 1.4¢ askpolled, 37s ago1.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)Matthew Jordan0.6%Kalshi 0.8%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Matthew Jordan
0.6%
0.8%
0.2¢ bid, 1.4¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
1.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Matthew Jordan
0.6%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matthew Jordan
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,143 (71.4x)
Niklas Norgaard0.6%0.8%0.1¢ bid, 0.8¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $12,500 (125x)Niklas Norgaard0.6%Kalshi 0.8%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Niklas Norgaard
0.6%
0.8%
0.1¢ bid, 0.8¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Niklas Norgaard
0.6%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Niklas Norgaard
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $12,500 (125x)
Oliver Lindell0.6%0.8%0.2¢ bid, 1.4¢ askpolled, 37s ago1.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)Oliver Lindell0.6%Kalshi 0.8%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Oliver Lindell
0.6%
0.8%
0.2¢ bid, 1.4¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
1.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Oliver Lindell
0.6%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oliver Lindell
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,143 (71.4x)
Martin Couvra0.5%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 37s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Martin Couvra0.5%Kalshi 0.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Martin Couvra
0.5%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Martin Couvra
0.5%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Martin Couvra
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Andy Sullivan0.4%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 37s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Andy Sullivan0.4%Kalshi 0.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Andy Sullivan
0.4%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Andy Sullivan
0.4%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andy Sullivan
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Angel Hidalgo0.4%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 37s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Angel Hidalgo0.4%Kalshi 0.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Angel Hidalgo
0.4%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Angel Hidalgo
0.4%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Angel Hidalgo
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Frederic LaCroix0.4%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.8¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $12,500 (125x)Frederic LaCroix0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Frederic LaCroix
0.4%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.8¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Frederic LaCroix
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Frederic LaCroix
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $12,500 (125x)
Joe Dean0.4%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Joe Dean0.4%Kalshi 0.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Joe Dean
0.4%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Joe Dean
0.4%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Dean
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
Joost Luiten0.4%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Joost Luiten0.4%Kalshi 0.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Joost Luiten
0.4%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Joost Luiten
0.4%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joost Luiten
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
Thriston Lawrence0.4%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.8¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $12,500 (125x)Thriston Lawrence0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Thriston Lawrence
0.4%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.8¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Thriston Lawrence
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Thriston Lawrence
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $12,500 (125x)
Adrian Otaegui0.3%0.4%0.1¢ bid, 0.7¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $14,286 (143x)Adrian Otaegui0.3%Kalshi 0.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Adrian Otaegui
0.3%
0.4%
0.1¢ bid, 0.7¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Adrian Otaegui
0.3%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Adrian Otaegui
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
Freddy Schott0.3%0.4%0.1¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Freddy Schott0.3%Kalshi 0.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Freddy Schott
0.3%
0.4%
0.1¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Freddy Schott
0.3%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Freddy Schott
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
Gregorio De Leo0.3%0.4%0.1¢ bid, 0.7¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $14,286 (143x)Gregorio De Leo0.3%Kalshi 0.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Gregorio De Leo
0.3%
0.4%
0.1¢ bid, 0.7¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Gregorio De Leo
0.3%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gregorio De Leo
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
Hennie Du Plessis0.3%0.4%0.1¢ bid, 0.7¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $14,286 (143x)Hennie Du Plessis0.3%Kalshi 0.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Hennie Du Plessis
0.3%
0.4%
0.1¢ bid, 0.7¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Hennie Du Plessis
0.3%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hennie Du Plessis
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
Marcus Armitage0.3%0.4%0.1¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Marcus Armitage0.3%Kalshi 0.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Marcus Armitage
0.3%
0.4%
0.1¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Marcus Armitage
0.3%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marcus Armitage
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
Mikael Lindberg0.3%0.4%0.1¢ bid, 0.7¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $14,286 (143x)Mikael Lindberg0.3%Kalshi 0.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Mikael Lindberg
0.3%
0.4%
0.1¢ bid, 0.7¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Mikael Lindberg
0.3%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mikael Lindberg
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
Calum Hill0.2%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Calum Hill0.2%Kalshi 0.3%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Calum Hill
0.2%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Calum Hill
0.2%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Calum Hill
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
Dan Bradbury0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Dan Bradbury0.2%Kalshi 0.2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Dan Bradbury
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Dan Bradbury
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dan Bradbury
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
Davis Bryant0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Davis Bryant0.2%Kalshi 0.2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Davis Bryant
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Davis Bryant
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Davis Bryant
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
Jorge Campillo0.2%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Jorge Campillo0.2%Kalshi 0.3%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Jorge Campillo
0.2%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Jorge Campillo
0.2%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jorge Campillo
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
Julien Guerrier0.2%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Julien Guerrier0.2%Kalshi 0.3%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Julien Guerrier
0.2%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Julien Guerrier
0.2%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Julien Guerrier
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
Kota Kaneko0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Kota Kaneko0.2%Kalshi 0.2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kota Kaneko
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kota Kaneko
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kota Kaneko
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
Manuel Elvira0.2%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Manuel Elvira0.2%Kalshi 0.3%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Manuel Elvira
0.2%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Manuel Elvira
0.2%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Manuel Elvira
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
Nacho Elvira0.2%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Nacho Elvira0.2%Kalshi 0.3%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Nacho Elvira
0.2%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Nacho Elvira
0.2%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nacho Elvira
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
Yuto Katsuragawa0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Yuto Katsuragawa0.2%Kalshi 0.2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Yuto Katsuragawa
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Yuto Katsuragawa
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yuto Katsuragawa
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
Shaun Norris0.1%0.1%0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 37s ago0.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Shaun Norris0.1%Kalshi 0.1%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Shaun Norris
0.1%
0.1%
0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
0.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Shaun Norris
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shaun Norris
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: DP World Tour
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Rory McIlroy
- Adrian Meronk
- Jeff Winther
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "DP World Tour Championship Winner". Rory McIlroy leads at 28.5%. Next is Adrian Meronk at 7.1%. $1K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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