The Prediction Markets

Duke vs Miami (FL): Spread

Closes
Nov 16, 2026, in 7 days
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Miami (FL) wins by over 1.5 points 81.5%

Next is Miami (FL) wins by over 2.5 points at 80.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 1.5 points
81.5%
Kalshi 81.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
81.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 2.5 points
80.5%
Kalshi 80.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
80.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 3.5 points
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 4.5 points
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 6.5 points
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 5.5 points
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 7.5 points
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 9.5 points
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 10.5 points
55.5%
Kalshi 55.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
55.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 11.5 points
54.5%
Kalshi 54.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 11.5 points
Last price
54.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 22 more outcomes
Miami (FL) wins by over 13.5 points
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$710
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 14.5 points
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$91
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 15.5 points
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 15.5 points
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$156
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 17.5 points
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 17.5 points
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 16.5 points
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 16.5 points
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$28
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 20.5 points
30.5%
Kalshi 30.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 20.5 points
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 21.5 points
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 21.5 points
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 23.5 points
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 23.5 points
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 24.5 points
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 24.5 points
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 27.5 points
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 27.5 points
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 1.5 points
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 2.5 points
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 3.5 points
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 30.5 points
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 30.5 points
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 4.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 5.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 6.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 33.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 33.5 points
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (FL) wins by over 35.5 points
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL) wins by over 35.5 points
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 7.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 9.5 points
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 10.5 points
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Miami (FL) wins by over 1.5 points
  • Miami (FL) wins by over 2.5 points
  • Miami (FL) wins by over 3.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Duke vs Miami (FL): Spread". Miami (FL) wins by over 1.5 points leads at 81.5%. Next is Miami (FL) wins by over 2.5 points at 80.5%. $1K has traded across 32 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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