The Prediction Markets

Dubai Sail Grand Prix Winner

Closes
Dec 5, 2026, in 30 days
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
6 h ago
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What the markets expect

Bonds Flying Roos 29.4%

Next is Los Gallos at 17.2%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Bonds Flying Roos 29.4%Los Gallos 17.2%Artemis SailGP Team 9.1%Emirates GBR 9.1%Black Foils 7.1%8 others 28.1%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 6 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Bonds Flying Roos
29.4%
Kalshi 29%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bonds Flying Roos
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Kalshi
Los Gallos
17.2%
Kalshi 17%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Los Gallos
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$211
Trade this on Kalshi
Artemis SailGP Team
9.1%
Kalshi 9%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Artemis SailGP Team
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$478
Trade this on Kalshi
Emirates GBR
9.1%
Kalshi 9%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Emirates GBR
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Black Foils
7.1%
Kalshi 7%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Black Foils
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$582
Trade this on Kalshi
United States SailGP Team
5.6%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
United States SailGP Team
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
France SailGP Team
4.1%
Kalshi 4%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
France SailGP Team
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Germany SailGP Team
4.1%
Kalshi 4%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Germany SailGP Team
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mubadala Brazil
4.1%
Kalshi 4%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mubadala Brazil
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
NorthStar Canada
4.1%
Kalshi 4%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
NorthStar Canada
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 3 more outcomes
Rockwool Racing
4.1%
Kalshi 4%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rockwool Racing
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Red Bull Italy
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Red Bull Italy
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Kalshi
Switzerland SailGP Team
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Switzerland SailGP Team
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$121
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: The Wall Street Journal, SailGP, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Bonds Flying Roos
  • Los Gallos
  • Artemis SailGP Team

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Dubai Sail Grand Prix Winner". Bonds Flying Roos leads at 29.4%. Next is Los Gallos at 17.2%. $1K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 5, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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